Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction: First Win of the Violets This Season

Fiorentina vs Lecce: Prediction for the Match on November 2, 2025

Stefano Pioli's time at Fiorentina so far has been unsuccessful, with no wins in nine rounds of the league. Will the team be able to end their losing streak after the home match against Lecce? Let's take a look at the odds, analyze the statistics, and explore some betting options.

Fiorentina: form and statistics

Pioli has had success at Fiorentina in the past, but the team seems to be struggling to find its form. In the middle of last week, they played a disappointing match in Milan, losing 0-3 to Inter. This was the fourth draw and fifth loss in nine matches, putting them in a relegation battle with only one point separating them from the 17th position. But Fiorentina are doing well in the Europa League. They made their way to the main draw after qualifying, defeating the Ukrainian club, Polesie. During the main tournament, they have had a 100% result so far. First, they defeated the Czech team, Sigma Olomuc, on their own ground (2:0) and then beat Vienna Rapid away (3:0). This week, on Thursday, they will play a third round game away against German team Mainz.

Lecce: form and statistics

Under the leadership of Eusebio Di Francesco, the team has improved during the season, but they lost this week. At the weekend, they had a tough away game against Udinese, losing 2:3. Then, they faced Napoli at home, but were close to defeating them - 0:1, when Lecce scored a goal in the second half with a penalty, which was not realized by Camarda. Immediately after that, they conceded an own goal. Overall, Lecce performs well in individual matches, but the team lacks a group of high-quality players. In the league standings, the yellow-and-reds are currently in 16th place, two points behind the relegation zone. Regarding game statistics, we note that the team's offensive efforts are not strong. In nine games, Lecce generated dangerous chances without considering penalties, with only 6.73 expected goals - the worst result in Serie A.

Fiorentina vs Lecce: head to head statistics

In the last season, Fiorentina defeated Lecce twice in a dry scoreline. First, in October, the Fiorentines beat their opponents 6-0 away from home, and then, in February, they were stronger at home. However, both teams had different coaches at the time. Fiorentina was led by Raffaele Palladino, while Lecce was led first by Luca Gotti and later by Marco Giampaolo. Over the past ten head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina have five wins, Lecce have three, and there have been two draws. In total, the two teams have met 38 times, with Fiorentina having 16 victories, Lecce having 10, and 12 ties.

Fiorentina vs Lecce: Betting Tips & Odds

• The two previous face-to-face meetings between these rivals were held in favor of Fiorentina, with a W1 bet and a coefficient of 1.63.
• In six of the last nine matches, Lecce conceded two or more goals, with an IT1O (1.5) bet and a coefficient of 1.88.
• During the previous five games, Fiorentina scored three or more goals, resulting in a TO (2.5) bet with a coefficient of 2.14.
• There was no goal exchange in four of Lecce's last six games, which resulted in an "BTTS - no" bet with a coefficient of 1.69.

Fiorentina vs Lecce: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Fiorentina is the significant favorite for the upcoming game, with the 1xbet bookmaker offering a W1 win bet with a coefficient of 1.63. A bet on Lecce winning is available with a coefficient of 6.04, while the draw is estimated at 4.00. A bet that Lecce won't lose is accepted with a coefficient of 2.41.

Fiorentina vs Lecce match prediction 2 November 2025

Fiorentina have not yet won a championship, so when else could they win their first victory if not against Lecce at home? Gialorossi are a tough opponent, but Di Francesco's team lacks class, so we believe that following the upcoming game's results, Fiorentina can break their losing streak and get their first points in this championship by winning.

Our main prediction: H1 (-0.75) for a coefficient of 1.80 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Team 1 to Score Only for a coefficient 3.20 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: CS 2:0 for a coefficient 7.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.