Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction for the Match on July 23, 2025

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Del Valle: Prediction and odds on the Match on 23 July 2025

The Copa Sudamericana playoff round reaches an important stage as Ecuadorian side Independiente Del Valle hosts Brazilian side Vasco da Gama in the return leg of their Copa Sudamericana playoffs. Vasco da Gama is trailing 4-0 from the first leg at Quito in a game that had them utterly disoriented as Del Valle took control of the game from the sound of the referee's whistle. Patrik Mercado was sensational in that game for Del Valle, scoring a brace and winning the player of the match award. Del Valle might have already sealed their spot in the knockout stages of South America's second-tier continental competition, and they might be well on their way to compete in the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. 

Independiente Del Valle will not aim for the victory here; they will only hope to keep the scoreline as it is to give them the necessary boost and qualification to the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Vasco da Gama: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: DLLWL

Vasco da Gama has not achieved much success, both in the league and in the Copa Sudamericana, where they are now hanging by a thread. Vasco had a fair run in Group G of the Copa Sudamericana, where they finished second, ultimately relinquishing the top place to Lanus, who had a much better performance in the Group. Vasco da Gama won two games, with two draws and two losses from the six 6 games played. Vasco eventually finished second in the group, which has now left them at the mercy of a playoff, which is not entirely going their way.

The first leg game against Del Valle was a disaster. Vasco lost by 4 goals to nil. Del Valle had total control of the game from the 1st minute to the last minute. They conceded first in the dying minutes of the first half but hell was let loose on Vasco in the second half with Patrik Mercado getting a brace in the second half. The scoreline should have been 5-0, but goalkeeper Leo Jardim saved a penalty kick by Juan Cazres in the 90+1 minute. 

Vasco's recent form in the Brazilian Serie A isn't all that well, as they are currently 15th placed in the Brazilian Serie A with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses from 14 league games played. Their attack has been particularly poor, scoring only 8 goals in the group stage games, and they have also conceded the same number of goals, with their defense being very shaky. 

Vasco da Gama Lineup

This might be the end of the road for Segundo Castillo and his boys in the Copa Sudamericana. It will be very hard to overturn a 4-goal deficit against Del Valle. I believe he’ll go all out in attack with Cabral leading the attack alongside Henrique and João Victor on the defense line. Philippe Coutinho wasn't part of the squad that travelled to Quito last time out, and my take is he will most likely sit this one out. Adson broke his tibia, and he will be out for a few months. 

🔖 Probable lineup ( 4-2-3-1):

Leo Jardim — Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, — Hugo Moura, Jhonny Tche Tche— Rayan, Philippe Coutinho, David, —, Pable Vegetti

👤 Head Coach: Fernando Diniz

Independiente Del Valle: form and statistics

Form in all competitions: WWWDW

The black-and-blues have been incredible in their last 10 games across all competitions, with 4 draws and 6 incredible victories. Del Valle is sensational, with three consecutive victories in their last three games across all competitions. In the Ecuadorian league, they are on top, with 12 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses from the 21 league games played. Independiente Del Valle crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B, which comprises River Plate, Universitario, and Barcelona SC. Los Negriazules now have another opportunity to compete in the South American competition. It is a familiar playing field for Del Valle as they have established themselves as a continental force, having won the Copa Sudamericana twice in their history, in 2019 and 2022.

Del Valle made no mistake in making a name for themselves on their home turf in the first leg and putting Vasco just where they belong. Carabajal scored the opener for Del Valle in the dying minutes of the first half. Patrik Mercado doubled their lead in the early minutes of the second half before Claudio Spinelli made it three just 3 minutes after Mercado’s second goal. Patrik Mercado made it four in the 82nd minute, and that was the end of the road for Vasco. 

Del Valle's domestic form has been solid throughout the 2025 season, with the team showing consistency in the Ecuadorian Serie A, and this consistency has kept them on top of the league with a four-point margin over their closest rivals, LDU. 

Independiente Del Valle Lineup

Claudio Spinelli has been instrumental in Del Valle's goal, contributing 8 goals this season. He remains a goal-scoring threat. Matias Fernandez continues to make in-runs from his right flank, and Gustavo Cortez widely supports him on the opposite flank. Michael Hoyos will be available for this game, and he will most likely lead the team once again. 

� Independiente Del Valle starting lineup (4-1-4-1)

Villar – Gustavo Cortez, Zarate, Matias Fernandez, Velasco – Alcivar, — Ibarra, Pata, Mercado, Guagua – Hoyos

👤 Head Coach: Javier Rabanal 

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Del Valle: head to head statistics

Their first-leg encounter was a good one for Del Valle, and Del Valle won the first-leg encounter with a 4-0 scoreline. We can also bank on a total of over 2.5 goals in this game. 

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Del Valle: Betting Tips & Odds

• No losses for Independiente Del Valle in their last 10 games, and the option for Independiente Del Valle to win this game is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for odds of 4.74.
• Both teams have found the net in 8 of Del Valle’s last 10 games, and this option is available on the Betway bookmaker website at 1.70 odds;
• Some experts believe that Vasco da Gama will win because of what’s on the line, and this option is offered in the Bet365 bookmaker at 1.76 odds;

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Del Valle match prediction 23 July 2025

Vasco da Gama faces intense pressure as they are trailing by 4 goals, making their chances of making it to the round of 16 slim. Independiente Del Valle is unbeaten in their last 10 games across all competitions, and they appear stronger and more inclined for a qualification to the round of 16. Vasco, on the other hand, has a few struggles. Vasco might win this game, but I believe it will be very hard to overturn a 4-goal deficit against Del Valle. Furthermore, playing at home might give Vasco an advantage, but I still believe it will be very hard to overturn a 4-goal difference. A total of over 2.5 goals is a good prediction. 

Our match prediction is a total of over 2.5 corners for Del Valle for a coefficient of 1.80 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match is a total of over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.77 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly, A first-half draw for 2.10 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.