Milan vs Lazio Prediction: a narrow victory for the Rossoneri?

Milan vs Lazio: Prediction for the Match on November 29, 2025

Prediction for the Serie A match which will be held on November 29. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Milan: form and statistics

The Rossoneri played one of their most important matches of the season in the previous round. Max Allegri's team faced Inter as the nominal visitors. The Rossoneri played second fiddle, but it was they who opened the scoring in the 54th minute with a precise strike from Christian Pulisic on the counterattack. Inter then pressed forward, and their best chance to equalise came from a penalty, which Hakan Calhanoglu failed to convert. In the end, Milan held on to their narrow lead, winning 1:0. The Rossoneri needed only 36% possession to secure the victory.

In just 12 rounds of the championship, Milan has only one defeat, seven wins and four draws. The team is in second place in the standings, just two points behind Roma, who has taken the lead. It is also worth noting that in 12 matches, Milan has conceded only nine goals and, in terms of expected goals conceded (excluding penalties), is in second place with 9.73. Only Inter has conceded fewer chances on goal.

Lazio: form and statistics

In the last round, the Romans hosted Lecce at the Olympic Stadium. The status of their opponents allowed the Biancocelesti to expect success, which they ultimately achieved. Matteo Gendouzi opened the scoring in the 29th minute. After that, Maurizio Sarri's team allowed virtually nothing near their goal, created several good chances themselves, and in the end, substitute Tijani Noslin set the final score at 2:0 in the 90+5th minute.

Lazio have earned 18 points in 12 rounds and are currently in eighth place in the standings, but they are only three points behind the European Cup zone and six points behind the Champions League competition. The problem for the capital team remains their attacking play, which is particularly evident in matches against big teams. In 12 rounds, Lazio has scored only 15 times and created only 14.34 expected goals, not counting penalties.

Milan vs Lazio: head to head statistics

In the last championship, Milan failed to beat Lazio. The Romans won 2:1 at San Siro, and the match at the Olimpico ended in a 2:2 draw.

In the last ten head-to-head matches, Milan has six wins, Lazio has three, and there has been one draw.

The rivals have met 188 times in total. Milan has 83 wins, Lazio has 41, and there have been 64 draws.

Milan vs Lazio: Betting Tips & Odds

• Milan has not lost in 12 consecutive matches. Bet on 1X with odds of 1.14 at 1xbet bookmaker.
• Milan has won 8 of its previous 12 matches. Bet on W1 with odds of 1.60 at bet365 bookmaker.
• In its last six matches, Lazio has scored no more than two goals. Bet on TU (2.5) with odds of 1.83 at 1xbet bookmaker.
• Lazio has not conceded in 5 of its last 6 games. Bet IT1U (0.5) with odds of 5.90 at betway.
• Milan has won 2 of its last 3 meetings with a score of 1:0. Bet on CS - 1:0 with odds of 6.50 at betway.
• In the last six matches, Lazio has not conceded a goal. Bet on BTTS - no with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.

Milan vs Lazio: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Milan is the clear favourite in this match. A bet on a Rossoneri victory at the betway bookmaker is valued at odds of 1.60. A bet on a Lazio victory is accepted at odds of 5.70. A draw is offered at odds of 4.00. A Milan win with a handicap (-1.0) is priced at 2.03. A Lazio win with a handicap of (+1.0) is priced at 1.80.

In terms of goals, the match is expected to be low-scoring. TU (2.5) bet is offered at odds of 1.83. TO (2.5) bet is offered at odds of 1.97. BTTS - yes bet is valued at 1.97. BTTS - no bet is offered at odds of 1.77. A Lazio goal is accepted at odds of 1.72. Milan's individual total under 1.5 is available at 2.00.

Milan vs Lazio match prediction 29 November 2025

Lazio has been weak in big matches this season. Maurizio Sarri's team has lost to Inter, Roma and Como. In all these matches, the Biancocelesti did not score, but they also conceded no more than two goals. We believe that the match against Milan will be no exception. The Rossoneri have one of the best defences in the current championship, but at the same time, Lazio have conceded very few goals recently. Overall, we believe that the game will be low-scoring with a slight advantage for Milan. We would not be surprised if Max Allegri's team wins 1:0.

Our main prediction: is Total Under 2.5 for a coefficient of 1.83 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W1 + Total Under 3.5 for a coefficient 2.25 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:0 for a coefficient 6.50 in the bet365 bookmaker.