Vitória vs Fluminense Prediction: Vitória is under pressure

Vitória vs Fluminense: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 20, 2025

Vitória and Fluminense will meet in Salvador in an important game for the home side. The Baianos remain in the relegation zone and urgently need a win.

Vitória: Form and statistics

Vitória lost 2-0 against Fortaleza, a direct opponent, once again struggling to perform on the road. It was the third consecutive away defeat for the Barra's Lion. Vitória started the game well, creating two chances to score, but Breno Lopes' goal in the 31st minute gave confidence to the Cearenses, who were playing for the first time under Martín Palermo. Vitória's defense was very passive in the build-up to the goal, losing several challenges for the ball in the area. Early in the second half, in the 47th minute, Bruno Pacheco made it 2-0 for Fortaleza, and from then on, things got very complicated for the Baianos. Fortaleza ended a run of four consecutive defeats and achieved its first clean sheet since May. Coach Rodrigo Chagas' debut against Atlético Mineiro was promising, but the performance in Fortaleza was disappointing. Vitória is much stronger playing at home, so the game against Fluminense will likely be different. In any case, the Baianos will need to improve their away record to improve their chances of avoiding relegation.

Vitória: Lineup

Baralhas received his third yellow card and is suspended.

🔖Vitória starting lineup (4-3-3)

Lucas Arcanjo – Cáceres, Lucas Halter, Camutanga, Ramon – Ricardo Ryller, Willian Oliveira, Cantalapiedra – Erick, Renato Kayzer, Osvaldo

⛔️Out: Claudinho, Ismael, Jamerson (injured), Baralhas (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Rodrigo Chagas

Fluminense: Form and statistics

Fluminense lost 1-0 at home to Corinthians. The Pauistas found the net with the only shot they took at Fábio's goal. Renato Gaúcho decided to rest some players with the Lanús game in mind, but even without playing well, Fluminense controlled the match. Corinthians' goal in the 73rd minute was totally unexpected and rather fortunate. After a free kick, Matheuzinho crossed into the Fluminense area, where Corinthians defender André Ramalho tried to head the ball but failed to reach it, and it ended up going into the goal without any reaction from goalkeeper Fábio. The goal was credited to Matheuzinho, as no one else touched the ball. The Cariocas dropped to 10th place, having been overtaken by Corinthians. In midweek, Fluminense traveled to Argentina and lost 1-0 to Lanús in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals. The game was very tactical with just a few scoring opportunities, but Fluminense failed to secure a draw, conceding a goal in the 89th minute. The second leg will take place next week, and Renato Gaúcho will likely leave some key players on the sidelines again for the Brasileirão game.

Fluminense: Lineup

Renato Gaúcho may leave some key players on the bench, considering the decisive match against Lanús for the Copa Sudamericana next week.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-3-3)

Fábio – Fidélis, Ignácio, Freytes, Fuentes – Martinelli, Hércules, Nonato – Serna, Canobbio, Cano

⛔️Out: Ganso, Samuel Xavier (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Gaúcho

Vitória vs Fluminense: Head-to-head statistics

Vitória and Fluminense have met 42 times, with the head-to-head record favoring the Cariocas. Fluminense has won 16 games, while Vitória has won 11. The matches have ended in a draw 15 times.

Vitória vs Fluminense: Betting tips & Odds

• The BTTS-NO bet has won five times in Fluminense's last five games. You can bet that at least one team will not score (BTTS-NO) for 1.70 at 1xBet;
• Vitória has won only twice in the last 17 matches. You can bet that Fluminense won't lose (X2) for 1.50 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won six times in Fluminense's last seven games. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.53 at 1xBet.

Vitória vs Fluminense match prediction 20 September 2025

Fluminense has better players than Vitória, but struggles away from home, while the Baianos are tough to beat at the Barradão. Fluminense played in Argentina in the middle of the week for the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals and will play the second leg in a few days, which complicates things for the Cariocas. I'm going to bet on a Double Chance in favor of Vitória with a maximum of three goals scored in the game.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.70 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - No for 1.70 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-0 for 6.50 at Bet365.