Uruguay vs Venezuela Prediction: The Redemption Arc Starts Now For The Home Team

Uruguay
Uruguay
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
11 Jun 2025 02:00
Venezuela
Venezuela
CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers
Round 16
Uruguay vs. Venezuela 
Centenario Stadium, Montevideo, Uruguay. 
11.06.25 at 02:00

Thobelani Moyo
10 Jun 2025
21:29
Statistics of the month:
4
5
1
40%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,61
Bet Type Venezuela Team Total - Under 0.5
Bet Now!
Uruguay vs Venezuela: Prediction for the Match on June 11, 2025

Uruguay are set to host Venezuela at Estadio Centenario in the 16th round of the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news and betting odds to place your bets! 

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Form: WDLDL

Uruguay have fallen from third place to fifth in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying table. With three games remaining in the competition, they have maintained a three point cushion over seventh-placed Venezuela. 

La Celeste's decline in form has been well reported. They are winless in four CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying games, recording two draws and two losses. Accompanying that unwanted is a three-match scoring drought.

In their recent qualifying game against Paraguay, they were on the receiving end of a 2-0 away defeat. That result didn't come as a surprise, considering they were up against the league's best home record. 

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-3-3): Mele; Varela, R. Araujo, Gimenez, Piquerez; Bentancur, Ugarte, De Arrascaeta; Pellistri, Aguirre, M. Araujo

⛔️ Out: Darwin Nunez (suspended).

👤 Head coach: Marcelo Bielsa.

Uruguay Latest Games

Uruguay Uruguay
19.11.25
USA USA
5 - 1
Uruguay Uruguay
16.11.25
Mexico Mexico
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
13.10.25
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
1 - 2
Uruguay Uruguay
10.10.25
Uruguay Uruguay
1 - 0
Dominican Republic Dominican Republic
10.09.25
Chile Chile
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
05.09.25
Uruguay Uruguay
3 - 0
Peru Peru
25.03.25
Bolivia Bolivia
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
22.03.25
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 1
Argentina Argentina
16.10.24
Uruguay Uruguay
0 - 0
Ecuador Ecuador
12.10.24
Peru Peru
1 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay

Venezuela Latest Games

Venezuela Venezuela
19.11.25
Venezuela Venezuela
0 - 2
Canada Canada
15.11.25
Venezuela Venezuela
1 - 0
Australia Australia
11.10.25
Argentina Argentina
1 - 0
Venezuela Venezuela
10.09.25
Venezuela Venezuela
3 - 6
Colombia Colombia
05.09.25
Argentina Argentina
3 - 0
Venezuela Venezuela
26.03.25
Venezuela Venezuela
1 - 0
Peru Peru
22.03.25
Ecuador Ecuador
2 - 1
Venezuela Venezuela
15.11.24
Venezuela Venezuela
1 - 1
Brazil Brazil
16.10.24
Paraguay Paraguay
2 - 1
Venezuela Venezuela
11.10.24
Venezuela Venezuela
1 - 1
Argentina Argentina

Form: DLLWW

Venezuela are still searching for their first win against Uruguay since 2016. Since then, they have gone five matches without a win, including a goalless draw in the reverse fixture of the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying.

La Vinotinto won't let their past meetings against Urugauy get into their head, though, as they come into this match boasting a two-match winning streak in the World Cup qualifiers, outscoring their opponents 3-0.

Last time out against Bolivia, they secured a comfortable 2-0 home win. The game was decided 30 minutes inside the first half as an own goal from Hector Cuellar, and Salomon Rondon's effort proved decisive.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Romo; Aramburu, Ferraresi, Angel, Navarro; Bello, Jose Martinez; Savarino, Segovia, J. Martinez; Rondon

⛔️ Out: None.

👤 Head coach: Fernando Batista.

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In the last 16 meetings, Uruguay have won 5 times, Venezuela have won 3 times, and there have been 8 draws. The goal difference is 21-12 in favour of Uruguay.

History of Head-to-Heads

World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025
11.06.25
Uruguay Uruguay
2 - 0
Venezuela Venezuela
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025
11.09.24
Venezuela Venezuela
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022
02.02.22
Uruguay Uruguay
4 - 1
Venezuela Venezuela
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2020/2022
09.06.21
Venezuela Venezuela
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 1st round 2015/2017 World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 1st round 2015/2017
06.10.17
Venezuela Venezuela
0 - 0
Uruguay Uruguay
  • Uruguay have kept a clean sheet in four of their last seven home matches. You can bet on Uruguay to keep a clean sheet for 1.62 at Betway.
  • Venezuela have lost each of their last two away matches against Uruguay by a two goal margin. You can bet on Uruguay to cover the asian handicap -1.5 for 2.45 at 1xbet.
  • Uruguay and Venezuela have seen three of their last four matches end with under 2.5 goals. You can bet on under 2.5 goals for 1.57 at Bet365.

It has been a difficult period for Uruguay and head Marcelo Bielsa in the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers. They have gone four games without a win in this competition. However, this is their perfect chance to make amends in a must-win match.

Venezuela, on the other hand, are riding high on confidence and can now dream of securing an automatic qualification spot with three games remaining. On foreign territory, though, they have been in poor form. They have lost five straight, and I see the home team using this to their advantage to walk away with three points. 

I'm not expecting a high-scoring affair either with nine of the last ten meetings between the two teams ending with under 3.5 goals.

Our match prediction: Venezuela Team Total - Under 0.5 for a coefficient of 1.61 in the Bet365 bookmaker. 

Our betting tip on the match: Corners - Over 8.5 for a coefficient of 1.81 in the betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: W1 & TU 3.5 for a coefficient of 1.83 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,61
Bet Type Venezuela Team Total - Under 0.5
Bet Now!
Odds 1,83
Bet Type W1 & TU 3.5
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!
Odds 1,81
Bet Type Corners - Over 8.5
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!

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