Saturday night under the lights in Strasbourg and the stakes are climbing. RC Strasbourg come into this one red-hot—five wins on the bounce, fourth in the table, and eyeing Europe. Nice? Still in the hunt, but they’re wobbling after two straight defeats and a four-match winless skid.
On paper, it’s close—Strasbourg sit just two points ahead of Nice—but the form, the energy, and the home-field advantage make this feel a bit one-sided. Nice had 76% possession against Nantes last weekend and still lost. Meanwhile, Strasbourg needed just one goal (and some gritty defense) to edge Reims.
Live odds have Strasbourg as slight favorites at 2.55. But as you know, numbers don’t tell the whole story—unless you're using models that cut through the noise.
Let’s break it down and find the best bets on the board, using actual trends, xG data, and those sweet, sweet odds.
Claim Welcome BonusStrasbourg Preview
Don’t look now, but Strasbourg are putting together a real push. They’ve won five straight and are quietly one of Ligue 1’s toughest home teams to face right now. Their last outing was another display of discipline—a narrow 1-0 over Reims, even after Diego Moreira’s red card.
Current Form: WWWWW
Home Form: LWDWW
Recent streaks: Scored first in 4 of last 5, under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 8, unbeaten in 6.
With Emanuel Emegha (12 goals, 14.7 xG) leading the line and Dilane Bakwa (8 assists, 5.3 xA) pulling the strings, the attack is sharp but selective. They’re not floodgates—it’s efficiency over flair.
Strasbourg average just 1.6 goals and 4.4 shots on target per game, yet they’re closing matches like pros. A solid back line helps—they’ve conceded only 1.3 goals per game—and that discipline carries over to cards and corners. Five of their last six stayed under 4.5 cards, and corners average under 10.
Moreira’s absence hurts, sure—but tactically, this team adjusts well. Don’t expect fireworks—just smart, steady football.
OGC Nice Preview
It’s been a frustrating month for Nice. They've dropped points in 4 straight matches and are starting to feel the heat from the chasing pack. Their last match? A 2-1 loss to Nantes, despite dominating possession and firing 9 shots on target. That pretty much sums them up—style without substance lately.
Form: WLDLL
Away Form: DLWWL
Streaks: Conceded in 5 straight, both teams scored in 4 of 5, winless in 4.
Evann Guessand is doing it all—11 goals, 7 assists—but he’s lacking support. With Ndombele out, creativity from midfield has dipped. Their 1.9 goals per game stat flatters them—they’ve only scored twice in their last three matches.
Still, they’re dangerous on the road. They’ve scored first in 8 of their last 10, which makes them a sneaky bet for early action. But they can’t hold leads—something Strasbourg will pounce on.
Corners? They rack them up—11 against Nantes, average 5.1 per game. But as for discipline, they’ve kept it clean—under 4.5 cards in 5 of last 7.
The pieces are there. But if the recent slide continues, this could be another night of frustration.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings: Nice 5W – Strasbourg 3W – 2 Draws
Last Match: Nice won 2-1 (Nov 2024)
Trends: Nice won last 3 H2Hs; Strasbourg conceded in all 3.
Corners Trend: 5 of last 6 H2Hs under 10.5 total corners.
Nice may have history, but the present? That leans Strasbourg
History of Head-to-Heads
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Nice
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2023/2024
Nice
Ligue 1 2023/2024
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2022/2023
Nice
Strasbourg Latest Games
Strasbourg
Dunkerque
Breidablik
FC Lorient
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Brest
Crystal Palace
Strasbourg
Lille
Strasbourg
Nice Latest Games
Nice
Saint-Etienne
Nice
Braga
Angers
Nice
Nice
Marseille
Nice
Freiburg
Nice
Expert Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score – YES (Odds: 1.66)
Four of Nice’s last five and six of last seven H2Hs delivered GG.
Under 9.5 Corners (Odds: 1.72)
Both teams trend low; 5 of last 6 H2Hs hit this under.
Over 2.5 Goals (Odds: 1.80)
Feels risky, but our analysis sees a 2-1 type game. Plus, BTTS boosts over totals.
Final Thoughts
This is Strasbourg’s match to control, even if the odds suggest a coin flip. The data, momentum, and eye test all lean toward the home side. But Nice’s early goal threat and chaotic defending make BTTS a safer bet than picking sides outright.
Go for smart value—double chance, goals both ways, and keep your corner/card totals tight.
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