Union Berlin vs Hamburg Prediction: Can Hamburg keep up the fight?

Union Berlin vs Hamburg: Prediction for the Match on September 28, 2025

Union Berlin arrive in decent form, having picked up wins in their recent fixtures and showing potency in attack. Their home ground gives them a psychological advantage, especially against teams who struggle to score and keep clean sheets. Hamburg has been leaky defensively and inconsistent in front of goal, though they pulled off a win recently against Heidenheim; their away results typically fall short. 

Tactically, Union will likely try to dominate possession, press aggressively, and exploit any defensive lapses by Hamburg. If Hamburg are to upset, they’ll need sharp counter-attacks and fast transitions, but the pressure will be on them from the go.

Union Berlin: Forms and Statistics

Union are in fair form, scoring goals, creating chances, and showing resilience even when their defence gets tested. Their attacking numbers are strong, with recent games showing them averaging 2.5 goals per match in short-term stats. 

However, defence is not perfect. They concede comparatively often, especially in matches where they attack heavily. At home, they are more confident and tend to dominate possession.

Union Berlin - Lineups

🔖 Union Berlin Predicted Lineup (3-4-2-1)

Rønnow, Doekhi, Querfeld, Leite; Trimmel, Khedira, Haberer, Skov; Burke, Ansah

⛔️ Unavailable: Andrik Markgraf, Tom Rothe, Livan Burcu, Stanley N'Soki, Josip Juranović, András Schäfer

👤 Head coach: Steffen Baumgart

Hamburg: Forms and Statistics

Hamburg have had difficulties on the road. They score infrequently, struggle to maintain defensive stability, and concede early in many matches. Their expected goals (xG) are modest; even when they have possession, finishing and chance creation lag. This season they have only picked up a single win so far and their goal difference reflects the defensive challenges.

Hamburg - Lineups

🔖 Hamburg Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Fernandes; Omari, Vušković, Elfadli; Gocholeishvili, Remberg, Capaldo, Muheim; Vieira, Königsdörffer, Glatzel

⛔️ Unavailable: Jordan Torunarigha, Yussuf Poulsen, Silvan Hefti, Guilherme Ramos

👤 Head coach: Merlin Polzin

Union Berlin vs Hamburg match prediction 28 September 2025

• In 8 of the last 10 games between Union Berlin and Hamburg, bet on under 4.5 cards has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.44 odds;
• In the last 5 games involving Union Berlin, bet on over 2.5 goals has played. The bet is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 1.84 odds;

Union Berlin vs Hamburg match prediction 28 September 2025

Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 5 Bundesliga matches, showing good attacking output. Hamburg has scored very few goals in recent matches, averaging about 0.6 goals per game in their last 5. Defensive lapses are also evident, conceding on average 1.8 per game. Union Berlin are unbeaten at home vs Hamburg in recent meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). Over 2.5 goals has featured in many recent Union Berlin games. Hamburg often concedes first and struggles to recover.

We expect a competitive match with goals on both sides, but Union to come out on top.

Below are our predictions

Our match prediction: is W1 goals for a coefficient of 2.08 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.75 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Lastly: is over 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.84 in the 1XBet bookmaker.