Burundi vs Kenya Prediction: At least Kenya will not lose

Burundi vs Kenya: Prediction for the Match on October 09, 2025

With qualification hopes already over, Burundi and Kenya will meet on Thursday at Stade du Prince Louis Rwagasore, playing only for pride as the African qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup near their end.

Both sides have endured a devastating campaign. Burundi sits fourth in group F, 10 points off the group leaders, Ivory Coast, while Kenya trails Burundi by just a single point in fifth position. With no chance of reaching the finals or qualifying for the 2026 World Cup, this clash is more about restoring confidence and giving fans something to cheer about. For Burundi, it’s an opportunity to finish on a high in front of their home crowd, while Kenya will be eager to end a disappointing run. Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available. 

Burundi: Form and Statistics

Form in the qualifiers: LLWLW

Burundi may have only collected 10 points from their eight World Cup qualifiers (three wins, one draw, four defeats), but their campaign has been defined by the strength of their group members. Their total of 10 points from eight games is not enough to keep them in the top three of Group F, with Ivory Coast and Gabon leading on 20 and 19 points respectively. Intamba’s dream of reaching the 2026 World Cup has faded into the distance.

September was particularly harsh on Patrick Sangwa’s side. Back-to-back losses, a narrow 1-0 defeat to Ivory Coast followed by a 2-0 setback against Gambia, ended their qualification hopes and also marked the first time in this campaign that Burundi failed to score in consecutive games. Despite a frustrating qualifier campaign, Burundi have shown good attacking prospects throughout the qualifiers, with 13 goals scored in the campaign. Still, Burundi remains a tough side to face at home, with two wins from four home games, and we wonder what Thursday has in store for Burundi. 

Burundi: Team News

Burundi: Possible Lineup

Sangwa will most likely field the same team as their last game. Kanakimana will most likely still lead the attack, with Frederic Nsabiyumva anchoring the defense line. The typical (5-4-1) formation is Sangwa’s weapon for this game, and he will most likely use the same formation. 

🔖 Burundi Possible lineup (5-4-1)

Jonathan Nahimana —Marco Weymans, Nduwarugira, Frederic Nsabiyumva, Claus Niyukuri, Jordi Liongola — Girumugisha, Parfait Bzoza, Henry Msanga, Mokono Eldhino— Bienvenue Kanakimana

👤 Head coach: Patrick Sangwa 

Kenya: Form and Statistics

Form in the qualifiers: WLLDD

Despite their World Cup hopes already dashed, the Harambee Stars travel with a burning desire in their hearts to build on their 5-0 win over Seychelles last time out. They had a good time in their 5-0 win over Seychelles, with the Al-Arabi star Michael Olunga scoring a brace to complement Ryan Ogam’s first-half brace. That victory ended a four-game winless streak for Kenya. 

However, the team has scored quite well in the qualifiers, as they have scored 17 goals in the qualifiers, level on goals with third-placed Gambia. They have an overall league statistics of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses from a total of 8 games played. Although their dream of playing in the 2026 World Cup is down the drain, Kenya must finish on a positive note. 

Kenya: Team News

Kenya: Possible Lineup

Captain Michael Olunga has been the heartbeat of Kenya’s attack throughout the qualifiers. His brace against Seychelles took his tally to six goals, and he will be more than excited to increase his goal tally on Thursday. Ryan Ogam, who remains the sole striker, also scored a brace against Seychelles last time out, and all eyes are on him to increase his goal tally.

🔖 Kenya Potential Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Bryan Bwire —Rooney Onyango, Collins Sichenje, Sylvester Owino, Manzor Okwaro — Duke Abuya, Chris Onyango, — Willian Wilson, Michael Olunga, Job Ochieng — Ryan Ogam

👤Head coach: Benni McCarthy

Burundi vs Kenya: Head-To-Head Statistics

The teams have met thrice in recent years, with Kenya winning just one, and the rest ending in draws. 

Burundi vs Kenya: Betting Tips & Odds

• No losses for Kenya in their last three meetings, and this option for Kenya to win or draw this game is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for 1.46 odds;
• Some Betway experts believe that Burundi stands a chance for a win or a draw, and the option for Burundi to win or draw is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for 1.40 odds;
• Less than 2.5 corners in their last three meeting, and the option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for 1.57 odds;

Burundi vs Kenya match prediction 09 October 2025

There is no motivation for this game, as the teams have already lost out on the 2026 World Cup. Kenya will be aiming to build on their 5-goal momentum against Seychelles last time out, while Burundi will also be hoping to win on their home turf. My prediction for this game is a win or draw for Kenya and a total of under 2.5 goals. 

Our match prediction: A win or draw for Kenya and a total of under 3.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.78 in the 1xBet bookmaker. 

Our betting tip on the match: A first-half draw for 1.90 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly: Away win at 2.81 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.