Montpellier vs PSG Prediction: This dead rubber encounter won't produce lots of goals

Montpellier
Montpellier
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Day
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Finished
Live
10 May 2025 22:00
PSG
PSG
Football: France, Ligue 1, Round 33
Stadium: Stade de la Mosson 
Time: 10.05.2025, 10:00 PM


Kingston James
08 May 2025
10:16
All time statistics:
2509
2426
27
50.56%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,91
Bet Type Away Win & Under 4.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Montpellier vs PSG: Prediction for the Match on May 10, 2025

Relegated Montpellier will face off against Ligue 1 champions and UEFA Champions League finalist PSG at the Stade de la Mosson on Saturday. 

La Paillade will hope to end their run of thirteen games without a breakthrough against their guests tomorrow, and even though they manage to win here, it’s needless. PSG, on the other hand, will give some fringe players the opportunity and most definitely preserve his key players for the major event. 

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Last five games: LLLDL

La Paillade have been below par throughout this campaign, as they march here without a win in thirteen Ligue 1 matches. More recently, Montpellier HSC suffered their twenty-fourth defeat of the campaign; only one team has lost that many since the 2017/2018 season. Montpellier didn’t do much in that game, although they only conceded once. The (1-0) against Brest away from home was after their stalemate against Stade Reims on their ground.

Montpellier HSC will ply their trade in the second division next campaign, having picked up sixteen points from a combined ninety-six. 

La Paillade side have the second-worst record at home, recording three wins in sixteen Ligue 1 matches. 

Montpellier HSC have scored twenty-two times (22), which happened to be the fewest in the division, while conceding seventh two (72), which is also the second most in the competition.

Montpellier's coach has deployed a five-man defense in recent games, which has helped them a lot. Across their last eight games, Montpellier have only conceded more than two goals in a game once. Zoumana Camara’s men will operate in the same manner tomorrow against the best attack in the competition. 

Montpellier Potential Starting Lineup (5-4-1)

Lecomte - Ndollo Bille, Mouanga, Omeragic, Mincarelli, Sainte-Luce–Coulibaly, Nzingoula, Ferri, Fayad–Ndiaye.

Out: Maksimovic, Sagnan, Jullien, Issoufou, Pays, Dzodic, Sylla , Maamma, Delort

Head coach: Zoumana Camara

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
19.12.25
Canet Roussillon Canet Roussillon
0 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
29.11.25
Montceau Montceau
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
16.11.25
RCO Agde RCO Agde
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
17.05.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Reims Reims
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
13.04.25
Angers Angers
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
06.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre

PSG Latest Games

PSG PSG
20.12.25
Vendee Fontenay Foot Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 - 4
PSG PSG
13.12.25
Metz Metz
2 - 3
PSG PSG
10.12.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
PSG PSG
06.12.25
PSG PSG
5 - 0
Rennes Rennes
29.11.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
1 - 0
PSG PSG
26.11.25
PSG PSG
5 - 3
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
22.11.25
PSG PSG
3 - 0
Le Havre Le Havre
09.11.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 3
PSG PSG
04.11.25
PSG PSG
1 - 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
01.11.25
PSG PSG
1 - 0
Nice Nice

Last five games: WWDLL

The Parisians have failed to win any of their last three matches due to their involvement in the UEFA Champions League. PSG have managed to lose just two games in Ligue One all season, and these defeats have come in their last two matches. After their (1-1) stalemate against Nantes, PSG lost (1-3) on their home turf to OGC Nice. More recently, the Parisians succumbed to another defeat against Strasbourg on the road. PSG, who rested nine key players, were very much aware of what they were getting into against such a solid side. After a decent start from the hosts, they took the lead in the 20th minute and extended it just before the break. Following the two changes made by Luis Enrique, PSG responded once, unfortunately, they couldn’t get an equalizer. 

After the defeat, PSG responded positively against their opponent in the semifinals of the UEFA Champions League, recording a (2-1) victory over the Gunners. 

PSG who are the champions, have picked up seventy eight (78) points from a combined ninety six, scoring eighty five (85) and conceding thirty three (33).

PSG are the best away side in Ligue 1, winning eleven of their last sixteen games. 

The Parisians will not risk their players for this dead rubber encounter, and I think the same players who featured last week will start tomorrow.

PSG Potential Starting Lineup (4-3-3)

Safonov - Neves, Beraldo, Pacho, Lucas Hernandez–Vitinha, Zaire-Emery, Mayulu–Desire Doué, Ramos, Barcola

Out: Kimpepe

Head coach: Luis Henrique 

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
19.12.25
Canet Roussillon Canet Roussillon
0 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
29.11.25
Montceau Montceau
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
16.11.25
RCO Agde RCO Agde
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
17.05.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Reims Reims
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
13.04.25
Angers Angers
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
06.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre

PSG Latest Games

PSG PSG
20.12.25
Vendee Fontenay Foot Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 - 4
PSG PSG
13.12.25
Metz Metz
2 - 3
PSG PSG
10.12.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
PSG PSG
06.12.25
PSG PSG
5 - 0
Rennes Rennes
29.11.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
1 - 0
PSG PSG
26.11.25
PSG PSG
5 - 3
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
22.11.25
PSG PSG
3 - 0
Le Havre Le Havre
09.11.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 3
PSG PSG
04.11.25
PSG PSG
1 - 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
01.11.25
PSG PSG
1 - 0
Nice Nice

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Show more predictions
  • PSG have won twelve consecutive matches against Montpellier HSC.
  • PSG have been winning at the break in five of their last seven meetings against Montpellier HSC.
  • PSG have scored first in ten consecutive meetings against Montpellier.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
23.08.24
PSG PSG
6 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
17.03.24
Montpellier Montpellier
2 - 6
PSG PSG
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
03.11.23
PSG PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
01.02.23
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 3
PSG PSG
  • Montpellier HSC have been losing at the break in four of their last five Ligue One games. You can try out a halftime victory for PSG, for which 1.63 have been allocated for this option on the 1xbet bookmaker website.
  • Seven of the last Montpellier games have ended in fewer than two goals. You can try out a total of under 3.5 goals for 2.06 on the Bet365 bookmaker website.
  • Montpellier have conceded first in nine of their last ten matches in the league. You can try out PSG score first for 1.27, which is available on the Betway bookmaker website.

Montpellier HSC are the worst team in the division, and with a run of thirteen games without a breakthrough, they stand no chance here regardless of who PSG features. On the other hand, the Parisians have failed to win any of their last three Ligue 1 games, which is quite understandable. Two of their last defeats have come against teams fighting to play in the UEFA continental tournament.

PSG are guaranteed a spot in the final of the UEFA Champions League and will be extra careful about their key players. PSG have nothing to play for in Ligue One again, and they’ll continue to give chances to fringe players.

The quality of this PSG side is massive and I believe they stand a better chance of securing the maximum points. Montpellier have tightened up their defence lately, even though they hardly score. This game might not not produce lots of goals like it used to, as PSG won’t risk their key players for this needless game.

Our match prediction is PSG to win and under 4.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.91 on the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on this game is PSG to win before the break for 1.63 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip is a BTTS no for a coefficient of 2.18 on the Betway bookmaker.

Good luck!

Odds
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Odds 1,91
Bet Type Away Win & Under 4.5 Goals
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Away HT Win
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Odds 2,18
Bet Type BTTS No
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