Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction: Freiburg to face the scare of dropping points to underdog Hoffenheim

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim: Prediction for the Match on September 28, 2025

As Freiburg aim to steady the ship at home, Hoffenheim come in having shown promise but also exposed defensively. Freiburg’s attacking output has been decent so far, but defensive lapses and inconsistency have prevented a clean run. Hoffenheim, though, have slightly worse goal difference and concede more, but their potential to press and disrupt could force Freiburg into mistakes. Tactically, this will likely be a tight game with Freiburg trying to dominate possession and create through midfield, while Hoffenheim attempt to be sharp in transition and set-piece situations. The match might hinge on who scores first, and whether Freiburg can stay focused under pressure.

Freiburg: Forms and Statistics

At home, Freiburg show moderate attacking strength and averages about 1.9 goals scored per match when playing at home in recent seasons, but also concedes around 1.5 goals per game, meaning matches are open and risky. They have good shot volume, create chances, and enjoy a bit more possession overall. Their defensive issues, however, mean they are vulnerable to counters or errors.

Freiburg - Lineups

🔖 FreiburgPredicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Atubolu; Kübler, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo; Eggestein, Osterhage; Beste, Höler, Grifo; Matanović

⛔️ Unavailable: Johan Manzambi, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh

👤 Head coach: Julian Schuster

Hoffenheim: Forms and Statistics

Hoffenheim’s away form is patchy. They score roughly 2 goals per game when away across their recent games, but also concede nearly as many. Defensive organisation and stamina under pressure are weak spots. Their attacking intent is there as the team creates decent chance but finishing and error-management under pressure have been inconsistent.

Hoffenheim - Lineups

🔖 Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Baumann; Coufal, Hranáč, Hajdari, Bernardo; Avdullahu. Burger; Lemperle, Kramarić, Touré; Asllani

⛔️ Unavailable: Adam Hložek, Koki Machida, Valentin Gendrey, Albian Hajdari, Kelven Frees

👤 Head coach: Christian Ilzer

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim match prediction 28 September 2025

• In the last 5 games between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, bet on BTTS has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.63 odds;
• In 4 of the last 5 games between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, bet on over 2.5 games has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.75 odds;
• In the last 7 games between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, bet on under 10.5 corners has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.56 odds;

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim match prediction 28 September 2025

Freiburg’s Bundesliga record this season is 2 wins and 2 losses in their first four matches, scoring and conceding at a rate of about 2 goals per match. Hoffenheim has similar statistics in the last 4 games played, but with a negative goal difference. Freiburg’s home games vs Hoffenheim tend to be moderately high scoring and often see both teams scoring, especially given Hoffenheim’s defensive vulnerabilities and Freiburg’s eagerness in attack.

This game looks to lean towards Freiburg's win, thanks to home edge and slightly better defensive stability.

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is W1 to win for a coefficient of 2.31 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.75 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.63 in the 1XBet bookmaker.