Hamburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction: Hamburg will hope to get at least a point from Mainz

Hamburg vs Mainz 05: Prediction for the Match on October 05, 2025

Hamburg’s recent Bundesliga form has been patchy. They have drawn or lost and scored little, especially at home. Their defence has looked vulnerable, and goals from the forwards have been scarce. Mainz show flashes of offensive sharpness, especially away, as evident in their recent wins. Thir attacking displays have given them confidence. However, their defensive lapses and away instability remain concerns. This match could turn on discipline in midfield, conversion of limited chances, and which side handles pressure best in the closing stages.

Hamburg: Forms and Statistics

Hamburg’s home form is unimpressive lately. They have not been scoring many goals at the Volkspark Stadiun, and they concede more than ideal. Matches often end in low-scoring draws or narrow losses. Their attacking rhythm is broken, and finishing chances have been sparse.

Mainz 05: Forms and Statistics

Mainz away have shown stronger offensive threat, with goals in several road fixtures. Their away defence has had lapses, but overall, they have been more balanced than Hamburg at home, especially in recent matches. They also tend to create good chances and convert when given space.

Hamburg - Lineups

🔖 Hamburg Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Fernandes; Omari, Vušković, Elfadli; Gocholeishvili, Remberg, Capaldo, Muheim; Vieira, Königsdörffer, Glatzel

⛔️ Unavailable: Jordan Torunarigha, Yussuf Poulsen, Silvan Hefti, Guilherme Ramos

👤 Head coach: Merlin Polzin

Mainz - Lineups

🔖 Mainz Predicted Lineup (3-4-2-1)

Zentner; Costa, Bell, Hanche-Olsen; Widmer, Sano, Amiri, Mwene; Nebel, Nordin; Sieb

⛔️ Unavailable: Dominik Kohr (suspended), Anthony Caci (out), Benedict Hollerbach (doubtful), Daniel Gleiber (out), Maxim Dal (out)

👤 Head coach: Bo Henriksen

Hamburg vs Mainz 05 match prediction 05 October 2025

• In 5 of the last 7 games between Hamburg vs Mainz 05, bet on under 10.5 goals has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.71 odds;
• In 3 of the last 5 games between Hamburg vs Mainz 05, bet on under 2.5 goals has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 2.20 odds;
• In 5 of the last 8 games between Hamburg vs Mainz 05, bet on BTTS goals has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.61 odds;

Hamburg vs Mainz 05 match prediction 05 October 2025

Over their last six matches, Hamburg have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their goal scoring is low (≈ 0.67 per match in H2H stats), but many matches go over 2.5 goals. Mainz, in their last 5 games, have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They scored well away from home, showing attacking potential. Head-to-head between Hamburg and Mainz is quite balanced; out of the 24 matches, both teams have won 8 games each, with draws in the rest. 

A tight game is expected. Hamburg will push, especially to secure their home confidence, but Mainz have the sharper attacking edge and slightly better away form. I lean toward a draw or a narrow Mainz win, with goals from both sides likely.

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is under 10.5 corners for a coefficient of 1.75 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.62 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.71 in the 1XBet bookmaker.