Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel Prediction: Union Berlin is the clear favorite with over 60% chance of winning

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
02 Mar 2025 17:30
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Bundesliga Round 24
Stadium: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
02.03.2025 17:30
Clement Obeng Manu
01 Mar 2025
00:09
Statistics of the month:
8
0
0
100%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,63
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds │02 MARCH, 2025

Union Berlin faces Holstein Kiel in a contest where contrasting styles could define the outcome. Union Berlin’s solid home record sees them average 1.4 goals per game, often relying on set-pieces and physical play. Their defensive structure makes them difficult to break down, but they can struggle against quick, technical teams.

Holstein Kiel brings a dynamic, attacking approach, averaging 1.3 goals per away game. Their speed on the break and willingness to commit bodies forward make them a dangerous opponent. However, defensive lapses have hampered their ability to secure results on the road.

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Union Berlin averages 1.4 goals per home game, with set-pieces forming a key part of their attacking arsenal. Their organized defense makes them tough to break down, but they concede when pressed high. Their physical approach frequently results in yellow cards, making over 4 cards a strong probability. They rely heavily on aerial duels and second balls, often forcing opponents into errors. This direct style creates numerous corners, particularly in tight matches. While Union Berlin is difficult to break down, they can struggle against teams that play at a high tempo, especially in wide areas. Their resilience at home makes them favorites, but they must guard against complacency.

Holstein Kiel’s attacking approach yields 1.3 goals per away game, but their open style leaves them vulnerable at the back. Their quick, technical play often leads to multiple corners and bookings. They thrive on possession-based football, stretching opponents with width and quick interchanges. However, their defensive organization can be suspect, particularly when caught on the counter. This imbalance makes them prone to conceding, increasing the likelihood of BTTS. Kiel’s high-risk style makes them an entertaining side, but one that is vulnerable against physical, well-organized opponents.

History of Head-to-Heads

Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
02.03.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Club Friendlies 2025 Club Friendlies 2025
05.01.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1 - 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Bundesliga 2024/2025 Bundesliga 2024/2025
20.10.24
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Club Friendlies 2023 Club Friendlies 2023
22.07.23
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1 - 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Club Friendlies 2019 Club Friendlies 2019
13.11.19
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel

Union Berlin Latest Games

Union Berlin Union Berlin
03.12.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
29.11.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1 - 2
FC Heidenheim FC Heidenheim
23.11.25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0 - 1
Union Berlin Union Berlin
08.11.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2 - 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
01.11.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
0 - 0
Freiburg Freiburg
29.10.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
24.10.25
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Union Berlin Union Berlin
17.10.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3 - 1
Borussia Moenchengladbach Borussia Moenchengladbach
08.10.25
FSV Luckenwalde FSV Luckenwalde
0 - 3
Union Berlin Union Berlin
04.10.25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
Union Berlin Union Berlin

Holstein Kiel Latest Games

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
03.12.25
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1 - 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
13.11.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
3 - 2
Silkeborg Silkeborg
28.10.25
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
09.10.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
AGF AGF
03.09.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
St. Pauli St. Pauli
17.08.25
Homburg Homburg
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
19.07.25
Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 4
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
17.05.25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
10.05.25
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Freiburg Freiburg
04.05.25
Augsburg Augsburg
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel

Union Berlin’s defensive structure gives them a 55% probability of victory. A 2-1 home win is predicted, with BTTS likely. Over 2.5 goals, over 4 cards, and over 9.5 corners are all expected in what could be an entertaining battle. Union Berlin’s physicality and set-piece threat give them the edge, but Kiel’s attacking intent could make this a close contest.

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is W1 to win for odds of 1.63 at Betway

My second prediction is at BTTS for odds of 1.77 at Bet365

My final prediction is over 2.5 odds for odds of 1.71 at 1XBet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,63
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,77
Bet Type BTTS
Bet Now!
Odds 1,71
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!

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