Vasco da Gama vs Ceará Prediction: The Giant must win

Vasco da Gama vs Ceará: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 15, 2025

Vasco da Gama is very close to the relegation zone, so this match against Ceará is crucial for the Cariocas. 

Vasco da Gama: Form and statistics

Fernando Diniz's men have achieved two good results in their last two games and are now much more confident. In the previous league round, Vasco beat Sport Recife 3-2 away from home and climbed out of the relegation zone, now occupying 15th place with 22 points. Vasco took advantage of Sport's defensive deficiencies and was already leading 3-1 by the 49th minute. Nuno Moreira, Coutinho, and Vegetti, from the penalty spot, scored for the Rio side. It was the last game before the international break, and on the return to competition, Vasco recorded another excellent result, this time in the Copa do Brasil. The Cruzmaltino drew 1-1 away to Botafogo and won on penalties, securing qualification for the Copa do Brasil semi-finals. After a 1-1 draw at home in the first leg, Vasco da Gama's players showed great determination to survive in the cup. Vasco will fight for a place in the final against Fluminense, with the semi-finals to be played in December. The priority now is to get out of the danger zone in the table, so a win against Ceará is essential.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Vasco has several injured midfielders, and Hugo Moura, who has been playing as a central defender, is suspended.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Jardim – Paulo Henrique, Cuesta, Lucas Freitas, Puma Rodríguez – Matheus Carvalho, Barros – Nuno Moreira, Coutinho, Rayan – Vegetti

⛔️Out: Jair, Thiago Mendes, Lucas Piton, Tchê-Tchê, Adson (injured), Hugo Moura (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Fernando Diniz

Ceará: Form and statistics

The Cearenses suffered an unexpected home defeat to Juventude in a game they could well have won. Ceará did not play brilliantly, but it still created enough chances to score. Jandrei, Juventude's goalkeeper, had a solid performance, making two excellent saves. Throughout the season, Ceará has been a well-organized team that concedes few goals, lacking creativity in attack. Leo Condé's men wasted some chances and were heavily penalized for it. In the 95th minute, when the spectators at the Arena Castelão were waiting for the final whistle, Juventude scored. Right-back Reginaldo crossed into the box, and midfielder Mandaca headed into the net. It was the only real scoring opportunity for the Gaúchos, who were 100% effective. Ceará is in 11th place with 26 points.

Ceará: Lineup

The number of injured players in the squad has increased recently.

🔖Ceará starting lineup (4-3-3)

Bruno Ferreira – Fabiano Souza, Marcos Victor, Éder, Nicolas – Richardson, Dieguinho, Lourenço – Galeano, Aylon, Pedro Raul

⛔️Out: Rafael Ramos, Pedro Henrique, Matheus Bahia, Fernandinho, Fernando Miguel (injured)

👤Head Coach: Léo Condé

Vasco da Gama vs Ceará: Head-to-head statistics

Vasco da Gama holds a clear advantage in the 26 meetings with Ceará. The Cariocas won 14 games, while the Cearenses won 4. The remaining eight games ended in draws. 

Vasco da Gama vs Ceará: Betting tips & Odds

• Vasco da Gama has lost only twice in its last eight matches. You can bet on Vasco not losing (1X) for 1.22 at 1xBet;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won five times in Ceará's last six matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.60 at 1xBet;
• The BTTS-YES bet has won four times in Vasco's last four matches. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 2.10 at Betway.

Vasco da Gama vs Ceará match prediction 15 September 2025

Vasco qualified for the Copa do Brasil semi-finals, a significant step for the club, which has not won a title since 2016. The Cariocas are therefore highly motivated, but now they must focus on the league, where they are dangerously close to the relegation zone. It is essential to win this game against Ceará. The Cearenses lost at home to Juventude in the last round. It was the first away win for the Gaúchos, so it remains to be seen whether Leo Condé's team will be affected by the unexpected defeat. Vasco is the favorite, but I am going to bet on a game with a maximum of two goals scored, as Ceará has a strong defense.

Our match prediction: TU 2.5 for 1.60 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Vasco to win for 1.95 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-0 for 6.00 at Bet365.