Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction: Who Will Break Through First?

Genoa
Genoa
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
09 Nov 2025 17:00
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Serie A. Round 11
Stadium: Luigi Ferraris
Referee: Marco Guida
09.11.2025 17:00
Valeriia Shikhova
09 Nov 2025
11:35
All time statistics:
1332
1312
12
50.15%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,70
Bet Type BTTS-YES
Bonus 250 USD
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Genoa vs Fiorentina: Prediction for the Match on November 9, 2025

Prediction for the Serie A match which will be held on November 9. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Patrick Vieira was dismissed as Genoa’s head coach ahead of the previous round. In the away match against Sassuolo, the team was effectively led by former Zenit defender Domenico Criscito as interim manager. This change had a positive impact on the Grifoni. By the 47th minute, the sides had exchanged goals, and in the dying moments Leo Ostigard converted a free-kick — 2–1. Genoa secured their first win of the season and climbed off the bottom of the table.

The Genoese now occupy the relegation zone, trailing the safe 17th place only on tiebreakers. It’s worth noting that by scoring two goals against Sassuolo, Genoa achieved something unusual this season. They had scored only six goals in ten rounds, despite an expected goals (xG) total of 13.28 excluding penalties. In other words, the team struggles heavily with finishing. The new head coach of Genoa is Daniele De Rossi.

Stefano Pioli’s days in charge of Fiorentina were effectively over after the previous round. The Viola hosted one of the weakest teams of the season, Lecce, and somehow lost. The only goal of the game came in the middle of the first half, with a 0–1 defeat. Most likely, the new head coach of the Florence club will be former Spartak Moscow manager Paolo Vanoli. Heading into Matchday 11 of Serie A, Fiorentina sit at the bottom of the table.

After Pioli’s dismissal, Fiorentina played a Conference League match on Thursday — away against Mainz in Germany. The Viola took the lead in the 16th minute through Simon Sohm, but in the second half they allowed the hosts to turn the game around, conceding two unanswered goals for a 1–2 loss. After three group-stage matches, Fiorentina have six points and occupy the last spot in the top-eight of the main stage.

Last season, Fiorentina took both points from Genoa — 1–0 away and 2–1 at home.

In their last ten games, Fiorentina have won five, Genoa one, with four draws. Overall, the teams have faced each other 116 times. Fiorentina have 52 wins, Genoa 24, and there have been 40 draws.

  • In 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, both teams scored. BTTS – Yes is offered at 2.05 (betway).
  • 8 of Fiorentina’s last 11 matches went over the total. TO 2.5 goals is priced at 2.42 (1xbet).
  • Fiorentina have lost three matches in a row. Home win is offered at 2.80 (bet365).
  • In 5 of their last 7 games, Fiorentina conceded at least two goals. Fiorentina over 1.5 goals scored against is priced at 2.95 (bet365).
  • In 4 of Genoa’s last 6 matches, opponents scored two or more goals. Genoa over 1.5 goals scored against is offered at 2.95 (1xbet).
  • Genoa have lost 4 of their last 6 matches. Away win is priced at 2.80 (betway).

The chances of winning the upcoming match are considered equal for both teams. A Genoa win and a Fiorentina win are both priced at 2.80  for 1xbet. A draw is offered at 3.00. The handicap (0) for Fiorentina and for Genoa is set at 1.90.

In terms of scoring, the match is expected to be low. Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.55, while over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.45. BTTS – Yes is available at 1.95, and BTTS – No at 1.80. The odds for a Fiorentina goal or a Genoa goal are both 1.40.

Genoa and Fiorentina have been weak defensively this season. Looking at opponents’ expected goals, Genoa rank fifth from the bottom with 14.88, while Fiorentina are sixth from the bottom with 14.84. For this reason, we expect both teams to score at least once in the upcoming match. 

Our main prediction: is TO 2.5 for a coefficient of 2.70 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is BTTS-YES for a coefficient 2.11 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 2:2 for a coefficient 17 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,70
Bet Type BTTS-YES
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Odds 2,11
Bet Type TO 2.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 17
Bet Type Correct Score 2:2
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