Paraguay vs Uruguay Prediction: Paraguay's Dominance At Home Stands Tall

Paraguay
Paraguay
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
06 Jun 2025 02:00
Uruguay
Uruguay
CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers
Round 15
Paraguay vs. Uruguay 
Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asuncion, Paraguay. 
06.06.25 at 02:00

Thobelani Moyo
05 Jun 2025
15:15
All time statistics:
836
822
22
49.76%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,38
Bet Type Total - Under 1.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Paraguay vs Uruguay: Prediction for the Match on June 6, 2025

Paraguay will welcome Uruguay to the Estadio Defensores del Chaco in the 15th round of the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers. Paraguay are four games away from reaching their first World Cup since 2010 as they sit in fifth place in the standings. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news and betting odds to place your bets!

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Form: WWDWD

Paraguay have turned a new corner since suffering three consecutive losses in Copa America. Heading into this match, they have positioned themselves as a force to be reckoned with going unbeaten in eight matches, recording four wins and four draws.

It has to be pointed out that the unbeaten run comes from the CONMEBOL World qualifying matches. Their most recent match in this competition was a 2-2 draw against Colombia away from home, bouncing from two goals down.

Gustavo Alfaro's men have been performing really well when playing at home. Two losses have been recorded in their last 12 home matches. Besides that, they are currently riding a four-match winning streak at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

Paraguay have no injury concerns to be worried about heading into this clash. Saul Salcedo and Alex Arce are the only missing players for the hosts.

Head coach Gustavo Alfaro is likely to start the same lineup that drew 2-2 against Colombia in March 2025. This means we could see Julio Encisco and Gabriel Avalos lead the attack. 

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-4-2): Fernandez; Caceres, Fabian Balbuena, Alderete, Alonso; Galarza, Gomez, Cubas, Almiron; Avalos, Encisco.

⛔️ Out: Saul Salcedo and Alex Arce.

👤 Head coach: Gustavo Alfaro.

Paraguay Latest Games

Paraguay Paraguay
19.11.25
Mexico Mexico
1 - 2
Paraguay Paraguay
16.11.25
USA USA
2 - 1
Paraguay Paraguay
14.10.25
South Korea South Korea
2 - 0
Paraguay Paraguay
10.10.25
Japan Japan
2 - 2
Paraguay Paraguay
10.09.25
Peru Peru
0 - 1
Paraguay Paraguay
05.09.25
Paraguay Paraguay
0 - 0
Ecuador Ecuador
06.06.25
Paraguay Paraguay
2 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
26.03.25
Colombia Colombia
2 - 2
Paraguay Paraguay
21.03.25
Paraguay Paraguay
1 - 0
Chile Chile
16.10.24
Paraguay Paraguay
2 - 1
Venezuela Venezuela

Uruguay Latest Games

Uruguay Uruguay
19.11.25
USA USA
5 - 1
Uruguay Uruguay
16.11.25
Mexico Mexico
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
13.10.25
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
1 - 2
Uruguay Uruguay
10.10.25
Uruguay Uruguay
1 - 0
Dominican Republic Dominican Republic
10.09.25
Chile Chile
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
05.09.25
Uruguay Uruguay
3 - 0
Peru Peru
06.06.25
Paraguay Paraguay
2 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
25.03.25
Bolivia Bolivia
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
22.03.25
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 1
Argentina Argentina
16.10.24
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 0
Ecuador Ecuador

Form: DWDLD

Uruguay are in third place and are level on points with two teams below them in the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers standings. Losing this match could see them drop as low as sixth place. This could become possible if other teams secure wins in their respective matches.

La Celeste have not won a competitive game on the international stage since beating Colombia 3-2 in the CONMEBOL World qualifying in November 2024. Since then, they have gone three qualifying games without a win, recording two draws and one loss.

Their most recent setback in this competition was a goalless draw against Bolivia away from home. The result could have been worse if it wasn't for their opponents' profligacy in front of goal. Bolivia had 32 shots at goal, with seven being on target while the visitors failed to get a shot on target from their 11 attempts.

Uruguay have suffered a huge blow in midfield as they will be without their captain Federico Valverde, who has not been included in the sqaud. The Real Madrid star is currently nursing a back injury.

Darwin Nunez, who recently lifted the English Premier League trophy with Liverpool, is suspended for this match.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-3-3): Rochet; Nandez, R. Araujo, Gimenez, Olivera; De la Cruz, Bentancur, De Arrascaeta; Pellistri, Vinas, M. Araujo.

⛔️ Out: Federico Valverde (back injury), Manuel Ugarte, Darwin Nunez (suspended).

👤Head coach: Marcelo Bielsa.

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Show more predictions

In the last 15 meetings, Paraguay have won 2 times, Uruguay have won 8 times, and there have been 5 draws. The goal difference is 21-10 in favour of Uruguay. 

History of Head-to-Heads

World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025
06.06.25
Paraguay Paraguay
2 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025
07.09.24
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 0
Paraguay Paraguay
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022
28.01.22
Paraguay Paraguay
0 - 1
Uruguay Uruguay
Copa America Zone South 2021 Copa America Zone South 2021
29.06.21
Uruguay Uruguay
1 - 0
Paraguay Paraguay
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022
04.06.21
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 0
Paraguay Paraguay
  • The last meeting between Paraguay and Uruguay ended in a goalless draw. You can bet on the scoreline to be 0-0 full-time for 4.90 at Betway.
  • Uruguay have failed to score in three of their last four away matches in the CONMEBOL WORLD Qualifiers. You can bet on under 0.5 Uruguay goals for 2.25 at 1xbet.
  • Eight yellow cards were shown between the two teams in the last meeting. You can bet on over 5.5 yellow cards for 2.00 at Bet365.

Paraguay have been dominated in this fixture by Uruguay. However, honestly speaking, the current team we are talking about can give the visitors a run of their money. They have been in terrific form and will be able to avoid defeat here. 

It's true that Uruguay have not suffered a defeat against Paraguay since 2007. However, their form coming into this match has been very poor. They have won just one of their last nine matches, and six of those matches have ended with under 1.5 goals. This could turn out to be a very cagey affair, and bet on under 1.5 goals is what I'm going with here.

Our match prediction: Total - Under 1.5 for a coefficient of 2.38 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Full-time Result - Draw for a coefficient of 2.80 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Both Teams To Score - No for a coefficient of 1.63 in the Betway bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 2,38
Bet Type Total - Under 1.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,80
Bet Type Full-time Result - Draw
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - No
Bonus 250 USD
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