Sport Recife vs São Paulo Prediction: Sport finally won a game

Sport Recife vs São Paulo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on August 17, 2025

Sport Recife won its first league game and is now brimming with confidence as it prepares to host São Paulo.

Sport Recife: Form and statistics

We mentioned in our preview of Sport's last game that the team was improving and that the first win was imminent. Well, that's exactly what happened at the Arena do Grêmio. The Pernambucanos left Porto Alegre with a well-deserved 1-0 victory. Daniel Paulista's team was the more determined side on the pitch. In the first half, the game was tight with no major scoring opportunities. Even so, it was noticeable that the Sport players were comfortable, unlike the Gaúchos, who seemed to be playing under pressure. At the start of the second half, Sport improved at exploiting space to counterattack, and in the 51st minute, Matheusinho scored after an assist from Léo Pereira. It was no surprise to anyone in the stadium. Léo Pereira, with his speed, and Derik Lacerda, winning his duels, created many problems for Grêmio's defenders. The home team tried to equalize, but without creating many scoring opportunities. On the few occasions that shots reached the goal, Gabriel, Sport's goalkeeper, showed confidence. Sport Recife fans hope this result will be the turning point of the season, as the team needs more wins to get out of last place.

Sport Recife: Lineup

Daniel Paulista should field the same players who defeated Grêmio.

🔖Sport Recife starting lineup (4-3-3)

Gabriel – Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Cariús – Zé Lucas, Rivera, Lucas Lima – Matheusinho, Derik Lacerda, Léo Pereira

⛔️Out: Sérgio Oliveira, Hereda (injured)

👤Head Coach: Daniel Paulista

São Paulo: Form and statistics

São Paulo reacted well to its shock elimination from the Copa do Brasil with two good results. In the league, the Paulistas defeated Vitória 2-0 in a game they controlled from start to finish. São Paulo broke the deadlock in the 20th minute through Bobadilla and sealed the result in the 86th minute through Sabino. The Baianos played poorly and posed no threat to Rafael's goal. It was the fifth consecutive league victory for the Tricolor, marking a spectacular comeback. São Paulo is now in seventh place after having been close to the relegation zone. Hernán Crespo has managed to transform São Paulo into a confident team. Confidence is often accompanied by luck, which was undoubtedly a significant factor in the 0-0 draw in Medellín against Atlético Nacional. The Colombians missed two penalties, so Atlético Nacional fans and Edwin Cardona will never forget this game. São Paulo miraculously survived the first leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16. The second game will take place next week, and Crespo may eventually make some changes to the lineup against Sport.

São Paulo: Lineup

Hernán Crespo is expected to field an alternative lineup ahead of the decisive Copa Libertadores match against Atlético Nacional.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Young – Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Sabino – Maik, Alisson, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Patryck – Tapia, Dinenno

⛔️Out: Arboleda, Wendell, Ryan Francisco, Oscar, Calleri, Luiz Gustavo (injured)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Sport Recife vs São Paulo: Head-to-head statistics

São Paulo has a clear advantage in its 53 meetings with Sport. The Paulistas won 31 games while the Pernambucanos won 10. The remaining 12 matches ended in a draw. It is worth noting that Sport Recife’s last league victory against São Paulo Recife was in 2015.

Sport Recife vs São Paulo: Betting tips & Odds

• São Paulo has lost just once in its last nine games. You can bet that São Paulo won't lose (X2) for 1.42 at Betway;
• The TU 1.5 bet has won 3 times in Sport Recife's last four home games and also in São Paulo's last four away matches. You can bet on a game with less than two goals (TU 1.5) for 2.38 at 1xBet;
• São Paulo has scored first in seven of its last eight meetings with Sport Recife. You can bet that São Paulo will be the first team to score for 2.05 at Bet365.

Sport Recife vs São Paulo match prediction 17 August 2025

Sport won its first game in the Série A in the last round, and this victory brought immense relief to players and fans. The Lion of the North has not lost in four rounds and has been gaining confidence. The problem is that its next opponent is in great form. São Paulo is on a five-game winning streak in the league and is climbing rapidly in the table. However, the Paulistas have an important Copa Libertadores game next week, and Hernán Crespo will likely change his usual lineup. It is therefore difficult to predict the outcome of this game, considering the strong possibility that São Paulo will field an alternative team. A draw is the most likely result, but I will bet on a Double Chance for the home team with a maximum of three goals scored.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.71 at 1x Bet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.20 at Betway.

Our final prediction for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.