The Stade de la Mosson readies for an earthquake confrontation as Saint Etienne and relegation-haunted giants Montpellier collide in a six-pointer relegation fight on March 16, 2025. It is more than a match—it's an desperation battle to survive Ligue 1 where a misplaced pass will be ruinous. Bungling giants Montpellier, five consecutive defeats now under their belts, meet a Saint Etienne side pining for slight hope above. The atmosphere is electric with more than Pyrenees-high stakes: pride, points, and the specter of Ligue 2 looms over them. History testifies to Saint Etienne's superiority, but form roars chaos—both teams are battered, bruised, and in dire need of a messiah. Will Téji Savanier ignite Montpellier's flickering flame, or will Zuriko Davitashvili lead Saint Etienne to the beach? Under the Sunday lights, this is not so much a game, but rather a survival epic in the moment.
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Montpellier's crusade is one of gradual strangulation, and their latest injury—a 1-0 loss to Lyon—hurt worst of all. With only a 23% share of the ball, they managed one corner and 10 shots, yet Lyon's quality was unshakeable, requiring 'keeper Benjamin Lecomte to make just six saves with a bitter flavor. Five wins in a row in black letters (LLLLL) darken the prognosis, and childhood idol-cum-tactician Jean-Louis Gasset has a goliath fight on his plate. Injuries cripple them—Nikola Maksimovic, Christopher Jullien, Issiaga Sylla, and Becir Omeragic are sidelined, while Jordan Ferri’s suspension guts the midfield. Téji Savanier (2 goals, 5 assists) remains their flickering hope, but 18th place (4W, 3D, 18L) reeks of despair. An xG of 1.91 hints at chances against Saint Etienne, yet converting them feels like chasing shadows. This is Montpellier’s crucible—salvation or surrender awaits.
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne's tale is one of grit and narrow escapes, their next one a 1-1 draw with Le Havre. Lucas Stassin's goal salvaged a point, backed by 54% possession and six corners, but 17 fouls gave away their nervousness. Gautier Larsonneur's five saves kept them afloat, but their record (LLDLD) shows a team treading the tightrope. Norwegian tactician Eirik Horneland struggles with a side weakened by the absence of Ibrahima Wadji and Ben Old. Their ace man is Zuriko Davitashvili (7 goals, 4 assists), a Georgian spark in a bog of dullness. 17th (5W, 5D, 15L), their xG of 1.34 suggests a constrained threat. Stade Geoffroy-Guichard die-hards are in desperate need of heroism, yet this away fixture is more than a test of courage—it's a test of wills against a Montpellier who are equally desperate to climb out of the hole.
Head to Head
History is in Saint Etienne's favor, having won 32-22 against Montpellier in 65 encounters, of which 11 have been draws. Their last meeting, on November 23, 2024, was won 1-0 by Les Verts, a bitter pill that Montpellier are still trying to swallow. At the Stade de la Mosson, however, the story is different—Montpellier have won just four times against Saint Etienne in a long history of rivalry. Recent meetings have been igniting, with both sides scoring in two of their last three meetings. This is not just a stat line; it's a pride and sorrow book, leading to a March 16 showdown where past glory meets present peril.
History of Head-to-Heads
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Ligue 1 2024/2025
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Ligue 1 2024/2025
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Ligue 1 2021/2022
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Montpellier Latest Games
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PSG
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Reims
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Le Havre
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Saint-Etienne Latest Games
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US Ecotay Moingt
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Paris FC
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Toulouse
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AS Monaco
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FC Lyon
Expert Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes (1.61 odds): Montpellier home games are typically goal-laden (13 of 15 historically), and Saint Etienne have found the net in seven successive away visits. Both sets of star men—Savanier and Davitashvili—possess the wherewithal to exploit weak defenses, and recent head-to-heads also suggest this pattern.
Over 2.5 Goals (1.75 odds): Montpellier matches have registered high average goals (two of 11 below 2.5 this season), and Saint Etienne susceptibility (25 goals against) assumes an open game. Home form and desperation could make this exceed.
Montpellier or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals (1.71 odds): Montpellier's healthy home record versus Saint Etienne (just four defeats in the long term) and Saint Etienne's eight-match winless away run influence this towards the hosts or draw. A less risky bet in a tight brawl.
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