Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction: Expect a close match

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 25, 2025

Vasco da Gama hosts Bahia in a postponed match from Round 16. Both teams drew away from home in the last round.

Vasco da Gama: Form and statistics

Vasco drew 1-1 with Flamengo in the Clássico dos Milhões, a result that few expected. This Rio derby is usually played at the Maracanã regardless of the host. In this case, the Brasileirão leader welcomed Vasco, and as a result, lost two important points at home. Flamengo started well and opened the scoring through Carrascal in the 11th minute. Vasco reacted positively and almost scored from a corner in the 24th minute, but Rossi saved Puma Rodríguez's header. However, five minutes later, from another corner, Vasco scored through Rayan, who headed home. In the second half, Flamengo tried everything to secure the win but failed to convert several chances. Saul hit the crossbar from outside the area, and Pedro missed two goals that he would normally have scored. The draw was excellent for Vasco da Gama, but Fernando Diniz's team remains very close to the relegation zone.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Vasco da Gama has several injured players. Rayan is suspended after receiving his third yellow card in the derby.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Jardim – Paulo Henrique, Cuesta, Lucas Freitas, Puma Rodríguez – Hugo Moura, Barros – André Gómez, Coutinho, Nuno Moreira – Vegetti

⛔️Out: Renan, Jair, Thiago Mendes, Lucas Piton, Tchê-Tchê, Adson (injured), Rayan (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Fernando Diniz

Bahia: Form and statistics

After two consecutive defeats in the league and elimination from the Copa do Brasil, Bahia drew away to Ceará. The Baianos lost confidence with their latest results, but this draw at the Arena Castelão may help them regain some stability. The game was evenly balanced, and the draw was a fair reflection of what happened on the pitch. Ceará was the better team in the first half, and Bahia was better in the second. Ceará scored in the 45th minute through Lourenço, and Bahia equalized in the 56th minute thanks to Willian José. After the goal, Rogério Ceni's team was more offensive, but near the end of the match, it was Ceará that came closest to scoring, with Vina hitting the post when one-on-one with goalkeeper Ronaldo. The result wasn't bad, but Bahia hasn't won in three rounds. The Tricolor is in sixth place with 37 points.

Bahia: Lineup

Ademir has recovered from his injury, but he may remain on the bench due to his lack of match fitness. Rogério Ceni is expected to field the same lineup he used against Ceará.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Arias, Gabriel Xavier, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Éverton Ribeiro – Michel Araújo, Willian José, Sanabria

⛔️Out: João Paulo, David Duarte, Erick Pulga, Caio Alexandre, Erick, Kanu (injured)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics

Bahia has the advantage in the 64 meetings with Vasco. The Baianos won 26 games, while the Cariocas won 18. The remaining 20 matches ended in draws.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds

• Vasco da Gama has not lost in its last five matches. You can bet on Vasco not losing (1X) for 1.37 at Betway;
• Vasco da Gama scored first in three of its last four matches. You can bet that Vasco will be the first team to score for 1.83 at Bet365;
• The BTTS-YES bet has won six times in Vasco's last six matches. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 1.85 at Betway.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia match prediction 25 September 2025

The two teams drew in their last game, but Vasco ended the round more confident after securing a point against Flamengo. The Cariocas haven't lost in five games and recently qualified for the Copa do Brasil semi-finals, so they have reason to be optimistic. Bahia isn't in good form, but at least it avoided defeat against Ceará on the road. Vasco is a slight favorite, but I'm going to risk a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.30 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 1.85 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.