Stadium: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
04.12.2025 16:30
It’s a fixture balanced on a knife’s edge — two flawed sides meeting at a moment where momentum and urgency might matter more than the table. Hoffenheim, for all their individual quality in the final third, have been unable to string together convincing performances at home. Their defensive record, particularly at the PreZero Arena, remains a liability that better-organized teams have exploited all season.
Mainz, by contrast, arrive with renewed belief after last weekend’s commanding 4-0 win. Their structure looked sharper, transitions quicker, and there’s a growing sense they’ve turned a psychological corner. If they can maintain that discipline and ride the confidence wave, they have the tools to hurt Hoffenheim — especially in transition.
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There’s an air of frustration around Hoffenheim these days. Not panic — not yet — but a mounting irritation at their inability to assert themselves. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side have shown flickers of intent this season, but every time they look ready to rise, they slip again. A 1-1 draw against Augsburg, then a soft 3-1 collapse at the hands of Leipzig last week. They’re not being hammered, but they’re not hitting back either.
And then there’s the home form — or lack of it. Just three wins in Sinsheim all season, a defense that can’t seem to keep it tight, and a midfield that too often flatlines under pressure. Andrej Kramarić and Wout Weghorst remain their brightest attacking sparks, but neither can carry this side on their own. If Hoffenheim are to snap out of their funk, it has to start here, in front of their own fans, against a Mainz team that’s suddenly smelling blood.
1. FSV Mainz 05
Last week’s demolition job against Darmstadt was more than just a rare clean sheet — it was the kind of statement that lights fires in relegation battles. Bo Henriksen has breathed fresh air into a squad that looked dead in the water a month ago. And suddenly, the pieces are moving. Jonathan Burkardt is scoring again.
Away from home, they’re still fragile — eight losses tell that tale. But this isn’t the Mainz of January. They’ve now picked up seven points in their last four games, and what they lack in polish, they’re making up for in purpose. That December win over Hoffenheim — a clean, efficient 2-0 — will still be ringing in their heads. There’s no fear here. Just mission mode.
History of Head-to-Heads
Bundesliga 2025/2026
Hoffenheim
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2024/2025
Hoffenheim
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Hoffenheim
Bundesliga 2023/2024
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim Latest Games
Hoffenheim 
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
FC Köln
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05 Latest Games
Mainz 05
Borussia Moenchengladbach
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
Fiorentina
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
Zrinjski Mostar
Expert Betting Tips
This one has grit written all over it. Hoffenheim, for all their quality, is brittle right now. Mainz, emboldened by momentum and with the sharper tactical identity at the moment, may not get many chances — but you get the sense they’ll take them. In matches like this, confidence matters more than class. And right now, Mainz has the former.
Prediction score: Hoffenheim 1 - 2 Mainz
Below are my predictions for the game:
My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.63 at Betway
My second prediction is W2 to win for odds of 2.61 at Bet365
My final prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.78 at 1XBet
Other predictions
