U.Catolica vs A.Lima Prediction: The most interesting duel of this round in Sudamericana

Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
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21 Aug 2025 03:30
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
Copa Sudamericana Round of 16. Second leg
Stadium: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)
21.08.2025 03:30

Zlatko Ilijevski
20 Aug 2025
23:57
All time statistics:
432
545
0
44.22%
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type W1
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U.Catolica vs A.Lima: Prediction for the Match on August 21, 2025

One of the most uncertain and most interesting duels of the 1/8 finals of the Copa Sudamericana will be played on Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in Quito, Ecuador, between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Lima. The visitors have a solid result from the first match of 2:0, but in this match, U. Catolica are huge favorites. They managed to come back from even worse situations and results, so it will be extremely difficult for Alianza Lima to keep the positive score and advance to the next phase. In the first match, Alianza Lima were a little bit better, only a nuance was the difference between these teams, but they scored two goals in the second half, and now are in a better position.

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Universidad Catolica are considered a huge favorite in this duel, mostly because they are playing at home, but their recent form isn't convincing. They are winless in their last three matches, and they have only two wins in their last five matches at home. They are having a turbulent season in the Ecuadorian league, currently sitting in 8th place with 36 points, 9 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats. At home, they are a much better team with 6 wins, 5 draws, and only one defeat. In the first match, they were equal opponent, they had several chances in the first half, but in the last quarter of the match, their concentration and discipline broke. Last weekend in the domestic championship, they drew against Libertad 1:1 in this stadium, but it's clear that their focus is entirely on this match in the Copa Sudamericana.

Universidad Catolica

� Universidad Catolica starting lineup (4-3-3)

Johan Lara (GK) - Eddy Mejia, Gregori Anangonó, Luis Cangá, Rooney Troya - Facundo Martinez, Mauro Díaz, Rafael Romo - Byron Palacios, Daniel Clavijo, José Fajardo

👤 Head Coach: Diego Martinez

Alianza Lima have a solid result from the first match in Peru of 2:0, even though they weren't a much better team in that match. They are in better form in recent matches than their opponent, with only 1 defeat in their last 17 matches in all competitions. In their last 5 matches, they have 4 wins and a draw. They are also playing well away from home, and have only a defeat in their last 9 away matches, in the league against Cusco. However, this is another level of competition, and it is a knockout stage, so they are naive if they think that everything is done. Playing in Ecuador against U. Catolica is one of the most difficult matches in South American competitions. It will be interesting to see if Alianza Lima will approach this match with the focus on the defense or if they will stick to their usual style and try to keep the ball as much as they can and press the opponent.

Alianza Lima

� Alianza Lima starting lineup (4-4-2)

Guillermo Viscarra (GK) - Ricardo Cesar Lagos Puyen, Renzo Garces, Erick Noriega, Miguel Trauco - Jesús Castillo, Pablo Ceppelini, Jean Pierre Archimbaud, Fernando Gaibor - Alan Martín Cantero, Hernán Barcos

👤 Head Coach: Nestor Gorosito

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The match on August 14th was their first ever encounter, and Alianza Lima won 2:0 at home.

  • BTTS in 3 of U. Catolica's last 5 home matches. This option is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website at 1.82 odds;
  • Alianza Lima won in 3 of their last 5 matches as visitors. This option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 4.8 odds;
  • Alianza Lima scored a goal in their last 3 matches as visitors. This option is available on the 1xbet bookmaker website at 1.52 odds;

In this match I expect a big fight from both teams, but Universidad Catolica are favorite, mostly because they are playing at home, but also because they showed good performances in the first match in Peru, even though they lost 2:0. A. Lima on the other hand will have difficult time in Ecuador to defend and I think that U. Catolica have enough experience to overcome this obstacle and advance to the next phase of the competition.

Our match prediction is W1 for odds of 1.72 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.88 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, over 9.5 corners for odds of 2 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type W1
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Odds 1,88
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,65
Bet Type W1 and over 2.5
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