Lille vs Marseille Prediction: Start of the weekend with a big derby

Lille vs Marseille: Prediction and odds on the Match on 05 December 2025

In the 15th round of the French Ligue 1 at their Pierre-Mauroy stadium, a big derby match awaits us. Marseille will visit Lille on Friday evening. Currently, the teams are separated by three points in favor of the visitors, who are in third place. The home team are in fourth place, but any mistake can knock them out of the top four, given that four opponents are within four points. Lille and Marseille always played interesting matches, so we expect another spectacle on Friday night.

Lille: Form and Statistics

Lille managed to turn last week into a winning one. After a dominant 4-0 win over Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League, they also picked up three points in the league. The away win over Le Havre was much tougher, especially after Bouaddi was sent off early in the second half. However, Genesio's team not only kept a clean sheet but also stole the winning goal late in the match thanks to Igamane, who came on as a substitute for the injured Giroud. Overall, Hamza is now the league's top pass scorer. The win is their second in a row in the league, ending a period of instability in which strong performances alternated with defeats. However, Lille are second only to Marseille in terms of goals scored, although there is some unevenness. Defeats such as 6-1, 7-1, and 4-0 have been followed by four league games in which they have failed to score a goal this season. That's no surprise - the squad, especially in attack, underwent significant changes over the summer, losing last year's top scorer, David. However, Lille's fighting spirit stands out: they have scored 14 goals in the last 10 minutes of matches, securing four victories.

Lille: Team News

🔖Lille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer (GK), Thomas Meunier, Nathan Ngoy, Chancel Mbemba, Romain Perraud, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Felix Correia, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Hamza Igamane.

⛔️Out: Alexsandro, A. Bouaddi, M. Caillard, O. Toure, M. Broholm, A. Mandi, C. Verdonk

👤Head coach: Bruno Genesio

Marseille: Form and Statistics

Unlike Lille, Marseille ran out of steam late in their last league game after a midweek Champions League win. In Europe's elite, they ended their losing streak with a win over Newcastle thanks to two goals from Aubameyang. But in the league, after a second-half comeback against Toulouse with goals from Paischau and Arrieta, Olympique were unable to hold on to their lead and conceded a goal in extra time to make it 2-2. It was their second recent home draw with such a result. De Zerby's men also dropped points at the Velodrome against Angers. Those failures prevented Marseille from capitalizing on PSG's mistakes and taking the lead, although they are just two points behind leaders Lens. The two home draws are their only blemish at the Velodrome in the league this season. And their first home win over PSG since 2011 is a sign of De Zerby's serious title ambitions. While things aren't perfect in Europe - three defeats in five matches - their last league defeat was against Lens in late October.

Marseille: Team News

🔖Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Timothy Weah, Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Emerson, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Arthur Vermeeren, Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

⛔️Out: A. Gouiri, F. Medina, M. Murrilo, H. J. Traore, D. Bakola

👤Head coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Lille vs Marseille: Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings between these teams, Lille have won once, while four ended without a winner.

Lille vs Marseille: Betting Tips & Odds

• In their last four matches both teams scored a goal. You can bet on BTTS for odds of 1.56 at Bet365;
• Four of their last five matches ended in a draw. You can bet on a draw for odds of 3.4 at Beway;
• Four of Marseille's last five matches ended with over 2.5 goals. You can bet on over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.7 at 1xbet.

Lille vs Marseille match prediction, 05 December 2025

Both teams have been playing at a high level since the beginning of the season, and in a match like this, betting on a win is best avoided. On the other hand, both want to get the most out of it, play open football, have top-notch attacking areas, and we expect a fast-paced match, with a large number of goal opportunities on both sides. Lille have three wins, two of which were convincing, with as many as four goals scored. It is clear that they have improved their form and are now welcoming their opponents with much more confidence. Marseille are unbeaten in their last four matches, including international fixtures. They score more than two goals per match on average. We expect more than 2.5 goals in this match, and goals from both teams.

Our match prediction:  Over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.7 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: BTTS and over 2.5 goals a coefficient of 1.97 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Over 3.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.75 in the Bet365 bookmaker.