Gremio vs Alianza Lima Prediction for the Match on July 24, 2025

Gremio vs Alianza Lima: Prediction and odds on the Match on 24 July 2025

The Copa Sudamericana playoff round is on the way as Peru’s Alianza Lima looks to finish the job they started at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva last week. After finishing third in Copa Libertadores Group D, and a precarious victory over Gremio last week, Alianza now have one foot in the knockout stages of the Sudamericana. Gremio, on the other hand, comes into this clash in rough shape. They’re winless in their last three matches across all competitions, and their first-leg performance was anything but convincing. With a two-goal deficit to overcome, Gremio will need something close to a miracle to turn things around. Alianza Lima seems to have the momentum, but it’s football, and things can change quickly. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Gremio: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: DLLWD

Gremio’s struggles continued this week as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Vasco da Gama in their Round 14 league match. The result came right after their disappointing loss to Alianza Lima in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana playoffs, adding to what has been a frustrating run of form. Against Vasco, Gremio were outmuscled for much of the game, but a late goal from Martins in the 80th minute rescued a point and spared them from back-to-back defeats.

In the league, Gremio currently sits in 13th place with just 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses from 14 matches. It’s been a tough campaign so far, especially coming off a strong showing in the Copa Sudamericana group stage, where they went unbeaten — three wins and three draws from six games. Unfortunately, they only managed second place in Group D, losing out on top spot to Godoy Cruz on 2-goal difference. 

Their first leg clash against Alianza Lima was a tough one. Gremio struggled to make any impact in the game, failing to create a single big chance and managing only 8 shots all game. With a two-goal deficit heading into the return leg, the odds are stacked against them, and it will take something special to turn the tide around.  

Gremio Lineup

This is a very important game for manager Mano Menezes, as there is no room for failure as they head into this return leg. Arezo continues to lead the attack as Danish striker Braithwaite is doubtful for the game. Dodi will also be available after missing the league game against Cruzeiro due to suspension. Olivera is still out after being subbed off in the first half of their 1-1 draw against Corinthians.

🔖 Grêmio starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Volpi – Gustavo Martins, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Lucas Esteves – Dodi, Villasanti – Alysson, Cristaldo, Amuzu – Arezo

⛔️Out: Braithwaite, Olivera, João Pedro, Cuéllar, Ely (injured), Dodi (suspended)

👤 Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Alianza Lima: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: LWDWW

Alianza Lima has been a force at home, losing just once in their last ten matches across all competitions. They were unbeaten in their last 10 games across all competitions, but it all ended in their last league game against Cusco, where they lost by a 2-0 scoreline. Their defeat could be attributed to the upcoming Copa Sudamericana playoffs, and we are sure to see a different Alianza Lima side on Thursday. 

In the Copa Sudamericana playoffs, Alianza Lima started on a good foot with a 2-0 win over Gremio in the first leg. Alianza Lima took total control of that game with a good hold on the game right from the first half, but the real magic happened in the second half. Gentile got the first goal in the 58th minute, and Castillo doubled their lead just 3 minutes after Gentile’s opening goal. This two-goal cushion will give Alianza Lima an edge as they walk majestically into the return leg on Thursday. 

Alianza Lima Lineup

Alianza Lima: Lineup

This game is very important for Nestor Gorosito as a victory here could potentially give Lima an opportunity to make it into the Copa Sudamericana. It’ll be the normal 4-3-3 formation for Gorosito as he will go all out on the attack regardless of the two-goal advantage. Eryc Castillo will be available for the game as he scored their second goal in the first leg.  

🔖 Alianza Lima Probable starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Viscarra– Noriega, Garces, Trauco, Huaman — Gaibor, Jesus Castillo, — Eryc Castillo, Cantero, Ceppelini – Barcos 

👤 Head coach: Nestor Gorosito

Gremio vs Alianza Lima: head to head statistics

The first leg ended in a victory for Alianza Lima, and I believe they might be well on their way to the Copa Sudamericana round of 16. However, we cannot entirely rule out Gremio as they have the home advantage and can turn this around in a minute. 

Gremio vs Alianza Lima: Betting Tips & Odds

• No wins for Gremio in their last three meetings, and the option for Gremio to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.58;
• There have been more than 10.5 corners in 6 of Gremio’s last 8 games, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.86 odds;
• Some experts believe that Alianza Lima will win, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 5.33 odds;

Gremio vs Alianza Lima match prediction 24 July 2025

A closer look at both teams shows a big contrast in momentum. Alianza Lima appears to be in a much better form when compared to Gremio, and they might run away with their first-leg 2-goal lead. Gremio has the home advantage here, and they’ll capitalize on that advantage. 

Let’s also not forget that Gremio is struggling for a mid-table position in the Serie A, not to mention how defensively coordinated they can also be. Here’s what I think will happen in this game: both teams will hold their fort defensively, and we might see a goal in the first half for Gremio. I expect both teams to play over the shoulder of the other, and we might see a very cagey first half, which will most likely end in a draw. We can bank on the corner options as well as there was an increased number of corners in the first leg. 

Our match prediction is a total of over (2) corners for Alianza Lima for a coefficient of 1.60 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a half-time draw for a coefficient of 2.26 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, A total of under 2.5 goals for 1.88 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.