Stuttgart vs Heidenheim Prediction: Stuttgart needs to be defensively aware as Heidenheim hunt another upset

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
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05 Oct 2025 16:30
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Germany, Bundesliga Round 6
Stadium: MHP Arena, Stuttgart, Germany
Time: 05.10.2025 16:30
Clement Obeng Manu
04 Oct 2025
17:27
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Stuttgart vs Heidenheim: Prediction for the Match on October 05, 2025

Stuttgart’s recent home performances have been a blend of attacking promise and defensive frailty. They score regularly, press aggressively, and dominate possession, yet their back line has looked vulnerable and concedes late goals and drops points in games they have largely controlled. Heidenheim, though lower in the table, have proved over their recent away matches that they are never completely overrun. They have moments of solidity and counter-attack sharpness. 

Given the contrast, Stuttgart’s need for stability and Heidenheim’s underdog mindset—this match is likely to hinge on whether Stuttgart can keep focus through 90 minutes and whether Heidenheim can punish mistakes, especially from set-pieces or lapses in concentration.

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Stuttgart at home are potent going forward as the team has good control, high possession, and strong pressing. But defensive weaknesses remain a major concern due to errors, lapses late, and failure to close out matches have hurt them. Their clean sheet count at home is low. Conceding is frequent, especially against teams that defend deeply and counter. Stuttgart will need discipline at the back to avoid giving Heidenheim life.

Heidenheim away are underdogs in most fixtures. Their goal scoring is modest, and they often concede due to pressure or defensive breakdowns. However, they have shown grit: moments of opportunistic play, scoring in key windows, and making matches more competitive than expected. Their away wins are rare, but their threat should not be dismissed.

🔖 Stuttgart Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Nübel; Vagnoman, Jeltsch, Chabot, Mittelstädt; Karazor, Stiller; Bouanani, Khannouss, Leweling; Demirović

⛔️ Unavailable: Diehl, Undav, Bredlow, Silas, Stergiou, Jaquez

👤 Head coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

🔖 Heidenheim Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Ramaj; Traore, Mainka, Gimber, Föhrenbach; Schöppner, Kerber; Ibrahimović, Beck, Honsak; Sorensen

⛔️ Unavailable: Budu Zivzivadze, Frank Feller, Marvin Pieringer, Nick Rothweiler, Leart Paqarada

👤 Head coach: Frank Schmidt

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  • In 8 of the last 10 games between Stuttgart and Heidenheim, bet on Stuttgart to score the first goals has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.81 odds;
  • In 9 of the last 10 games between Stuttgart and Heidenheim, bet on under 4.5 cards has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.32 odds;
  • In 4 of the last 5 games between Stuttgart and Heidenheim, bet on over 10.5 corners has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.85 odds;

Stuttgart have scored about 2.3 goals per game in recent direct matches with Heidenheim, but many of those games have also had over 2.5 goals and BTTS. Heidenheim have lost more than half of their away matches in recent Bundesliga seasons, and struggle to keep clean sheets. Review of the Head to Head data shows that Stuttgart tend to dominate possession but concedes late or after allowing Heidenheim’s counter. 

Stuttgart remain favourites to take this one at home, but the result is far from guaranteed. We expect goals on both sides, potential for a tight first half, and the chance that Heidenheim will make Stuttgart pay for any defensive slack.

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.69 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.72 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is over 8.5 corners for a coefficient of 1.69 in the 1XBet bookmaker. 

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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
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