Montpellier vs Saint Etienne Prediction: A relegation showdown steeped in desperation

Montpellier
Montpellier
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
16 Mar 2025 19:15
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 26
16.03.2025, 19:15
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier, France
Raphael George
14 Mar 2025
19:05
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes
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Montpellier vs Saint Etienne Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 16 March 2025

The Stade de la Mosson readies for an earthquake confrontation as Saint Etienne and relegation-haunted giants Montpellier collide in a six-pointer relegation fight on March 16, 2025. It is more than a match—it's an desperation battle to survive Ligue 1 where a misplaced pass will be ruinous. Bungling giants Montpellier, five consecutive defeats now under their belts, meet a Saint Etienne side pining for slight hope above. The atmosphere is electric with more than Pyrenees-high stakes: pride, points, and the specter of Ligue 2 looms over them. History testifies to Saint Etienne's superiority, but form roars chaos—both teams are battered, bruised, and in dire need of a messiah. Will Téji Savanier ignite Montpellier's flickering flame, or will Zuriko Davitashvili lead Saint Etienne to the beach? Under the Sunday lights, this is not so much a game, but rather a survival epic in the moment.

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Montpellier's crusade is one of gradual strangulation, and their latest injury—a 1-0 loss to Lyon—hurt worst of all. With only a 23% share of the ball, they managed one corner and 10 shots, yet Lyon's quality was unshakeable, requiring 'keeper Benjamin Lecomte to make just six saves with a bitter flavor. Five wins in a row in black letters (LLLLL) darken the prognosis, and childhood idol-cum-tactician Jean-Louis Gasset has a goliath fight on his plate. Injuries cripple them—Nikola Maksimovic, Christopher Jullien, Issiaga Sylla, and Becir Omeragic are sidelined, while Jordan Ferri’s suspension guts the midfield. Téji Savanier (2 goals, 5 assists) remains their flickering hope, but 18th place (4W, 3D, 18L) reeks of despair. An xG of 1.91 hints at chances against Saint Etienne, yet converting them feels like chasing shadows. This is Montpellier’s crucible—salvation or surrender awaits.

Saint Etienne's tale is one of grit and narrow escapes, their next one a 1-1 draw with Le Havre. Lucas Stassin's goal salvaged a point, backed by 54% possession and six corners, but 17 fouls gave away their nervousness. Gautier Larsonneur's five saves kept them afloat, but their record (LLDLD) shows a team treading the tightrope. Norwegian tactician Eirik Horneland struggles with a side weakened by the absence of Ibrahima Wadji and Ben Old. Their ace man is Zuriko Davitashvili (7 goals, 4 assists), a Georgian spark in a bog of dullness. 17th (5W, 5D, 15L), their xG of 1.34 suggests a constrained threat. Stade Geoffroy-Guichard die-hards are in desperate need of heroism, yet this away fixture is more than a test of courage—it's a test of wills against a Montpellier who are equally desperate to climb out of the hole.

History is in Saint Etienne's favor, having won 32-22 against Montpellier in 65 encounters, of which 11 have been draws. Their last meeting, on November 23, 2024, was won 1-0 by Les Verts, a bitter pill that Montpellier are still trying to swallow. At the Stade de la Mosson, however, the story is different—Montpellier have won just four times against Saint Etienne in a long history of rivalry. Recent meetings have been igniting, with both sides scoring in two of their last three meetings. This is not just a stat line; it's a pride and sorrow book, leading to a March 16 showdown where past glory meets present peril.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Ligue 2 2025/2026
04.10.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
16.03.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
23.11.24
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Club Friendlies 2024 Club Friendlies 2024
31.07.24
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 2021/2022 Ligue 1 2021/2022
05.02.22
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
3 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
29.11.25
Montceau Montceau
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
16.11.25
RCO Agde RCO Agde
0 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
17.05.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Reims Reims
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
13.04.25
Angers Angers
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
06.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre
30.03.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier

Saint-Etienne Latest Games

Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
29.11.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
11 - 1
US Ecotay Moingt US Ecotay Moingt
15.11.25
AS Quetigny AS Quetigny
1 - 3
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
02.08.25
Cagliari Cagliari
1 - 0
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
25.07.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
0 - 3
Paris FC Paris FC
18.07.25
Servette Servette
3 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
17.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 3
Toulouse Toulouse
10.05.25
Reims Reims
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
03.05.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
1 - 3
AS Monaco AS Monaco
26.04.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes (1.61 odds): Montpellier home games are typically goal-laden (13 of 15 historically), and Saint Etienne have found the net in seven successive away visits. Both sets of star men—Savanier and Davitashvili—possess the wherewithal to exploit weak defenses, and recent head-to-heads also suggest this pattern.

Over 2.5 Goals (1.75 odds): Montpellier matches have registered high average goals (two of 11 below 2.5 this season), and Saint Etienne susceptibility (25 goals against) assumes an open game. Home form and desperation could make this exceed.

Montpellier or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals (1.71 odds): Montpellier's healthy home record versus Saint Etienne (just four defeats in the long term) and Saint Etienne's eight-match winless away run influence this towards the hosts or draw. A less risky bet in a tight brawl.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,71
Bet Type Montpellier or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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