Alianza Lima vs Gremio Prediction for the Match on July 17, 2025

Alianza Lima vs Gremio: Prediction and odds on the Match on 17 July 2025

The Copa Sudamericana playoff round reaches an important stage as Peru’s Allianz Lima hosts Brazil’s Gremio at the Iconic Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza, third in Copa Libertadores Group D, is unbeaten in their last eight games across all competitions. Gremio, on the other hand, second in Copa Sudamericana Group D, arrive with a six-game unbeaten streak, but a recent 4-1 loss to Cruzeiro in Série A raises concerns about their ability to make it to the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. Alianza Lima enters this game with a wave of consistency across their last 8 games which they have remained unbeaten. Can Alianza Lima uphold their unbeaten run and secure a positive outcome against Gremio at home? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Alianza Lima: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: DWWWD

Alianza Lima have been a force at home, losing just once in their last eight matches across all competitions, including a 5-1 rout of Deportivo Binacional last week with Guerrero scoring a brace. In the Copa Libertadores, they secured third in Group D after a 2-2 draw against Libertad, in the final group game, earning their Sudamericana playoff spot. 

In the league, Alianza Lima is currently second placed, with just two points separating them from league leaders Universitario. Their 8-game unbeaten run in the league puts them in a favorable finish in the league this season, and they might even end up as Champions. Their last league game against UTC ended in a goalless draw, and all eyes are on their Copa Sudamericana playoff game against Gremio. 

Alianza Lima Lineup

Alianza Lima: Lineup

This game is very important for Nestor Gorosito as a victory here could potentially give Lima an opportunity to make it into the Copa Sudamericana. It’ll be the normal 4-3-3 formation for Gorosito as he will go all out on the attack. Eryc Castillo will not be available for the game as he was subbed off in their last league game against UTC. Pablo Ceppelini might take his place. 

🔖 Alianza Lima Probable starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Viscarra– Noriega, Garces, Trauco, Huaman — Gaibor, Jesus Castillo, — Cari, Cantero, Ceppelini – Barcos 

👤 Head coach: Nestor Gorosito

Gremio: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: LWDWW

Gremio lost to Cruzeiro in their round 13 league game earlier this week, and fans all over the world have not entirely blamed Gremio's defeat, as manager Mano Menezes had some key players rested for the upcoming first-leg encounter of the Copa Sudamericana game on Thursday. Gemio was outclassed in that 4-1 defeat. In the Brazilian league, Gremio continues to struggle with more losses than wins and draws. Gremio is currently 12th placed in the league table with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses from the 13 games played. 

In the Copa Sudamericana, Gremio had a great run as they finished unbeaten in Group D with three wins and three draws from the six games played. Gremio, however, finished second on goal difference as Godoy Cruz had 2 more goals than Gremio in goal difference. Looking at Gremio’s pedigree in the group stages of the Copa Sudamericana, they appear to be a worthy contender for the round of 16 place, and it's going to be a case of who scores first on Thursday.

Gremio Lineup

This is a very important game for manager Mano Menezes, as there is no room for failure as they head into this two-legged clash. Arezo continues to lead the attack as Danish striker Braithwaite is doubtful for the game. Dodi will also be available after missing the league game against Cruzeiro due to suspension. Olivera is still out after being subbed off in the first half of their 1-1 draw against Corinthians.

🔖 Grêmio starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Volpi – Gustavo Martins, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Lucas Esteves – Dodi, Villasanti – Alysson, Cristaldo, Amuzu – Arezo

⛔️Out: Braithwaite, Olivera, João Pedro, Cuéllar, Ely (injured), Dodi (suspended)

👤 Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Alianza Lima vs Gremio: head to head statistics

This is the first match between the teams, adding an extra layer of excitement to the matchup. Alianza Lima enters this game with an unbeaten run in their last 8 games across all competitions, while Gremio, on the other hand, is also in good form with little struggles in the League. Alianza Lima appears like the better choice in this matchup. 

Alianza Lima vs Gremio: Betting Tips & Odds

• An unbeaten run for Alianza Lima in their last 8 games across all competitions, and the option for Alianza Lima to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 2.32;
• Gremio has scored first in 6 of their last 8 games, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 2.40 odds;
• There have been more than 10.5 corners in 5 of Gremio’s last 7 games, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 2.54 odds;
• Some experts believe that Gremio will win, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 3.32 odds;

Alianza Lima vs Gremio match prediction 17 July 2025

A closer look at both teams shows a big contrast in momentum. Alianza Lima is unbeaten in their last 8 games across all competitions while also maintaining a stubborn defensive record alongside the unbeaten record. Alianza Lima has conceded just one goal in their last 5 games across all competitions, which goes to show how coordinated they are defensively. For Gremio, it's an entirely different case. Gremio is struggling for a mid-table position in the Serie A, but let's not forget to mention how defensively coordinated they can also be. Here’s what I think will happen in this game: both teams will hold their fort defensively, and we might see a goalless full-time draw or a win or draw for the hosts, Alianza Lima. I expect both teams to play over the shoulder of the other, and we might see a very cagey first half, which will most likely end in a draw.

Our match prediction is a total of over 3.5 corners for Gremio for a coefficient of 1.63 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a half-time draw for a coefficient of 1.87 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, A win or draw for Alianza Lima and a total of under 2.5 goals for 1.90 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.