Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction: Del Valle heads into this game with the advantage

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction and odds on the Match on 20 August 2025

Two Ecuadorian sides clash in the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana 2025. Mushuc Runa hosts Independiente del Valle in the second leg of the Copa Sudamericana 2025 Round of 16 at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa, trailing 1-0 from the first leg after Claudio Spinelli’s 19th-minute header secured a narrow victory for Independiente at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Mushuc Runa, coming off a 1-0 victory against Aucas in the Ecuadorian league, remains desperate to overturn the deficit at home. Del Valle, on the other hand, heads into this game with the advantage, although it's a slim advantage; it's an important one for the team. We envisage a tough one with the Del Valle as our favorites to advance to the quarterfinals. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Mushuc Runa: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: WLLLL

El Pochito is the direct opposite of their opponents, Independiente Del Valle. Mushuc Runa managed to secure a win in their last league game against Aucas after 12 games without a win. The team is still struggling, and they might just be edging towards another defeat against a familiar opponent, on a familiar ground, on Wednesday. Their last league game against Aucas was the only taste of victory they’ve had in their last 11 games.

Surprisingly, Mushuk Runa finished top of Group E in the Copa Sudamericana group stage with an unbeaten record. They secured 5 wins, with a draw from the six group stage games played. Their unbeaten record in the Copa Sudamericana this season met its end at the hands of Independiente Del Valle last week. Claudio Spinelli’s 19th-minute header made the difference for the teams in a game that Del Valle took control of. 

The Club is currently struggling at the bottom of the Ecuadorian league with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses from the 25 league games played. They continue their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana against their alter ego in the same league. 

Mushuc Runa: Lineup

Mushuc Runa: Lineup

Paul Velez needs to do something really fast about the current state of his team. Their narrow victory over Aucas over the weekend might be the awakening the team has been longing for.

🔖 Mushuk Runa starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Rodrigo Formento– Kevin Peralta, Dennis Quintero, Bryan Bentaberry, Angel Gracia– Luis Arce, Davila, – Robert Burbano, Cristian Penilla, Bagner Delgado– Jairon Charcopa

👤 Head coach: Paul Velez 

Independiente del Valle: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: WWDWW

The black-and-blues have been incredible with an unbeaten record in their last 18 games across all competitions, with 6 draws and 11 incredible victories. Del Valle is sensational, with four victories and a draw in their last five games across all competitions. In the Ecuadorian league, they are on top, with 15 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses from the 25 league games played. The black-and-blues must have forgotten the taste of defeat, because the last time they lost a game was as far back as May this year.

Los Negriazules crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B, which comprises River Plate, Universitario, and Barcelona SC. However, their third-place finish in the Copa Libertadores bought them one last chance to compete in the Sudamericana, but they must first pass through a playoff. Del Valle played Vasco Da Gama in the playoffs, and they defeated Vasco by a 5-1 aggregate. Del Valle won 4 goals to nil in the first leg, while the return leg ended in a 1-1 draw.

They defeated Mushuc Runa by a narrow 1-0 victory in the first leg of the round of 16 last week, all thanks to Claudio Spinelli’s 19th-minute header that put his team ahead early on in the first half. Del Valle created more chances in that game, and pundits believed they should have scored more than one goal. Patrik Mercado has been a force to reckon with for Del Valle this season. He scored a brace in their 4-0 victory against Vasco da Gama, and he remains the team's top scorer in the Sudamericana. 

Del Valle's domestic form has been solid throughout the 2025 season, with the team showing consistency in the Ecuadorian Serie A, and this consistency has kept them on top of the league with a solid nine-point margin over their closest rivals, LDU Quito.

Independiente del Valle: Probable Lineup

Claudio Spinelli has been instrumental in Del Valle's goal, contributing 9 goals this season. He remains a goal-scoring threat. Matias Fernandez continues to make in-runs from his right flank, and Gustavo Cortez widely supports him on the opposite flank. Michael Hoyos will be available for this game, and he will most likely lead the team once again. 

Player to watch out for: Patrick Mercado

22-year-old Patrick Mercado has been incredible in form for Del Valle. The 22-year-old Ecuadorian is currently valued at 2.7M Euros, and his playmaking abilities are outstanding for a player his age. He is the team's top scorer in the Sudamericana with three goals to his name in the South American competition. He is also the player with the highest assist for Del Valle in the domestic league, with 8 assists to his name. 

🔖 Independiente Del Valle starting lineup (4-1-4-1)

Villar – Gustavo Cortez, Zarate, Matias Fernandez, Richard Schunke – Alcivar, — Ibarra, Pata, Mercado, Guagua – Claudio Spinelli

👤 Head Coach: Javier Rabanal

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: head to head statistics

It's a familiar territory for Del Valle; in fact, Del Valle travelled to the Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa late last year to face Mushuc Runa in the second stage of the Liga Pro Serie A Primera Etapa, where both teams took a share of the spoils. Del Valle leads in their head-to-head stats if we look at their last 10 matches.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Betting Tips & Odds

• No losses for Del Valle in their last four meetings, and the option for Del Valle to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.93;
• Both teams have found the net in 5 of their last 7 meetings, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.79 odds;
• Del Valle has scored first in 5 of their last 6 meetings, and this option is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website at 1.70 odds;
• Some experts believe that Mushuk Runa will win because of their near-perfect record in the Copa Sudamericana, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 3.80 odds;

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle match prediction 20 August 2025

All signs point toward an Independiente del Valle victory, given their outstanding form and historical edge over Mushuc Runa. Mushuc Runa have been struggling lately, and it would take something extraordinary for them to pull off an upset on Wednesday. Independiente del Valle, on the other hand, has not lost a game in their last 18 games. Don’t get it twisted, this is more like a domestic game under the guise of a South American Competition, and both teams will most likely play their guts out. Mushuc Runa may be in a bad place, but let's not forget their performance in their last league game, and they also have the home advantage. A win or draw for Del Valle is our first prediction, followed by both teams finding the net.

Our match prediction is a total of over 4.5 corners for Independiente Del Valle for a coefficient of 1.60 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a win or draw for Del Valle, and a total of under 3.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.70 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, both teams to score for 1.79 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.