Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction: Can Leverkusen outpace Union’s rising threat?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Prediction for the Match on October 04, 2025

Bayer Leverkusen have shown flashes this season with strong attacking intent, but some worrying defensive lapses. The recent draw with PSV in the Champions League exposed moments of vulnerability, and injuries to key players like Patrik Schick and Robert Andrich only deepen concern. 

Union Berlin arrives with a mixed form. They are capable of explosive attacking displays, but also prone to conceding errors and leaking goals when pressed. Traditionally, Leverkusen hold the upper hand in this fixture, especially at home, but Union’s counter-attacking threat and recent away performances mean this likely won’t be one-sided. Expect a high tempo game with chances at both ends.

Bayer Leverkusen: Forms and Statistics

Leverkusen’s recent form is a mix of promise and concern: offensively sharp, often creating many chances and scoring well, but defensive lapses and occasional sluggish starts have left them vulnerable. At home, they average over 2 goals per game in recent fixtures, but concede roughly between 1 and 1.5, meaning matches have been less clean than ideal.

Union Berlin: Forms and Statistics

Union Berlin is struggling away from home. Their attack has been underperforming: despite creating more big chances per game than before, they often fail to convert. Defensively, they concede too many early goals and are prone to defensive breakdowns, especially under pressure. Their road record in recent seasons is poor relative to Frankfurt’s dominance at home.

Bayer Leverkusen - Lineups

🔖 Bayer Leverkusen Predicted Lineup (3-4-2-1)

Flekken; Quansah, Badé, Tapsoba; Vázquez, Tillman, García, Grimaldo; Tella, Ben Seghir; Schick

⛔️ Unavailable: Robert Andrich (suspended), Ezequiel Fernández (suspended), Martin Terrier (injury), Exequiel Palacios (injury), Nathan Tella (doubt)

👤 Head coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Union Berlin - Lineups

🔖 Union Berlin Predicted Lineup (3-4-2-1)

Rønnow, Doekhi, Querfeld, Leite; Trimmel, Khedira, Haberer, Skov; Burke, Ansah

⛔️ Unavailable: Andrik Markgraf, Tom Rothe, Livan Burcu, Stanley N'Soki, Josip Juranović, András Schäfer

👤 Head coach: Steffen Baumgart

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin match prediction 04 October 2025

Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last nine meetings against Union Berlin. Leverkusen have not kept a clean sheet in their last seven games. Union Berlin has scored eight goals in their last five matches, showing decent attacking potential. Many recent Bayer and Union fixtures produce over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes. Leverkusen are the favourites here, given home advantage, better squad depth, and historical dominance against Union Berlin. But Union Berlin should not be underestimated as they will test Leverkusen’s defence, push for chances, and could make things uncomfortable.

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.84 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.84 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is W1 to win for a coefficient of 1.73 in the 1XBet bookmaker.