Freiburg vs Mainz Prediction: Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for Mainz?

Freiburg vs Mainz: Prediction for the Match on November 30, 2025

The round closes with a duel between two German representatives in Europe, Freiburg and Mainz. Of course, neither side is satisfied with their performance in the Bundesliga, with Freiburg still far from the danger zone, while Mainz are in last place with only 6 points so far. Mainz hasve only won once, it was away in Augsburg, and in the last round they managed to avoid defeat at home to Hoffenheim thanks to a late goal. Freiburg suffered a debacle in Munich against Bayern, and everything seemed like a fairy tale after the first half hour of the game. At that time, Freiburg led 2:0 at the Allianz Arena, but the match lasts 90 minutes and a bit, and that is more than enough for the Bavarians to put half a dozen balls in your net. And that is exactly what happened to Freiburg.

Freiburg: Form and Statistics

Freiburg are still below expectations this season. Christian Streich's team is performing erratically and looking more and more like an average mid-table team. However, they are still solid at home, one defeat in five games, and that was at the end of August. Significantly, they have scored at least two goals in each of the last four league games. Freiburg ended its latest European adventure with a draw against Viktoria Plzen away from home. In a scoreless game, the team from Breisgau showed discipline in defense, but a lack of creativity in attack prevented them from winning. Looking to bounce back from last week's defeat to Bayern Munich and the Europa League draw in midweek, SC Freiburg are without the injured Eren Dinkci, Jordy Makeng, and Max Rosenfelder.

Freiburg: Team News

🔖Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Max Rosenfelder, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Lucas Hoeler.

⛔️Out: Eren Dinkci, Jordy Makengo, Max Rosenfelder, C. Irie

👤Head coach: Julian Schuster

Mainz: Form and Statistics

Mainz are in a tough fight for survival. With just six points, they are just one place above bottom-placed Heidenheim. They have been waiting for a Bundesliga win for more than two months and have lost three games in a row on the road, scoring just one goal. Looking for a first Bundesliga win in eight matches to avoid the bottom two spots, Mainz are coming off a 1-0 midweek defeat in the Conference League against Universitatea Craiova. Dominik Kohr and Nadiem Amiri are serving suspensions, while goalkeeper Robin Zentner is out through injury. Ninth red card in Bundesliga history: Dominik Kohr wrote his name into the record books during the match against Hoffenheim. The sending-off was his ninth – a new record in the German top division. This saw him surpass the previous record holders, Jens Novotny and Luis Gustavo.

Mainz: Team News

🔖Mainz predicted lineup (4-4-2): Lasse Riess (GK), Danny da Costa, Lennard Maloney, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Phillipp Mwene, Sota Kawasaki, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach, Jae-Sung Lee.

⛔️Out:Dominik Kohr, Nadiem Amiri, Robin Zentner

👤Head coach: Bo Henriksen

Freiburg vs Mainz: Head-to-Head Statistics

Last year's meetings ended in 0-0 and 2-2 draws, making it the third consecutive draw between these teams. In 43 historical head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 12 times, while Mainz won 16 times.

Freiburg vs Mainz: Betting Tips & Odds

• Mainz lost in their last four away games. You can bet on Freiburg to win for odds of 1.8 at Bet365;
• Freiburg scored over 1.5 goals in their last four matches at home. You can bet on Team 1 over 1.5 goals for odds of 1.85 at Betway;
• Four of their last five meetings ended with under 2.5 goals. You can bet on under 2.5 goals for odds of 1.88 at 1xbet.

Freiburg vs Mainz Match Prediction 30 November 2025

Matches against Mainz have usually been tough for Freiburg, but if there was ever a perfect time to change that, it’s now – the visitors are stuck in a long-term crisis, exacerbated by serious problems with the team. In this context, Freiburg looks like a clear favorite for me and, in my opinion, should win this match against Mainz without any major problems. Interestingly, the last five duels between these teams have resulted in three draws, and Freiburg has not won since 2019. However, the current form and the table are in the home team’s favor. Considering Freiburg’s efficiency and Mainz’s poor performance, the bet on under 2.5 goals is a very good choice.

Our match prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 1.8 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Under 2.5 for a coefficient of 1.88 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: W1-W1 for a coefficient of 2.85 in the Betway bookmaker.