Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction: Championship, 16 Aug 2025
The Championship Round 2 clash, filled with pulsating action, is set at The Den as Millwall take on Middlesbrough. Millwall went past Norwich 2-1 thanks to the goals from Camiel Neghli and Macaulay Langstaff in a gritty display. Middlesbrough are showing ambitions with their 1-0 win over Swansea, secured by Dael Fry's header. Their last encounter saw Millwall claiming a slim 1-0 victory, but with Middlesbrough winning 11 out of their 27 meetings, everything is at stake. Can Millwall maintain their home dominance, or will Boro's style of possession counter that? Our data pieced together for the analysis, along with Millwall's 100% home win rate and Boro's 58% possession, goes into form, tactics, and key players like Neghli and Iheanacho. Enjoy this analysis for the final prediction!
Claim Welcome Bonus🔵 Millwall
Under head coach Alex Neil, Millwall has started the 2025/26 Championship season with a 2-1 away victory at Norwich. Camiel Neghli's remarkable long-range goal and Macaulay Langstaff's late strike ensured the three points. Their 4-4-2 system maintains an average of 1.5 goals per game, with 15 shots and 100% BTTS so far this season. Aerial prowess from Jake Cooper (4 duels won) and the creative touches of Neghli (2 shots on target) have kept the team on a now unbeaten 5-home-game run in the Championship. The recent general run of form (W-W-L-W-W) shows grit, with an almost respectable 41.5 percent ball possession amounting to rather direct play. High pressing should be the game to break Middlesbrough's rhythm, with George Honeyman orchestrating matters from midfield. They carry a 100% win record at The Den and home despatch Boro with a considerable threat; however, Boro counter-attacks could smartly target Millwall's defensive empties, the very same that Norwich exploited to their advantage. It would be a physical test for Boro, with Millwall averaging 5 corners and 15 fouls per game; however, the key would be to keep their cards away.
Millwall Lineup
🔁 Predicted Lineup: Steven Benda, Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Alfie Doughty, Casper De Norre, Billy Mitchell, George Honeyman, Femi Azeez, Camiel Neghli, Mihailo Ivanovic
🚑 Injuries/Suspension: Lukas Jensen (Achilles), Danny McNamara (Knee).
👨✈️ Head Coach: Alex Neil
🔴 Middlesbrough
The first game of the season saw Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough gain a 1-0 victory at home against Swansea Town with Fry Dael's header sealing the occasion. Their 4-2-3-1 formation averages 58% possession, pledging an average number of 15.67 shots, but an alarming 0% BTTS is an indicator of poor finishing. The attack is spearheaded by pressing prowess from Kelechi Iheanacho and a goal from Tommy Conway (1 goal), while Samuel Iling-Junior provides impressive creativity (2 chances created). The present run of form (W-L-D-L-W-L) speaks of inconsistency, where the three back-to-back away defeats surely dig a foothold for concern.
Tactically, Boro will look to dominate possession; however, Millwall's press will seek to break their rhythm at 7.67 passes per sequence. Fry is a threat at set-pieces (1 goal), and while this bolsters the attack, that no goals scored on the road this term are giving an unsettling thought. Last time, a clean sheet showcased defensive might, but The Den will harbour an intensity hard to withstand. Seven corners generated and 15 fouls committed see Boro match Millwall's physicality, but relaxation about their away form will hinder any ambition for the win.
Middlesbrough Lineup
🔁 Predicted Lineup: Mark Travers, Anfernee Dijksteel, Rav van den Berg, Jonny Howson, Samuel Iling-Junior, Hayden Hackney, Aidan Morris, Delano Burgzorg, Kelechi Iheanacho, Finn Azaz, Tommy Conway
🚑 Injuries/Suspension: Darragh Lenihan (Ankle), Riley McGree (Unknown)
👨✈️ Head Coach: Michael Carrick
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📊 Millwall vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head Record
Millwall 10 wins, Middlesbrough 11 wins, 6 draws. Last meeting: Millwall 1-0 (12 Apr 2025).
📈 Millwall vs Middlesbrough Betting Tips and Odds
- Millwall to Win: 43% probability, 100% home wins.
- Under 2.5 Goals: 67% of both teams’ games under 2.5.
- BTTS – No: Boro’s 0% BTTS, Millwall’s 33%.
- Correct Score 1-0: Millwall’s 12% chance for 1-0 home wins.
- Over 1.5 Goals: Millwall’s 100% over 1.5 games.
- Millwall +0.5 Handicap: Unbeaten home streak.
🎯 Millwall vs Middlesbrough Match Prediction
I expect Millwall’s home edge to deliver a hard-fought victory.
My top 3 picks:-
Millwall to Win (2.34 odds): Their 100% home win rate and Boro’s three away losses favor the Lions. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
Under 2.5 Goals (1.71 odds): Both teams’ 67% under 2.5 goals trend suggests a low-scoring game. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
Correct Score 1-0 (7.0 odds): Millwall’s defensive solidity and home form point to a narrow win. (Rating: ⭐⭐)
Other predictions
