Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction: Sport is running out of time

Sport Recife vs Fluminense: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 02, 2025

Sport Recife remains in last place and only a win against Fluminense will really matter.

Sport Recife: Form and statistics

The Lion of the North has only 14 points, while Santos, the team immediately above the relegation zone, has 27. Sport has two games in hand, which means that the Pernambucanos have 15 matches to make up that deficit to avoid falling into the Série B. In the last round, Sport Recife lost 1-0 away to Fortaleza, another struggling team. Despite losing by just one goal, coach Daniel Paulista acknowledged that his team did not play well against a direct opponent. After the victory over Corinthians in the 24th round, the Pernambuco team failed to build momentum when they needed to earn points in consecutive rounds to gain confidence. From now on, every game is like a final, so this match against Fluminense is vital.

Sport Recife: Lineup

Striker Derik Lacerda is suspended after receiving his third yellow card.

🔖Sport Recife starting lineup (4-3-3)

Gabriel – Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido – Zé Lucas, Rivera, Lucas Lima – Matheusinho, Colo Ramírez, Léo Pereira

⛔️Out: Sérgio Oliveira, Hereda (injured), Derik Lacerda (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Daniel Paulista

Fluminense: Form and statistics

Fluminense beat Botafogo 2-0 at home in coach Luís Zubeldía's debut. Not too shabby for the Argentine coach to start a new chapter in his career with a victory in the Grandpa Derby. Botafogo began better, and in the 15th minute, Newton hit the crossbar with a long-range shot. Shortly after, Botafogo had another great chance to score, but veteran goalkeeper Fábio came out on top in a one-on-one with Vitinho. Fluminense was more effective, and in the 33rd minute, Cano opened the scoring with a header in a play where the Argentine striker showed his killer instinct. Savarino, still in the first half, could have leveled the score, but the Tricolor defense blocked his shot. In the second half, Zubeldía's side got its marking right, and Botafogo found it more difficult to create danger. Near the end, in the 89th minute, Lima took advantage of the space given by the visitors to seal the final score at 2-0. Fluminense is in eighth place, now with 34 points, and seems to have quickly assimilated the unexpected departure of coach Renato Gaúcho.

Fluminense: Lineup

Igor Rabello is back after suspension. Thiago Silva suffered an injury in the derby against Botafogo and is unlikely to play.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-3-3)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Freytes, Renê – Martinelli, Hércules, Acosta – Serna, Canobbio, Cano

⛔️Out: Thiago Silva, Nonato, Ganso (injured)

👤Head Coach: Luis Zubeldía

Sport Recife vs Fluminense: Head-to-head statistics

Fluminense has the advantage in its 49 meetings with Sport. The Cariocas won 21 games while the Pernambucanos won 15. The remaining 13 matches ended in a draw. It is worth noting that Fluminense defeated Sport in the last four meetings between the two sides.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense: Betting tips & Odds

• Sport has just won twice in its last 26 games. You can bet that Fluminense won't lose (X2) for 1.37 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won 9 times in Fluminense's previous 10 games. You can bet on a match with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.56 at 1xBet;
• Fluminense has scored first in four of its last six games. You can bet that Fluminense will be the first team to score for 1.91 at Bet365.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense match prediction 02 October 2025

Sport Recife is in big trouble, and relegation seems inevitable. The Pernambucanos are 13 points behind Santos, the first team outside the Z4, so from now on, only a victory in every game matters. Fluminense is highly motivated after its triumph in the derby against Botafogo and will certainly strive for another win against Sport. Luís Zubeldía started on the right foot as Fluminense's coach, defeating a rival with a clean sheet. The Argentine is tactically rigorous, and his teams typically concede few goals. I will bet on a Double Chance in favor of Fluminense with a maximum of three goals scored.

Our match prediction: X2 & TU 3.5 for 1.70 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.03 at 1xBet.

Our final prediction for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.