Ferrol vs Gijon Prediction: Gijon may be too strong for Ferrol

Ferrol vs Gijon: Prediction and odds on the Match on 31 May 2025

Racing Ferrol will roll out the green carpet for their visitors, Sporting Gijón, in their season curtain-closer at the Estadio Municipal de A Malata. The Galicians will want to give their fans something to be happy about before the season ends, and the fans will be expecting and deserving of it, as they have supported the team through it all I the hope of avoiding relegation. For Gijon, it will be a short trip to ensure they end the season with back-to-back wins. The subsequent sections will analyse their team form, H2H, player statistics, etc, to determine the best bet to place. 

Ferrol: Forms and Statistics

Racing Ferrol will enter this game after losing away to Albacete on 24 May 2025. This result left the team with just one win the their last 5 games played. That loss froze their league record for the season at 6 wins, 12 draws and 23 defeats after matchday 41. This placed the team in 21st position on the league standings with 30 points.

Ferrol's numbers for this season are stark. Ferrol have produced only 0.54 goals per game and has conceded a whopping 1.54 goals per season, leading to the team being classified as the worst attack and one of the weakest defences. Inevitably, that imbalance in the defence and attack has driven their goal difference to an amazing -40.

The Estadio Municipal de A Matala has not offered any refuge as 3 of the 6 games played have ended in wins. With survival already impossible at this stage of the season, Ferrol’s objective will be to go out with pride.

Ferrol: Lineup

With Naldo, Castro, Purić and Cabaco all unavailable at centre-half, as well as Aitor Buñuel, Luis Perea and Raúl Blanco ruled out, Menéndez will be scratching his head to put together a team that can compete, especially at the back. The most straightforward formation is 4-2-3-1. Below is the lineup: 

🔖Racing Ferrol lineup (4-2-3-1)

Ruiz; Correa, Curbelo, Manzanara, Martínez; Sanz, Gelardo; Dorrio, Señé, Peña; Giménez.

⛔️ Unavailable: Naldo (injury), Castro (red card), Puric (red card), Cabaco (injury), Bunuel (injury), Perea (injury), Blanco (injury)

👤 Head Coach: Alejandro Menendez

Gijon: Forms and Statistics

Gijón enters the final game of the season after defeating Cartagena 3-2 at the El Molinón on 25 May 2025. This win meant Gijon has won 2 of the last 3 games played. Considering the last 5 games played, the team has won 2 and lost 3. This run puts Gijon in 14th position and is very safe from relegation. In 41 games played, Gijon has won 13, drawn 14 and lost 14. The statistics also show that Gijon has scored 55 goals and conceded 54. 

Offence has not been an issue for Gijon with Otero scoring goals and Campos also chipping in goals when needed. Attacking-midfielder Gelabert and deep-lying orchestrator Martín also add guile between the lines, but defensive lapses still occur as shown in the 4-3 defeat at Castellón and the 2-1 defeat in Málaga. These are issues the coach needs to address if they will end the season with a win. 

Gijon: Lineup

Asier Garitano is most likely to stick to the formation that has propelled the team from relegation, i.e. the 4-2-3-1. This formation enabled the team to play fluid and attacking football, resulting in the weekend win over Cartagena  Below is the likely lineup:

🔖Zaragoza Confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1):

Yáñez; Rosas, Pier, Sánchez, Valdés; Martín, Méndez; Campos, Gelabert, Queipo; Borrego. 

⛔️ Unavailable: Dubasin, Caicedo, Vazquez, Bernal (all injured)

👤 Head Coach:Asier Garitano

Ferrol vs Gijon: head-to-head statistics

Ferrol has won three, while Gijon has won two of the last five games played between these two sides. In these five H2H games, BTTS has occurred three times, and there have been over 1.5 goals scored in each. Gijon has scored six, while Ferrol has scored eight. 

Ferrol vs Gijon: Betting Tips & Odds

• In the last 6 games between Ferrol and Gijon, there has been over 1.5 goals. This option is provided on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.38
• In 5 of their last 6 games between Ferrol and Gijon, Gion has scored a goal. This option is provided on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.38
• In the last 14 games played, Gijon has failed to keep a clean sheet and the bet on opponent to scored has played. This option is provided on the 1XBet bookmaker website for odds of 1.35

Ferrol and Gijon match prediction 31 May 2025

Ferrol are already relegated and fielding a team where most of the starting 11 are not available, hence, motivation is more skewed towards pride rather than points. Gijon, still chasing a finish in the top half, comes in on the emotional high considering their weekend 3-2 win. This will give the team a sharper psychological edge. 

The improvised centre-back pairing of Curbelo and Manzanara may struggle with flat-to-diagonal runs, which Otero usually makes, while Borrego also excels at such movement. I expect an overload down Ferrol’s left, with Campos (in particular) cutting back to the penalty area. With this information, I expect Gijon to win 1-2. 

Below are our predictions for this game.

Our match prediction: is Over 2 for a coefficient of 1.65 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W2 to win for a coefficient of 2.85 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.86 in the Bet365 bookmaker.