Brest vs Metz Prediction: Metz to secure a narrow victory

Brest vs Metz: Prediction for the Match on November 23, 2025

Brest and Metz will meet this Sunday at the Stade Francis-Le Blé for round 13 of Ligue 1. Brest are in 15th place with 10 points. In their last match, they lost 3-0 to Marseille. Metz are just ahead in 14th place with 11 points. They won 2-1 against Nice in their last game. In their last encounter, Brest won 4-3.

Brest: Form and Statistics

Stade Brest are struggling at the moment. They've earned just 10 points from their first 12 Ligue 1 matches, with two wins, four draws, and six losses. Their recent form is worrying, having failed to win any of their last five games. They’ve only managed two draws and lost three times. In their latest match, Brest suffered a tough 3-0 loss to Olympique Marseille. This loss highlighted their defensive issues, as they've conceded 21 goals while scoring just 14. Their goal difference of -7 shows the problems they face at both ends of the pitch. At home, Brest's record is mixed. They’ve won once, drawn three times, and lost twice in six games at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. While they’ve been a bit stronger at home, their inconsistent results are still a concern. Manager Éric Roy, known for his defensive style and focus on counter-attacks, needs to find a way to fix their defensive weaknesses and rebuild the team’s confidence after these recent losses.

Brest News and Lineup

Kamory Doumbia is expected to miss the next match for Brest due to a knee issue. Bradley Locko's status is uncertain after picking up a thigh injury before the international break. In their game against Marseille, there was just one change to the starting lineup. Hugo Magnetti replaced Lucas Tousart as a holding midfielder.

🔖 Brest Expected Lineup

Radoslaw Majecki, Kenny Lala, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Brendan Chardonnet, Bradley Locko, Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Baldé, Romain Del Castillo, Pathé Mboup, Ludovic Ajorque

Metz: Form and Statistics

Metz started the season at the bottom of Ligue 1 with just two points after nine games. But they've turned things around and now come into this match as the most in-form team, winning three games in a row. This run has lifted them out of the relegation zone. They now have the chance to win four straight matches for the first time since May 1998, and could also secure back-to-back away wins for the first time in over two years. Metz are filled with confidence after two home victories over Lens and Nice. They beat Nice 2-1 and Lens 2-0, showing better structure and finishing. Their win at Nantes further proves their growing confidence and improvement away from home. Earlier in the season, Metz struggled on the road, losing to Lille, Toulouse, and Monaco. These losses revealed weaknesses in their defense. However, the win at Nantes gives them something solid to build on. Their recent form shows they are now playing with more clarity and focus.

Metz Team News and Lineup

Metz may be without Malick Mbaye again due to a sore foot. Mamadou Sy is also struggling with a head issue, and Fode Ballo-Toure and Urie-Michel Mboula are both doubtful because of hamstring strains. In their last match against Nice, Gauthier Hein scored an early second-half penalty to equalize. That goal gave him four for the season, one more than Habib Diallo, who scored the winning goal six minutes before the end.

🔖 Metz Expected Lineup

Jonathan Fischer, Maxime Colin, Koffi Kouao, Terry Yegbe, Alpha Touré, Jean Gbamin, Jessy Deminguet, Gauthier Hein, Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Habib Diallo, Cheikh Sabaly

Brest vs Metz: Head-to-Head statistics

Brest and Metz have played each other 41 times. Metz lead with 16 wins, while Brest have 11. At Stade Francis-Le Blé, the teams are tied, with both winning eight times in 20 meetings. In Ligue 1, they’ve faced off 27 times. Brest have won nine, Metz have won ten, and there have been eight draws.

Brest vs Metz: Betting Tips & Odds

• Stéphane Le Mignan played against Brest four times, with two wins and two losses. Éric Roy faced Metz twice and won both games.
• Metz has won three games in a row and scored in four straight matches. They are also unbeaten in their last three games. However, they have only one win in their last six away games.
• Brest has one win in their last seven matches and has not won in their last six games. At home, they have one win in the last six matches and have gone three games without a win.

Brest vs Metz match prediction, 23rd November 2025

This match between two teams near the bottom of Ligue 1 should be exciting and important for both. We predict Brest will win at home, thanks to their strong head-to-head record, home advantage, and Metz's poor away form. Both teams have struggled defensively, so we also think both will score. Metz has shown some improvement recently, but Brest's home advantage and historical success should help them secure the three points they need for survival. However, Metz comes into this game with more confidence, and that could make the difference. We expect them to carry that momentum into the match and win by a narrow margin.

Our match prediction is Metz to win with odds at 4.89 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is BTTS (No) with odds at 2.150 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our last match prediction is Under 2.5 goals with odds at 2.06 on Betway bookmaker..