Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction: Estadio Banco De Guayaquil is a strong fortress for Del Valle

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Start
Day
Hours
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Finished
Live
13 Aug 2025 03:30
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
Copa Libertadores Round of 16. First leg
Stadium: Estádio Campeón de Siglo
Arena: ( Montevideo, Uruguay).
13.08.2025 03:30
Referee: Gery Anthony Vargas Carreno

Chinonso Ukaegbu
11 Aug 2025
23:19
Statistics of the month:
4
3
0
57.14%
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type 1TO 5.5 corners
Bonus 100 EUR
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Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction for the Match on August 13, 2025

Two Ecuadorian sides clash in the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana 2025. Del Valle is hosting Mushuk Runa at the Estadio Banco del Guayaquil, the same arena where Del Valle sealed their qualification to the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. Del Valle made their way to the round of 16 after their hard-fought 5-1 aggregate win over Vasco da Gama in the knockout stage playoffs. The Ecuadorian side, Mushuc Runa, finished top of Group E, and they are too far now to back down. The odds are highly stacked against the Ecuadorian side, considering the form of their opponents, especially on Del Valle’s home turf. We believe Del Valle will emerge victorious in this game, and our prediction is a win or a draw, and a total of over 1.5 goals for Del Valle. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Form in all competitions: DWWWD

The black-and-blues have been incredible with an unbeaten record in their last 16 games across all competitions, with 6 draws and 10 incredible victories. Del Valle is sensational, with three consecutive victories and a draw in their last four games across all competitions. In the Ecuadorian league, they are on top, with 14 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses from the 24 league games played. The black-and-blues must have forgotten the taste of defeat, because the last time they lost a game was as far back as May this year.

Los Negriazules crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B, which comprises River Plate, Universitario, and Barcelona SC. However, their third-place finish in the Copa Libertadores bought them one last chance to compete in the Sudamericana, but they must first pass through a playoff. Del Valle played Vasco Da Gama, and they defeated Vasco by a 5-1 aggregate. Del Valle won 4 goals to nil in the first half, while the second half ended in a 1-1 draw.

Patrik Mercado has been a force to reckon with for Del Valle this season. He scored a brace in their 4-0 victory against Vasco da Gama, and he remains the team's top scorer in the Sudamericana. 

Del Valle's domestic form has been solid throughout the 2025 season, with the team showing consistency in the Ecuadorian Serie A, and this consistency has kept them on top of the league with a solid six-point margin over their closest rivals, Barcelona SC. 

Independiente del Valle: Lineup

Claudio Spinelli has been instrumental in Del Valle's goal, contributing 8 goals this season. He remains a goal-scoring threat. Matias Fernandez continues to make in-runs from his right flank, and Gustavo Cortez widely supports him on the opposite flank. Michael Hoyos will be available for this game, and he will most likely lead the team once again. 

Player to watch out for: Patrick Mercado

22-year-old Patrick Mercado has been incredible in form for Del Valle. The 22-year-old Ecuadorian is currently valued at 2.7M Euros, and his playmaking abilities are outstanding for a player his age. He is the team's top scorer in the Sudamericana with three goals to his name in the South American competition. He is also the player with the highest assist for Del Valle in the domestic league with 8 assists to his name. 

Independiente Del Valle starting lineup (4-1-4-1)

Villar – Gustavo Cortez, Zarate, Matias Fernandez, Richard Schunke – Alcivar, — Ibarra, Pata, Mercado, Guagua – Claudio Spinelli

👤 Head Coach: Javier Rabanal 

Form in all competitions: LLLLL

El Pochito is the direct opposite of their opponents, Independiente Del Valle. Mushuk Runa is without a win in their last 11 games across all competitions. The team must have forgotten the taste of victory, as the last time they won a game was in the Copa Sudamericana group stage in May against Palestino. It is now five consecutive league defeats for Mushuc Runa, and they might just be edging towards another defeat against a familiar opponent, on a familiar ground, on Wednesday. 

Surprisingly, Mushuk Runa finished top of Group E in the Copa Sudamericana group stage with an unbeaten record. They secured 5 wins, with a draw from the six group stage games played. It feels like they are a different team entirely when they step into the Sudamericana, but we are about to confirm this assertion on Wednesday.

The Club is currently struggling at the bottom of the Ecuadorian league with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses from the 24 league games played. They continue their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana against their alter ego in the same league.  

Paul Velez needs to do something really fast about the current state of his team.  

Mushuk Runa starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Rodrigo Formento– Kevin Peralta, Dennis Quintero, Bryan Bentaberry, Angel Gracia– Luis Arce, Steven Tapiero, – Robert Burbano, Cristian Penilla, Bagner Delgado– Jairon Charcopa

Head coach: Paul Velez 

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Show more predictions

It's a familiar territory for Mushuk Runa; in fact, Mushuk Runa travelled to the Estadio Banco del Guayaquil in May to face Del Valle in the Liga Pro Serie A Primera Etapa, where Del Valle won by a 2-1 scoreline. Del Valle leads in their head-to-head stats if we look at their last 10 matches, but Mushuk Runa has a perfect record so far in the Copa Sudamericana, and they cannot be overlooked.

  • No losses for Del Valle in their last three meetings, and the option for Del Valle to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.39;
  • Both teams have found the net in 5 of their last 6 meetings, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.89 odds;
  • Del Valle has scored first in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and this option is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website at 1.33 odds;
  • Some experts believe that Mushuk Runa will win because of their near-perfect record in the Copa Sudamericana, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 7.7 odds;

All pointers lead to an Independiente Del Valle victory owing to their exceptional form and their historical advantage over Mushuk Runa. Mushuk Runa is struggling, and I do not expect any miracle from them on Wednesday. Don’t get it twisted, this is more like a domestic game under the guise of a South American Competition, and both teams will most likely play their guts out. Mushuk Runa may be in a bad place, but let's not forget their ability to score goals as both teams have found the net in 5 of their last 6 meetings. A win or draw for Del Valle is our first prediction, followed by both teams finding the net.

Our match prediction is a total of over 5.5 corners for Independiente Del Valle for a coefficient of 1.68 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a win and a total of over 1.5 goals for Independiente Del Valle for a coefficient of 1.60 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, both teams to score for 1.89 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.

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