Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction: Palmeiras looking to recover the lead

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
04 May 2025 22:00
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Brasileirão Série A, Round 7
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras
Stadium: Mané Garrincha. Brasília
04.05.2025, 22:00
Marco Silva
03 May 2025
20:45
Statistics of the month:
9
11
0
45%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type Palmeiras to win
Bonus 250 USD
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Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras: Prediction for the Match on May 04, 2025

Vasco will host Palmeiras while still looking for a new boss. Fábio Carille was the fifth victim in six rounds of an increasingly cruel championship for coaches. Palmeiras is one of the few clubs in Brazil that gives coaches time to work, and perhaps that's why it wins more often than the others.

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The Cruzmaltino lost 1-0 away to Cruzeiro and dropped to 11th place in the table. The club's position isn't terrible, but pressure from Vasco's fans and the fact that there are several well-known coaches available led to Carille's departure. The club does indeed have a glorious past, but Vasco da Gama today can't fight for titles. Vasco fans won't settle for average results and demand victories. For the time being, Felipe will take charge of the team until a new coach arrives, just as he did last season. Felipe led Vasco to an away draw against Operário in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil third round, in another disappointing performance. The Paraná Série B side caused the Giant many problems. The match with Palmeiras will be played in Brasilia, so the Cariocas will be playing away from home, where they are strongest.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Lucas Piton is back from injury, and the left back has already played against Operário. Dimitri Payet is still injured. Felipe should stick with the line-up he used in the Copa do Brasil match.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Jardim – Paulo Henrique, João Victor, Lucas Freitas, Piton – Hugo Moura, Jair – Nuno Moreira, Coutinho, Rayan – Vegetti

⛔️Out: Payet, Lemos, Estrella, David (injured)

👤Head Coach: Felipe

Vasco da Gama Latest Games

Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
07.12.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
5 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
03.12.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Mirassol Mirassol
29.11.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
5 - 1
Internacional Internacional
23.11.25
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
20.11.25
Gremio Gremio
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
09.11.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1 - 3
Juventude Juventude
06.11.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
03.11.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
27.10.25
Red Bull Bragantino Red Bull Bragantino
0 - 3
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
21.10.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense

Palmeiras Latest Games

Palmeiras Palmeiras
07.12.25
Ceara Ceara
1 - 3
Palmeiras Palmeiras
04.12.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
0 - 3
Palmeiras Palmeiras
30.11.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0 - 1
Flamengo Flamengo
26.11.25
Gremio Gremio
3 - 2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
23.11.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
20.11.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0 - 0
Vitoria Vitoria
16.11.25
Santos FC Santos FC
1 - 0
Palmeiras Palmeiras
10.11.25
Mirassol Mirassol
2 - 1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
07.11.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2 - 0
Santos FC Santos FC
03.11.25
Juventude Juventude
0 - 2
Palmeiras Palmeiras

Palmeiras lost at home to Bahia in the last round, and it was probably the most surprising result in the league so far. The Verdão was on a run of seven straight wins in all competitions, so the home defeat was unexpected. The Baianos were always very organized, and Palmeiras only managed to be dangerous in the second half. In the last minute, the visitors scored in a beautiful move and gave the Paulistas no chance of recovering. Palmeiras dropped to second place, and Flamengo became the Brasileirão leader. In midweek, Abel Ferrera's team went to Fortaleza to face Ceará in the Copa do Brasil and won 1-0. Captain Gustavo Gómez's header broke the Cearenses' unbeaten run in their stadium. Palmeiras now has a good lead to confirm qualification for the second leg at home and has gained confidence for the match against Vasco.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Palmeiras still has some injured players, notably attacking midfielder Raphael Veiga, but central defender Murilo has recovered from his injury and could return to the starting eleven.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-3-3)

Weverton – Giay, Murilo, Gómez, Piquerez – Anderson, Ríos, Moreno – Estêvão, Vitor Roque, Torres

⛔️Out: Micael, Mayke, Marcos Rocha, Bruno Rodrigues, Raphael Veiga (injured)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

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Palmeiras has a big advantage in the head-to-head with Vasco. In 105 meetings, the Paulistas have won 53 times, while the Cariocas have won 22. On 30 occasions, the games have ended in a draw. The last time Vasco beat Palmeiras was in 2015.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
02.10.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
04.05.25
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
22.09.24
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
14.06.24
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Serie A 2023 Serie A 2023
28.08.23
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
  • Palmeiras has won nine of its last ten away matches. You can bet on the Paulistas winning at 1.75 at Betway;
  • Palmeiras was the first team to score in eight of the last nine games. You can place this bet at Bet365 for 1.44;
  • In Vasco's last four matches, the TU 2.5 bet has always won. You can place this bet for 1.64 at 1xBet.

The match will take place in Brasilia, so despite Vasco being the host, Palmeiras is the favorite. The Cariocas are tough to beat at São Januário but struggle away from home. The club is going through a troubled period and will be led by an interim coach against the Paulistas. Palmeiras lost first place in the last round after the home defeat against Bahia and will want to react to this unexpected result. I'm backing Palmeiras to win.

Our match prediction: Palmeiras to win for 1.75 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - No for 1.70 at Bet365.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct score of 0-2 for 7.00 at 1xBet.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type Palmeiras to win
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type BTTS - No
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Odds 7,00
Bet Type Correct Score 0-2
Bonus 100 EUR
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