Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction: A tactical battle between two distinct styles

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
12 Dec 2025 22:30
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga - 14th round 
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
An der Alten Försterei stadium
12.12.2025, 22:30
Fransisca Hellen Taiwo
11 Dec 2025
09:00
All time statistics:
883
806
10
51.97%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type Over 2.5 totals
Bonus 250 USD
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Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Prediction for the Match on December 12, 2025

Union Berlin will host RB Leipzig at Stadion An der Alten Försterei on December 12, 2025, in a Bundesliga match. Union Berlin are 12th with 15 points, while RB Leipzig are 2nd with 29 points. Union Berlin have had a steady start and are firmly mid-table, preparing to face an in-form RB Leipzig.

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Union Berlin are coming off a 3-1 loss to Wolfsburg at the Volkswagen Arena last weekend. This followed a narrow 3-2 defeat to Bayern Munich in the DFB-Pokal round of 16. Union have exceeded expectations in German football for over five years. However, they’ve won only two of their last eight matches, with one win coming against second-tier Arminia Bielefeld in the cup.

Robert Skov, the former Hoffenheim striker, has been out since mid-September with a muscle injury. Rani Khedira, who was suspended last weekend, will return to Baumgart's squad. Oliver Burke hasn't scored since September 21, but he might get a full recall. Stanley Nsoki, who scored in his first Bundesliga start last week, will keep his spot in defense.

🔖 Union Berlin Expected Lineup

Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Ronnow; Doekhi, Querfeld, Nsoki; Trimmel, Haberer, Kemlein, Kohn; Schafer, Ansah; Jeong

Questionable: Skov (Injured)

Werner has brought back RB Leipzig’s aggressive pressing and fast, vertical play. This allows them to win turnovers and attack quickly. Leipzig’s recent form backs up their strong performance. They sit second in the Bundesliga with 29 points from 13 matches. They’re on a two-game winning streak, after a 6-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt and a 3-1 victory against 1.FC Magdeburg in the DFB Pokal.

Timo Werner, who hasn’t played since September and is expected to move in January, will miss this match. Leipzig will also be without Ridle Baku, Viggo Gebel, and Benjamin Henrichs due to injuries. Yan Diomande, who scored a hat-trick against Eintracht Frankfurt, will lead Leipzig’s attack. Kosta Nedeljkovic, recently loaned from Aston Villa, will start at right-back. Leipzig, however, have some injury concerns before their trip to Borussia-Park. El Chadaille Bitshiabu missed the last game due to a muscle injury and remains doubtful. Benjamin Henrichs is still dealing with an Achilles tendon issue and isn’t expected back until mid-to-late January. Assan Ouedraogo, who impressed against Bremen, is likely out this weekend due to a hamstring injury.

🔖 RB Leipzig Expected Lineup

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Gulacsi; Nedeljkovic, Orban, Lukeba, Raum; Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner; Diomande, Harder, Bakayoko

Unavailable: Henrichs (Injured), Baku (Injured), Ouedraogo (Injured), Kampl (Injured), Gebel (Injured), Nusa (Injured), Werner (Injured)

Questionable: Bitshiabu (Injured), Romulo (Injured)

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Union Berlin and RB Leipzig have a competitive rivalry. In their last five meetings, Leipzig won twice, Union Berlin once, and there were two draws. The most recent matches ended in goalless draws, suggesting tight, defensive games. Leipzig's earlier wins give them the edge. In these five encounters, Union Berlin scored 2 goals, while Leipzig scored 6.

  • Both of Union Berlin and RB Leipzig’s Bundesliga matches last season ended in 0-0 draws.
  • Leipzig have lost only once in their last 14 matches across all competitions. With 28 goals in the Bundesliga this season, only Bayern Munich (49) have scored more.
  • Union Berlin have lost their last three games in all competitions, with an 8-4 aggregate score. They’ve conceded seven goals in their last three games in the capital.
  • Union Berlin have won one of their last five matches (D1, L3). Leipzig have won three of their last five (D1, L1) and are on a two-game winning streak.

Andrej Ilic has been a standout for Union Berlin this season, providing five assists in 12 Bundesliga games. He’s been key in creating their attacks. Danilho Doekhi, with four goals in 13 matches, is their top scorer and a threat from defense. Leipzig will need to watch him closely. Christoph Baumgartner is Leipzig’s top scorer with six goals in 13 Bundesliga matches. Yan Diomande has also been in great form, scoring four of Leipzig’s last 12 goals in all competitions over his last five appearances. With Leipzig in strong away form, Union Berlin will need to defend their home ground. Given the current form and standings, Leipzig is expected to win 2-1.

Our match prediction is RB Leipzig to win with odds at 2.02 on the 1Xbetbookmaker.

Our betting tip is Goal to be scored in both halves with odds at 1.90 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our last match prediction is Over 2.5 totals with odds at 1.78 on Betway bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type Over 2.5 totals
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Odds 2,02
Bet Type RB Leipzig to win
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Odds 1,90
Bet Type Goal to be scored in both halves
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