Independiente Del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Prediction for the Match on July 16, 2025

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
16 Jul 2025 03:30
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana playoffs. First leg
Stadium: Estadio Banco De Guayaquil
Arena: ( Sangolqui, Ecuador).
16.07.2025 03:30
Referee: Kevin Ortega Pimentel

Chinonso Ukaegbu
14 Jul 2025
21:33
All time statistics:
1212
881
84
55.67%
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type 2HT TO 1.5 goals
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Independiente Del Valle vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction for the Match on July 16, 2025

The Copa Sudamericana playoff round reaches an important stage as Ecuadorian side Independiente Del Valle hosts Brazilian side Vasco da Gama in the first leg of their playoffs. Both teams are fighting for a spot in the knockout stages of South America's second-tier continental competition, with the winner getting a chance to advance and compete in the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. 

This two-legged affair promises to be a memorable battle between the two teams, as they meet for the first time, with the Ecuadorian side aiming to capitalize on their home advantage at the Estadio Rumiñahui in Sangolquí. The return leg will take place in Brazil next week, making this first encounter crucial for both teams. Del Valle has the home advantage, and they can get into a much better position against the Brazilian side, but we still envisage a tactical masterpiece from the visitors. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Form in all competitions: WDWDD

The black-and-blues have been incredible in their last 10 games across all competitions with just a defeat, 4 draws, and five victories. In the Ecuadorian league, they are on top, with 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses from the 20 league games played. Independiente Del Valle crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B, which comprises River Plate, Universitario, and Barcelona SC. Los Negriazules now have another opportunity to compete in the South American competition. It is a familiar playing field for Del Valle as they have established themselves as a continental force, having won the Copa Sudamericana twice in their history, in 2019 and 2022.

Del Valle's domestic form has been solid throughout the 2025 season, with the team showing consistency in the Ecuadorian Serie A, and this consistency has kept them on top of the league with a four-point margin over their closest rivals, LDU. Their experience in the Copa Sudamericana gives them an edge over their opponents heading into this two-legged encounter, and we believe they will not lose this game. The home advantage at Sangolquí could be a turning point for Del Valle here, as they have performed well in front of their passionate supporters this season, with only one league defeat at home so far this season. This game is very important for the Black-and-blues, and they must make the most of it. 

Claudio Spinelli has been instrumental in Del Valle's goal, contributing 7 goals this season. He remains a goal-scoring threat. Matias Fernandez continues to make in-runs from his right flank, and Gustavo Cortez widely supports him on the opposite flank. Michael Hoyos will be available for this game, and he will most likely lead the team once again. 

Independiente Del Valle starting lineup (4-1-4-1)

Villar – Gustavo Cortez, Zarate, Matias Fernandez, Velasco – Alcivar, — Ibarra, Pata, Mercado, Guagua – Hoyos

👤 Head Coach: Javier Rabanal 

Form in all competitions: LWLWL

Vasco da Gama has not achieved much success, both in the league and in the Copa Sudamericana, where they are now hanging by a thread. Vasco had a fair run in Group G of the Copa Sudamericana, where they finished second, ultimately relinquishing the top place to Lanus, who had a much better performance in the Group. Vasco da Gama won two games, with two draws and two losses from the six 6 games played. Vasco eventually finished second in the group, which has now left them at the mercy of a playoff; their success in the Copa Sudamericana depends on their success against the Ecuadorian side. 

Vasco's recent form in the Brazilian Serie A isn't all that well, as they are currently 14th placed in the Brazilian Serie A with 4 wins, a draw, and 8 losses from 13 league games played. Their attack has been particularly poor, scoring only 8 goals in the group stage games, and they have also conceded the same number of goals, with their defense being very shaky. 

This game is very important for Fernando Diniz and his boys, and I believe he’ll go all out in attack with Cabral leading the attack alongside Henrique and João Victor on the defense line. Philippe Coutinho is a master with the ball on his feet, and he will most likely get his name on the scoresheet or even make a significant impact on the game with his sweet feet. Adson broke his tibia, and he will be out for a few months. 

🔖 Probable lineup ( 4-2-3-1):

Leo Jardim — Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, — Hugo Moura, Jhonny Tche Tche— Rayan, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, —, Pable Vegetti

👤 Head Coach: Fernando Diniz 

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This is the first match between the teams, adding an extra layer of excitement to the matchup. Del Valle is unbeaten in their last 9 games while Vasco da Gama isn't in the best of form. Del Valle might get the victory. 

  • No losses for Independiente Del Valle in their last 9 games, and the option for Independiente Del Valle to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.68;
  • Both teams have found the net in 9 of Del Valle’s last 10 games, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.98 odds;
  • Some experts believe that Vasco da Gama will win because of what’s on the line, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 5.16 odds;

Both teams face intense pressure as only a win in this game increases their chances of making it to the round of 16. Independiente Del Valle is unbeaten in their last 9 games across all competitions, and they appear stronger and more inclined for the win. Vasco, on the other hand, has a few struggles. They lost in a derby game to Botafogo over the weekend, and that defeat exposed a lot of loopholes in Vasco’s attack. They had a great game, but they lacked the final pass, and they paid dearly for it. A win or a draw for Del Valle is up there for us as our first prediction. Furthermore, playing at home will give Del Valle an advantage as they are a different team entirely at home, with only a home league defeat so far this season. I believe Del Valle will not lose on their home turf, and a win or a draw, with a total of over 1.5 goals, is a great betting option.
 

Our match prediction is a second-half total of over 1.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.25 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a home win for a coefficient of 1.68 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, A first-half draw for 2.07 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker. 

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Odds 2,25
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Home win
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Odds 2,07
Bet Type HT Draw
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