Independiente del Valle vs Atlético-MG Prediction for the Match on October 22, 2025

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético-MG: Prediction and odds on the Match on 22 October 2025

Ecuadorian LigaPro side Independiente Del Valle will host Brazilian side Atlético Mineiro in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana semi-final. Del Valle is hosting Mushuk Runa at the Estadio Banco del Guayaquil, the same arena where Del Valle lost to Once Caldas in the first leg of the Quarterfinals. 

Del Valle qualified for the semi-finals after a 2-2 draw against Once Caldas across both legs, before finally making it through on penalties. We believe Del Valle has the home advantage, and they will emerge victorious in this game. Our prediction is a win or a draw, and a total of over 1.5 goals for Del Valle. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Independiente del Valle: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: WLWWD

The black-and-blues have been incredible as they remain top of the Ecuadorian Liga Pro Championship round with 20 victories, 10 draws, and only two losses in the league. The black-and-blues must have forgotten the taste of defeat, because the last time they lost a league game was as far back as May this year.

Los Negriazules crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B, which comprises River Plate, Universitario, and Barcelona SC. However, their third-place finish in the Copa Libertadores bought them one last chance to compete in the Sudamericana playoffs, where they defeated Vasco by a 5-1 aggregate. Del Valle won 4 goals to 0 in the first leg, while the second leg ended in a 1-1 draw.

Claudio Spinelli has been a force to reckon with for Del Valle this season. He is the team's top scorer this season with 17 goals to his name. 

Del Valle's form in the Sudamericana has been solid; they advanced on penalties to the semi-finals after defeating Once Caldas on penalties. The team showed consistency in the Ecuadorian Serie A, and this consistency has kept them on top of the league with a solid fifteen-point margin over their closest rivals, LDU. 

Independiente del Valle Lineup

Javier Rabanal rested his key players over the weekend for this game. Spinelli was subbed in in the 79th minute, and he scored a goal. 

Claudio Spinelli has been instrumental in Del Valle's goal, contributing 17 goals in total this season. He remains a goal-scoring threat. Matias Fernandez continues to make in-runs from his right flank, and Gustavo Cortez widely supports him on the opposite flank. Michael Hoyos will be available for this game, and he will most likely lead the team once again. 

Player to watch out for: Claudio Spinelli 

The 28-year-old forward has been in incredible form for Del Valle. The 28-year-old Argentine forward is currently valued at 1.7M Euros, and his playmaking abilities are outstanding for a player his age. He is the overall team top scorer this season. 

🔖 Independiente Del Valle starting lineup (4-1-3-2)

Villar – Gustavo Cortez, Andy Velasco, Matias Fernandez, Richard Schunke – Jhegson Mendez, — Ibarra, Mercado, Guagua – Claudio Spinelli, Michael Hoyos

👤 Head Coach: Javier Rabanal 

Atlético-MG: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: LDWLD

Being the only Brazilian team left in the Copa Sudamericana, Atlético Mineiro must have a very big challenge ahead of them in the Sudamericana. Atletico Mineiro have had an average performance in the league as they are currently 14th placed with more losses (11) than wins (8), and draws(9) from the 28 league games played. Atletico Mineiro’s away form has dipped, with nine losses in fifteen games played on the road.

In the Copa Sudamericana, they finished as runners-up in Group H with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 11 goals and conceding 6, and earning a total of 9 points from a possible 18. Mineiro made it to the Quarterfinals of this competition after thrashing Bolivar on a 3-2 aggregate across both legs. Bernard’s last-minute goal in the return leg was the savior for Mineiro.

Atlético-MG Lineup

Coach Cuca rested some key players over the week for this game. He has his full team back, except for a few players whom he can do without. The team will aim to replicate that performance in the first leg. 

Player to watch out for: Hulk 

Hulk is the man to watch out for in this team. The 39-year-old striker has scored three goals so far for Mineiro in the Copa Sudamericana. He is also making strides in the league, with 4 goals and three assists so far in the Brasileirão. 

🔖Atletico Mineiro starting lineup (4-3-3)

Everson – Saravia, Ruan, Ivan Roman, – Vera, Gabriel Menino, Scarpa, Guilherme Arana – Rony, Dudu – Hulk,

⛔️Out: Junior Santos, Patrick, Alexsander, Lyanco, Tomas Cuello. Doubtful-Caio Maia. (Injured)

👤Head Coach: Cuca 

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético-MG: head to head statistics

The teams have already met four times in the group stages of the Copa Libertadores, and Atletico Mineiro won two of those games, with Del Valle winning one, and one draw.

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético-MG: Betting Tips & Odds

• No losses for Del Valle in their last two meetings, and the option for Del Valle to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.85;
• Both teams have found the net in 3 of their last 5 meetings, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 2.13 odds;
• Mineiro has scored first in 3 of their last 4 meetings, and this option is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website at 1.61 odds;
• Some experts believe that Atletico Mineiro will win, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 4.43 odds;

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético-MG match prediction 22 October 2025

The Ecuadorian side has shown plenty of resilience this season, often keeping games tight and doing well to limit their opponents’ chances. However, they may struggle to cope with the strength and intensity that Atlético Mineiro brings to the pitch. However, Del Valle seems to have their head in the game, and they also have the home advantage, which is a very important decider in games of this nature. A win or draw for Del Valle is our first prediction, followed by both teams finding the net.

Our match prediction is a win or draw for Del Valle and a total of over 1.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.73 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a total of over 8.5 corners for a coefficient of 1.67 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, both teams to score for 2.11 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.