St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction: A mid-table showdown in Hamburg

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim: Prediction for the Match on October 19, 2025

At the iconic Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, St. Pauli host Hoffenheim in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both clubs have struggled to string together consistent performances this season. St. Pauli with troubles scoring and Hoffenheim with defensive lapses and irregular results. 

St. Pauli will hope the home atmosphere and their favorable recent head-to-head record give them an edge, while Hoffenheim aim to regain form on the road and impose their attacking threat. With little to separate them in the standings, the stakes are high for both teams seeking to push away from the lower mid-table.

St. Pauli: Forms and Statistics

St. Pauli have seen a rocky run of form. Their offensive output has been particularly poor as they have averaged less than one goal per home match in many recent outings and often struggled to turn possession into clear chances. Defensively, they’ve shown some resilience, but still concede at a rate that keeps them in danger. 

In their recent head‐to-heads against Hoffenheim, St. Pauli have actually held the upper hand, especially at home. However, their failure to build consistent winning momentum at home means they remain vulnerable.

Hoffenheim: Forms and Statistics

Hoffenheim have exhibited flashes of strength, especially away from home. Their recent away record shows a higher average of goals scored and a somewhat tighter defensive record than in previous months. For instance, in away fixtures they have averaged over 2 goals scored per game in the last few matches. 

 That said, their form has also been inconsistent: while their defence has improved, there are still games where they concede too easily, and their attacking potency has dipped compared to their best days. Their head‐to‐head record against St. Pauli is weaker: historically St. Pauli have more wins than Hoffenheim in this matchup.

St. Pauli - Lineups

🔖 St. Pauli Predicted Lineup (3-4-1-2)

Vasilj, Wahl, Smith, Dźwigała; Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppie; Sinani; Hountondji.,Lage

⛔️ Unavailable: Ricky-Jade Jones (out), David Nemeth (out), Jackson Irvine (doubtful), Danel Sinani (doubtful), Hauke Wahl (doubtful)

👤 Head coach: Alexander Blessin

Hoffenheim - Lineups

🔖 Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Baumann; Coufal, Hranáč, Hajdari, Bernardo; Avdullahu. Burger; Lemperle, Kramarić, Touré; Asllani

⛔️ Unavailable: Adam Hložek, Koki Machida, Valentin Gendrey, Albian Hajdari, Kelven Frees

👤 Head coach: Christian Ilzer

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim: Prediction for the Match on October 19, 2025

Matches involving St. Pauli lately often end with under 2.5 goals, due to their scoring struggles. Hoffenheim's away games have seen a better scoring rate, suggesting their attack is more dangerous when on the road. 

St. Pauli have a favourable recent head-to-head record at home against Hoffenheim, giving them a slight psychological edge. Defensive frailties on both sides mean that BTTS is a realistic possibility.

St. Pauli are unlikely to dominate but may keep things tight at home. Hoffenheim have the edge in away performance, but their inconsistencies mean they may not win comfortably. We anticipate a 1-1 draw in this game. 

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is under 3 goals for a coefficient of 1.64 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.67 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is a draw for a coefficient of 3.61 in the 1XBet bookmaker.