Augsburg vs Hamburg Prediction: Hamburg to bounce back despite poor away form

Augsburg vs Hamburg: Prediction for the Match on November 22, 2025

Hamburger SV will face Augsburg on Saturday at WWK Arena in a Bundesliga match. Augsburg is 15th in the standings with seven points from ten matches. Hamburger SV is 13th with nine points from the same number of games. Augsburg needs a strong result to move up the table. They have shown they can be dangerous, but Hamburg should hold their own at home. Augsburg is only above the relegation playoff spot due to goal difference. Hamburger SV drew 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund on November 8 before the international break.

Augsburg: Form and Statistics

Augsburg lost 3-2 to Stuttgart on November 9, despite leading 2-1 after Han-Noah Massengo scored in the 26th minute. Before this match, Augsburg had failed to score in their last three games. This defeat was only the second time in nine matches that they scored more than once. Head coach Sandro Wagner will be hoping his team can finally keep a clean sheet. They've conceded 11 goals in their last four games. A loss to Hamburg would make it five straight defeats for Augsburg and extend their winless streak to six games in all competitions. At home, Augsburg has lost eight of their last ten matches, including their last three. They've only won once during this stretch.

Augsburg News and Lineup

Captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw picked up another ligament injury during his return against Stuttgart. Chrislain Matsima and Dimitrios Giannoulis both received their fourth yellow cards in that match. They will be suspended for the next game if they get another. Kristijan Jakic may return to the lineup after helping Croatia qualify for the World Cup.

🔖 Augsburg Expected Lineup

Dahmen ©; Banks, Matsima, Schlotterbeck; Kade, Massengo, Jakic, Giannoulis; Rieder, Claude-Maurice; Kömür

Hamburg: Form and Statistics

Hamburg ended their losing streak with a dramatic 97th-minute equalizer against Borussia Dortmund before the international break. Ransford Königsdörffer scored his first Bundesliga goal in that hard-fought match. However, Hamburg has struggled away from home, earning just two points from their first five matches. They also failed to score in four of those five games. Hamburg has lost four of their last five visits to Augsburg. In their last meeting in 2018, Ja-cheol Koo scored the only goal for Augsburg. Hamburg's recent matches have been a mix of results. They won 1-0 against FC Heidenheim, lost 4-1 to FC Koln, and drew 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund. In their last six away Bundesliga matches, they have not won, with two draws and four losses. They conceded 14 goals and only scored two. While Hamburg dreams of the Bundesliga title, they are currently too far behind to realistically challenge for first place.

Hamburg Team News and Lineup

Libyan international Daniel Elfadli has returned to partial training but won't be available for Saturday’s game. The visitors will also be missing their captain, Yussuf Poulsen, who is sidelined with a muscle injury. Summer signings from Arsenal, Albert Sambi Lokonga and Fábio Vieira, will compete for a spot in HSV’s midfield.

🔖 Hamburg Expected Lineup

Heuer Fernandes; Capaldo, Vuskovic, Torunarigha; Gocholeishvili, Fabio Vieira, Remberg, Muheim ©; Philippe, Königsdörffer, Dompé

Augsburg vs Hamburg: Head-to-Head statistics

In the last four head-to-head matches, the home team won each time without conceding. Each side has won two games. Overall, Augsburg has eight wins, just ahead of Hamburg's six.

Augsburg vs Hamburg: Betting Tips & Odds

• Augsburg have struggled to win after scoring first this season, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They’ve received 33 yellow cards, which is at least eight more than any other Bundesliga team.
• Hamburg lead the league with 4 red cards. Nine of Hamburg’s 12 goals this season have come after halftime.
• In 11 of their last 13 Bundesliga matches, Augsburg's games have seen over 2.5 goals. Augsburg have lost their last 3 home games, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in each.
• In 6 of their last 7 home games, Augsburg’s matches had over 2.5 goals. They’ve lost 5 of their last 7 home games while scoring under 1.5 goals.
• For Hamburg, 9 of their last 11 away matches had under 3.5 goals. In 5 of their last 7 away games, Hamburg's matches had over 2.5 goals. In 6 of their last 8 matches, Hamburg’s games had under 3.5 goals.
• Hamburg have lost 3 of their last 4 matches, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals. They’ve also lost 3 of their last 4 away matches in the Bundesliga, scoring less than 1.5 goals.

Augsburg vs Hamburg match prediction, 22nd November 2025

Fabian Rieder is a strong choice for a goalscorer. He scored twice in his last Bundesliga match and will look to add more against Hamburg. Jean-Luc Dompe will be key for Hamburg, having scored two goals in recent Bundesliga games. Both teams are struggling defensively, so a clean sheet is unlikely. The match could be decided by just one goal. Despite Hamburg's poor away form, this game may offer their best chance for an away win. Augsburg has struggled at WWK Arena this season.

Our match prediction is BTTS (Yes) with odds at 1.60 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Hamburg to Win with odds at 3.025 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our last match prediction is Over 2.5 total goals with odds at 1.73 on Betway bookmaker.