Botafogo vs LDU Quito Prediction: The odds are stacked against LDU Quito

Botafogo
Botafogo
Start
Day
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Finished
Live
15 Aug 2025 01:00
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
Copa Libertadores Round of 16. First leg
Stadium: Estadio Nilton Santos
Arena: (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil).
15.08.2025 01:00
Referee: Wilmar Roldan
Chinonso Ukaegbu
13 Aug 2025
22:51
Statistics of the month:
4
3
0
57.14%
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Botafogo vs LDU Quito: Prediction for the Match on August 15, 2025

Botafogo welcomes River Plate to the Estadio Nilton Santos for the first leg of their Copa Libertadores 2025 Round of 16 tie, and they know they are up against one of the best teams in Ecuador. Botafogo booked their spot in the round of 16 as runners-up in Group which had Estudiantes finish as group leaders. Interestingly, Botafogo were level on points with Estudiantes, but the goal margin made the difference. For LDU Quito, they finished top of group C, which was one of the toughest groups in the Libertadores, as three teams finished with the same points. This is not an entirely new matchup as the teams clashed in the Group stage of the Copa Libertadores last season, and each team won on their home turf. We envisage a very tough game at the Estadio Nilton Santos on Thursday, and the home advantage will be in Botafogo’s favor. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Form in all competitions: WWLWD

It has been a tough season for Botafogo. The Glorious lost almost all of its best players, and this season seems to be one of rebuilding. After six games with Davide Ancelotti at the helm, five in the league and one in the cup. The assertion that the Cariocas have only been defending better and not scoring more since the Italian coach arrived was nullified in their last league game. Five solid goals were put past Fortaleza’s defense to give Botafogo the solid victory. Botafogo created 4 big chances in that game and converted most of them with a solid 12 shots on target from a total of 21 shots played. The Lone Star team has 29 points, 11 fewer than Flamengo and 8 fewer than Cruzeiro, the two teams leading the league.

In the Copa Libertadores, the Cariocas finished as runners-up in Group A with 4 wins, 2 draws, 3, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5, and earning a total of 12 points from a possible 18. Their home form is, on average, with only one win in their last four games across all competitions. 

Davide Ancelotti is ravaged by injuries, and he might struggle heading into this game. Davide Ancelotti will have to make some changes in defense for this game. John's transfer to West Ham has been canceled, and the goalkeeper might still not play. Marlon Freitas will also miss the game due to a head injury.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Linck – Vitinho, David Ricardo, Marçal Alex Telles – Newton, Danilo – Artur, Savarino, Montoro – Arthur Cabral

⛔️Out: Marlon Freitas, Cuiabano, Kaio Pantaleão, Jeffinho, Bastos (injured), Alexander Barboza, Allan (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Form in all competitions: LWWDW

LDU has aged like fine wine in the league, with only a defeat in their last six league games. They were on a five-game unbeaten streak before their narrow 1-0 loss to Aucas in their last league game. Before that defeat to Aucas, they secured a 2-1 win against Mushic Runa. LDU Quito remains third placed in the Liga Pro with 12 wins, 7 draws, and five losses from a total of 24 games played. 

In the Copa Libertadores, LDU Quito finished top of Group C with 3 wins, 2 draws, and a loss from a total of 6 games played. They scored a total of 8 goals and conceded 4 throughout the group stage games. Their road form is quite decent.

Tiago Retzlaff Nunes needs his best team for this game, and some players were rested over the weekend just for this game. Tiago likes to use a two forwards upfront, who are  Estrada, Alzugaray. Alzugaray is the man to watch out for in this game, and he remains the teams top scorer in the Copa Libertadores.

🔖 LDU Probable starting lineup (3-1-4-2)

Valle– Quinonez, Ade, Mina, — Villamil— Ramirez, De la Cruz, Cornejo, Alvarado– Estrada, Alzugaray

👤 Head coach: Tiago Retzlaff Nunes 

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The teams have met four times, with both teams winning a game each and 2 draws. Botafogo has the home advantage heading into this game, and the odds are in their favor. 

  • Botafogo have won their last two games, and the option for Botafogo to win is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.36;
  • There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 3 of their last four meetings, and the option for River Plate to score in this game is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.86;
  • Some experts believe that LDU Quito will win, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 9.10 odds;

Their encounter last season was a cracker with each team winning on their home turf. Botafogo, a stronger team, will aim to go home with a victory on their home turf. LDU Quito will not go down without a fight, and they will try to reduce the goal margin on Thursday. I believe Botafogo will not lose this game, and our first prediction is a win or draw, and a total of under 2.5 goals for Botafogo. Our second prediction is a straight win for Botafogo. Lastly, we might see a very tight and cagey first half, which will most likely produce little or no goals. A first-half draw is also a good betting choice here. 

Our match prediction is a win or draw for Botafogo and a total of under 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.00 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a first-half draw for a coefficient of 2.31 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, A total of over 9.5 corners for 1.74 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker. 

Odds
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Odds 2,00
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Odds 2,31
Bet Type HT Draw
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Odds 1,74
Bet Type TO 9.5 corners
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