Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction: Who will win the Derby of the Giants?

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 21, 2025

Vasco da Gama and Fluminense will clash in one of the best games of Round 29. The derby will not take place at Vasco's stadium but at the Maracanã, which is common for matches between these two big clubs.

Vasco da Gama: Form and statistics

The Cariocas beat Fortaleza 2-0, confirming their good form and demonstrating that they have evolved as a team since Fernando Diniz arrived. It was Vasco da Gama's fourth win in five games, with the only defeat in the last five rounds coming away to Palmeiras, the league leader. Against Fortaleza, the Cruzmaltino played with ten men after the 40th minute when Hugo Moura received a red card, but still managed a heroic victory. Just before halftime, Rayan made it 1-0 for Vasco da Gama with a lightning-fast individual counterattack. Goalkeeper Léo Jardim saved Vasco several times in the second half, and in the 82nd minute, David delivered the final blow, also after a counterattack. At the end of the game, the Cearenses were out of control, and three players were sent off. Vasco moved up to ninth place with 36 points.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Hugo Moura is suspended after his red card against Fortaleza.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-3-3)

Léo Jardim – Paulo Henrique, Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton –Tchê-Tchê, Barros, Coutinho – Nuno Moreira, Andrés Gómez, Rayan

⛔️Out: Jair, Paulinho, Adson (injured), Hugo Moura (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Fernando Diniz

Fluminense: Form and statistics

The Tricolor beat Juventude 1-0 in a poor football game. Both Fluminense and Juventude only scored once, a statistic that shows how boring the game was for spectators. However, it is fair to say that the only goal of the game was a work of art by Thiago Silva, the former PSG and Chelsea player. In the last minute of the match, Jandrei, Juventude's goalkeeper, took too long to kick the ball, and in the Brasileirão, this violation is punished with a corner kick in favor of the opposing team. Following the corner, Thiago Silva scored the winning goal with an acrobatic touch that sent the ball over Jandrei. Fluminense remains in seventh place but is now only two points behind sixth-placed Bahia. The teams that finish in the top six qualify for the Copa Libertadores, so Thiago Silva's goal was extremely important.

Fluminense: Lineup

Serna is back after being suspended, while Ganso is still injured.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-3-3)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Freytes, Renê – Martinelli, Hércules, Acosta – Canobbio, Serna, John Kennedy

⛔️Out: Keno, Nonato, Ganso (injured)

👤Head Coach: Luis Zubeldía

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense: Head-to-head statistics

Vasco da Gama has the advantage in the 336 meetings with Fluminense. Vasco won 122 games, while the Fluzão won 113. The remaining 101 matches ended in draws. This season, the two rivals met twice, with Fluminense winning both games, one in the league and the other in the Campeonato Carioca.

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense: Betting tips & Odds

• Vasco da Gama won four of its last five matches. You can bet on Vasco winning for 2.91 at 1xBet;
• The TO 2.5 bet has won three times in Fluminense's last four matches. You can bet on a game with at least three goals (TO 2.5) for 2.42 at 1xBet;
• Fluminense has scored first in six of its last seven games. You can bet that Fluminense will be the first team to score for 2.00 at Bet365.

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense match prediction 21 October 2025

This year, there is not much difference in quality between Vasco and Fluminense's squads. Vasco has better players than last year, and Fluminense is weaker, especially after the departure of Jhon Arias. Vasco has been improving in recent games and has a good chance of beating its rival. The Derby of the Giants will not take place at Vasco's stadium but at the Maracanã, where Fluminense usually plays, but in a match like this, it doesn't matter who is the host or the visitor. It's a crucial game for Fluminense if it wants to finish the league in a position to qualify for the Copa Libertadores, and so Zubeldía's men will fight hard for a good result. I'm going to bet on a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.12 at 1x Bet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 1.95 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 5.50 at Bet365.