Stadium: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
15.03.2025 20:30
A seismic Bundesliga showdown is set for March 15, 2025, as RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in a fixture laden with significance. With both teams vying for supremacy in the German top flight, this encounter promises an enthralling spectacle characterized by high-intensity football, technical brilliance, and moments of individual magic.
RB Leipzig approaches this contest with an air of unpredictability. Marco Rose's men have had a mixed campaign, registering 39 goals in 25 league matches while averaging 12 shots per game. The attack has often leaned on Benjamin Sesko (10 goals) and Loïs Openda (7 goals), but Leipzig’s true strength lies in their collective pressing and structured defensive transitions. However, recent home form raises concerns, with a solitary win in their last three home outings (1W, 1D, 1L), averaging 1.0 goals per game.
Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, are in sharper form, having netted 45 Bundesliga goals in 25 fixtures, demonstrating superior attacking efficiency compared to their hosts. The form of Sehrou Guirassy (14 goals) has been instrumental in their offensive exploits, while Pascal Groß (7 assists) orchestrates play from midfield. Dortmund’s defensive resilience on the road has been commendable, conceding just 0.8 goals per away game, a statistic that could stifle Leipzig’s attacking endeavours.
The head-to-head history tilts slightly in Leipzig’s favour. They have won four of the last six encounters, averaging 2.3 goals per game compared to Dortmund’s 1.2. However, their last meeting in November saw Dortmund emerge victorious with a 2-1 scoreline, proving they can handle Leipzig’s aggressive press when required.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!RB Leipzig
Leipzig’s offensive structure is built around dynamic transitions, with Benjamin Sesko and Loïs Openda spearheading their attack. Their pressing efficiency has allowed them to disrupt opposition build-ups and capitalize on turnovers, a strategy that has yielded 39 goals this campaign. Xavi Simons has also emerged as a creative force, contributing 6 goals and 4 assists despite limited appearances.
However, Leipzig’s defensive vulnerability has been a recurring issue. Conceding 49 disciplinary fouls in the Bundesliga, their backline has struggled with composure in high-pressure situations. The absence of key personnel, including Antonio Nusa and Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, further complicates matters. The inconsistency in midfield control, evident in their fluctuating possession statistics (52.4% in the Bundesliga, 47.6% in the UCL), could hinder their ability to dictate the tempo against a Dortmund side proficient in ball retention.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund’s success this season can be attributed to their balance between attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Sehrou Guirassy has been a revelation, netting 14 goals in 22 league appearances. His clinical finishing, coupled with the creative ingenuity of Pascal Groß and Julian Brandt, makes Dortmund a formidable force in the final third.
Defensively, they have exhibited compactness and discipline, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per away game. The midfield trio, orchestrated by Groß and supported by the industrious Emre Can, ensures control in central areas. While injuries to key players like Felix Nmecha and Ayman Azhil may pose slight concerns, Dortmund’s squad depth mitigates these setbacks.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2025/2026
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2024/2025
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2023/2024
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig Latest Games
RB Leipzig
Magdeburg
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund Latest Games
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal
Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
Expert Betting Tips
Given the statistical data, this contest is finely poised. Dortmund’s superior firepower, coupled with their disciplined defensive setup, provides them with a slight edge over Leipzig. However, Leipzig’s high-intensity pressing and their recent dominance in head-to-head encounters cannot be overlooked.
I anticipate a closely fought encounter, with Dortmund edging out Leipzig in a 2-1 victory. The probability of both teams scoring (BTTS) stands at 68%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals occurring sits at 61%. With both teams favouring attacking football, an expected corner count of over 9.5 corners holds a 72% probability.
Leipzig will look to their home advantage, but Dortmund’s momentum and efficiency in front of goal may prove decisive in this crucial Bundesliga battle.
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is over 8.5 corners for odds of 1.67 at Betway
My second prediction is at BTTS for odds of 1.65 at Bet365
My final prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.76 at 1XBet
Other predictions
