Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum Prediction: Can Bochum pull off another upset?

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
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28 Mar 2025 22:30
Bochum
Bochum
Bundesliga. Round 27
Stadium: BayArena (Leverkusen)
28.03.2025 22:30
Clement Obeng Manu
28 Mar 2025
13:27
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type W1(0:1)
Bonus 250 USD
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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │28 MARCH, 2025

Bayer Leverkusen welcomes VfL Bochum to the BayArena in a Bundesliga showdown that tells two very different stories. Leverkusen is chasing the title and trying to keep pace with Bayern Munich at the top of the table, while Bochum is battling to stay clear of the relegation zone. It’s a classic top-versus-bottom matchup — but don’t count Bochum out just yet. They shocked the league with a stunning 3-2 win over Bayern earlier this March, proving they’re capable of springing surprises.

History favors Leverkusen in this fixture. In their last six meetings, they’ve won five and drawn one, including a dominant 4-0 win in December 2023. Over their past three clashes, Leverkusen has outscored Bochum 15-2 — a stat that underlines the gulf between the two sides.

On paper, Leverkusen boasts one of the league’s most dangerous attacks, with 59 goals in 26 games — that’s an impressive average of 2.27 goals per match. Patrik Schick leads the charge with 17 goals, followed by Florian Wirtz with 9. They control games with nearly 59% average possession and boast a high pass completion rate. Under manager Xabi Alonso, their possession-heavy, fluid attacking style makes them a threat to anyone, especially on home turf.

Bochum, meanwhile, has found the net just 27 times this season while conceding 52 — resulting in a worrying -25 goal difference. Myron Boadu has been a bright spot with 7 goals, but overall, Bochum struggles to keep the ball (averaging just 43.2% possession) and lacks firepower in the final third.

Injuries could play a role, with Leverkusen missing key players like Wirtz and Tella. Still, the hosts have the depth and tactical edge to control proceedings. The big question: can Bochum pull off another upset?

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Bayer Leverkusen are putting together an outstanding season on both domestic and European fronts. With 59 goals in 26 Bundesliga outings — averaging 2.27 per game — they’re among the most potent attacking sides in Europe. Under the guidance of Xabi Alonso, they play an energetic, fluid style that thrives on high pressing and possession, averaging 58.8% of the ball and 16 shots per game.

The driving force up front is Patrik Schick, who’s netted 17 times, supported by the creativity of Florian Wirtz, who’s chipped in with 9 goals and several assists. Jeremie Frimpong and Granit Xhaka bring further flair, while Alejandro Grimaldo adds width and smart decision-making from the flanks.

Though they recently suffered setbacks against Bayern and Werder Bremen, they showed their resilience in a 4-3 win over Stuttgart — proving they can win in high-pressure, high-scoring affairs. At home, they’ve lost just once in their last 13 league games.

Defensively, they’ve remained organized despite injuries to key players like Edmond Tapsoba and Odilon Kossounou. A +26 goal difference highlights their balance between attack and defense. With strong squad depth, including Boniface and Hincapie, they’ve got quality options across the board.

Stay focused, avoid complacency — and this match could solidify their standing among Germany’s elite, keeping their title dream firmly alive.

VfL Bochum’s Bundesliga journey this season has been anything but smooth. With just 27 goals scored and 52 conceded in 26 matches, their issues at both ends of the pitch are clear. Averaging just over a goal per game and leaking two per match, they’ve found it tough going against stronger opposition.

Myron Boadu has been a rare bright spot, scoring 7 goals in 15 appearances. He’s had help from Matúš Bero (4 goals) and Philipp Hofmann (2), but overall, Bochum lack creativity and consistency in midfield. Their 43.2% average possession and sub-55% pass completion underline their preference for a reactive, counter-attacking approach.

Away from home, it’s been a mixed bag. Their stunning 3-2 upset of Bayern Munich was a huge statement — but it’s the exception, not the standard. Losses to Frankfurt and Hoffenheim highlight their inconsistency.

Injuries haven’t helped either, with Koji Miyoshi among those sidelined. Compared to Leverkusen, Bochum lack experience and technical polish. They fight hard, and their work rate can’t be questioned, but it might not be enough against a well-drilled, tactically superior side like Leverkusen.

History of Head-to-Heads

Club Friendlies 2025 Club Friendlies 2025
27.07.25
Bochum Bochum
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
28.03.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
Bochum Bochum
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
09.11.24
Bochum Bochum
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
12.05.24
Bochum Bochum
0 - 5
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
20.12.23
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
Bochum Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen Latest Games

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
06.12.25
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Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
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Paderborn Paderborn
2 - 4
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Freiburg Freiburg

Bochum Latest Games

Bochum Bochum
03.12.25
Bochum Bochum
0 - 2
Stuttgart Stuttgart
28.10.25
Augsburg Augsburg
0 - 1
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16.08.25
BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo
1 - 3
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Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
16.07.25
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5 - 4
Young Boys Young Boys
16.07.25
Bochum Bochum
3 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
17.05.25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0 - 2
Bochum Bochum
10.05.25
Bochum Bochum
1 - 4
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
02.05.25
FC Heidenheim FC Heidenheim
0 - 0
Bochum Bochum
27.04.25
Bochum Bochum
1 - 1
Union Berlin Union Berlin

All signs point to a Leverkusen victory in this one. Their attacking firepower, depth, and strong home form make them clear favorites. With 59 goals and an average of 2.27 per game, they’re well equipped to expose Bochum’s shaky defense — especially with Schick and Wirtz leading the charge.

Bochum’s surprise win over Bayern was eye-catching, but their overall away record and lack of control in games suggest it’s unlikely they’ll repeat that feat here. Leverkusen’s dominance in possession and tactical discipline means Bochum will spend most of the match chasing the ball.

History also favors the hosts — with five wins and a draw in their last six meetings, including a 4-0 rout earlier this season. Even with a few injury concerns, Leverkusen should have more than enough quality to get the job done.

Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 3 – 1 VfL Bochum

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is W1(0:1) for odds of 1.66 at Betway

My second prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.96 at Bet365

My final prediction is over 3.5 goals for odds of 2.16 at 1XBet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type W1(0:1)
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type BTTS
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Odds 2,16
Bet Type Over 3.5 goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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