Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction for the Match on May 17, 2025

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
17 May 2025 16:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga. Round 34
Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Mainz).
17.05.2025 16:30
Clement Obeng Manu
16 May 2025
21:43
Statistics of the month:
9
3
0
75%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Over 8.5 corners
Bonus 250 USD
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Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction for the Match on May 17, 2025

Mainz approach this decisive finale with European dreams alive, as a top-six finish remains within reach. The squad realizes that only an inspired display will secure continental football against formidable Leverkusen, who seek momentum despite already confirming second place.

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This season in the Bundesliga, Mainz is experiencing a competitive campaign as the team fights to stay in the race for European qualification, often mixing solid performances with frustrating lapses in concentration. The away form of Mainz has been fairly balanced, but at home they’ve looked more assured, especially against direct rivals, like in the 4-1 win over Bochum. To secure continental football, Mainz must stay sharp and composed, beginning with a tough test against Bayer Leverkusen.

Mainz has 13 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, reflecting a team capable of pushing into the top six. While the attack has delivered when needed, occasional defensive errors have cost points. The focus now must be on staying disciplined at the back and making the most of chances up front.

Mainz: Lineup

Bo Henriksen will have to carefully consider his options for this game, given the high stakes and the need to secure a European spot. With no major injury concerns in the squad, Henriksen will likely stick with his strongest eleven, though he may adjust the setup slightly to counter Leverkusen’s attacking threats. Mainz will need energy and discipline in midfield to match Leverkusen’s tempo and movement.

It is widely expected that Mainz will be aggressive from the start, with Dahmen in goal and a stable backline including Widmer and Mwene. In attack, Lee Jae-sung could take up the central playmaker role, flanked by Onisiwo and Barkok, while Ajorque leads the line. Barreiro and Kohr are set to start in midfield, offering balance and bite in the centre of the pitch.

🔖 Mainz projected starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Dahmen – Widmer, Bell, Fernandes, Mwene – Kohr, Barreiro – Barkok, Lee, Onisiwo – Ajorque

⛔️ Out: No major injuries reported; full-strength squad expected

👤 Head coach: Bo Henriksen

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The form of Bayer Leverkusen has been impressive and consistent enough to secure second place in the Bundesliga, with the team showing attacking flair and defensive stability throughout the campaign. Their success has been built on dynamic wing play and clinical finishing, although occasional lapses have led to dropped points in tighter matches. The midfield pairing of Andrich and Palacios has been key, while Wirtz and Schick bring cutting edge in the final third.

With 15 points remaining to be played for, Leverkusen have already secured Champions League football. They will likely approach this game with confidence, aiming to control possession, test Mainz’s backline, and finish the season strongly on a winning note.

Bayer Leverkusen: Lineup

Xabi Alonso will have a straightforward job selecting players for this game, as Bayer Leverkusen have no major injury concerns and enter the match with a settled and high-performing squad. With second place already secured, Alonso may rotate lightly, but he is expected to field a strong starting eleven to maintain form and momentum heading into the offseason.

It is highly expected that Leverkusen will control possession with Palacios and Andrich anchoring the midfield, while Wirtz drives creativity in the final third. The defence remains solid with Tah, Tapsoba, and Hincapié ahead of Hradecky in goal. Schick will likely lead the line, supported by Hofmann and Frimpong, whose pace down the right flank will trouble the Mainz defence.

🔖 Bayer Leverkusen starting lineup (3-4-2-1)

Hradecky – Tah, Tapsoba, Hincapié – Frimpong, Andrich, Palacios, Grimaldo – Wirtz, Hofmann – Schick

⛔️ Out: No major injuries reported

👤 Head coach: Xabi Alonso

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  • In 5 of the 6 games between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen, the bet on over 2.5 goals has played. This option is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.47;
  • In the last 6 games between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen, the bet on over 2.5 cards has played. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.46;

Leverkusen have won 21 out of the last 38 matches against Mainz, with Mainz securing 12 victories. Main will be motivated as the team is coming off a 4-1 victory against VfL Bochum. Leverkusen has secured 2nd position, and this is Alonso's final game as coach of Leverkusen. 

I tip Mainz to win, considering Mainz's strong motivation to secure European football,l but Bayer Leverkusen's quality and depth may cause problems. I anticipate a 2-1 win for Mainz. 

Below are the recommended bets:

Our match prediction: is over 8.5 corners for a coefficient of 1.64 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W1 to win for a coefficient of 2.31 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip: is over 3.5 cards for a coefficient of 2.10 in the 1XBet bookmaker.

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Odds 1,64
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Odds 2,31
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