Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction: Bayern to continue the pursuit of Bundesliga title

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
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Live
26 Apr 2025 16:30
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Bundesliga. Round 31
Stadium: Allianz Arena (München).
26.04.2025 16:30
Clement Obeng Manu
26 Apr 2025
11:34
Statistics of the month:
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type W1 to score over 2.5 goals
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Bayern Munich vs Mainz: Prediction for the Match on April 26, 2025

Prediction for the Bundesliga match on April 27. Bayern Munich will enter this game as the favourites as they have good momentum and a dominant head-to-head record against Mainz. But Mainz has also managed to pull out some impressive wins against Bayern. This sets the stage for a fascinating game.

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With only the Bundesliga title to play for, Bayern must not mess up by dropping points for Leverkusen to catch up. Bayern may be under some form of pressure not to drop further points as Leverkusen are on their heels. With Leverkusen in second place and six points behind Bayern, the match is a must-win for the away side.

The form of Bayern Munich has not been consistent. Their form consists of moments of brilliance coupled with major defensive lapses, which sometimes result in the team dropping points. The attack of Bayern provides goals for the team especially when Harry Kane and Musiala remain potent, but their offensive threat is sometimes neutralised by defensive errors.

With 15 points remaining to be played for, Bayern need to win at least three games and draw one. Bayern will most likely start this game strong and hope to kill the game in the first 45 minutes.

Bayern Munich: Lineup

The Bavarians still has many injuries that will create a headache for the coach when  selecting players for this game considering injury concerns and fatigue due to Bayern's involvement in the Champions League. With Musiala, Davies, Upamecano, and Neuer all unavailable due to injury, Vincent Kompany will be forced to name a different starting eleven which will involve reshuffling the defence and midfield.

It is really expected that Bayern will be tested considering Ulreich will be in the goalpost and Guerreiro playing at left-back. It won't be surprising if Thomas Muller is trusted to fill the hole left by Musiala; 's absence and be flanked by Kingsley Coman and Sane and Harry Kane leading the line. As Kimmich and Goretzka are key members of the midfield, it is expected they both start to provide anchor in the midfield.

🔖 Bayern Munich starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Ulreich – Mazraoui, de Ligt, Dier, Guerreiro – Kimmich, Goretzka – Sané, Müller, Coman – Kane

⛔️ Out:Manuel Neuer, Upamecano Dayot, Ito Hiroki, Buchmann Tarek, Davies Alphonso, Musiala Jamal (all injured)

👤 Head coach: Vincent Kompany

Bayern Munich Latest Games

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03.12.25
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Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
29.11.25
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
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St. Pauli St. Pauli
26.11.25
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Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
29.10.25
FC Köln FC Köln
1 - 4
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
25.10.25
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
0 - 3
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Club Brugge Club Brugge

Mainz 05 Latest Games

Mainz 05 Mainz 05
05.12.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
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Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
30.11.25
Freiburg Freiburg
4 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
27.11.25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
1 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
21.11.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hoffenheim Hoffenheim
09.11.25
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
06.11.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
01.11.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 1
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
29.10.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
0 - 2
Stuttgart Stuttgart
26.10.25
Stuttgart Stuttgart
2 - 1
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
23.10.25
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar

Although Mainz 05 has not been making the headlines in the Bundesliga this season, their home form is one of the team's biggest strengths and the envy of some clubs. With 11 wins from 24 games played and averaging 1.7 goals scored per home game, Mainz has shown fans and football enthusiasts that it is a tough opponent at the MEWA Arena. Also, the ability of Mainz to grind out results, especially in front of their fan, has been very important in avoiding relegation.

Mainz has shown that they are resilient by securing wins against strong teams like RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach in recent away fixtures, although Mainz also lost to Hoffenheim and drew against Holstein Kiel. These inconsistent results is the reason why Mainz are middle of the table and not the upper half. 

Mainz: Lineup

Main will likely stick to their famous 3-4-2-1 formation, which has helped the team get some valuable points, especially when playing at the Mewa Arena. Although Mainz has shown solid home form, the absence of Mwene, Nebel, and Leitsch could really affect the team, although Henriksen would make some tactical tweaks to account for the unavailability of these players.

Henriksen will turn to Brajan Gruda and Lee Jae-sung to provide support for Ajorque in attack, while Barreiro and Kohr will marshal the midfield and dictate the tempo of the game. In defence, the team has been very solid recently.

🔖 1. FSV Mainz 05 starting lineup (3-4-2-1)

Zentner – Hanche-Olsen, Bell, van den Berg – Widmer, Barreiro, Kohr, Caci – Gruda, Lee – Ajorque

⛔️ Out: Philipp Mwene (injured), Paul Nebel (injured), Maxim Leitsch (injured)

👤 Head coach: Bo Henriksen

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An analytical review of the statistics between Bayern Munich and Mainz shows that while Bayern has historically dominated this game although Mainz has on some occasions managed to get some surprising results. Of the last 24 games, 15 wins belong to Bayern, and Mainz has 4 wins, with the rest ending in a draw. Looking at goals, Bayern has an amazing 3.3 average goals per game while Mainz averages 1.2 goals per game. Mainz has definitely played bravely against Bayern in recent times but Bayern’s strength especially at home and their potential attack makes them the favourites. 

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
26.04.25
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
3 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
14.12.24
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
2 - 1
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
DFB Pokal 2024/2025 DFB Pokal 2024/2025
30.10.24
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
0 - 4
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
09.03.24
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
8 - 1
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2023/2024 Bundesliga 2023/2024
21.10.23
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 3
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
  • In 15 of the last 24 games played between Bayern and Mainz, Bayern has won and the bet on Bayern to score over 2.5 goals has played. This option is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.66;
  • In the last 5 games between Bayern and Mainz, at least 3 goals has been scored and the bet on over 2.5 goals played. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.30;

With history and home support behind Bayern Munich, they will enter this game boldly and are willing to attack, as attacking has brought the team many goals, which results in wins and, most importantly, 3 points. It is for this reason that Bayern Munich is at the summit of the table. With a whooping 3.3 average goals against Mainz, we anticipate Bayern to repeat this. A scoreline of 4-1, favouring Bayern, is anticipated to be played. 

With Bayern still chasing top honours and looking to wrap up the Bundesliga to avoid panic, expect a strong and ruthless performance. Mainz might find a goal on the counter, but Bayern’s attack should be far too much to handle.

From the proposed scoreline and stats, below are the predictions:

Our match prediction: is that Bayern will score over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.66 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is over 3.5 goals to be scored for a coefficient of 1.75 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.64 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 1,66
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type Over 3.5 goals
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type BTTS
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