Milan vs Napoli Prediction: Can Milan Avoid Defeat Against Napoli?

Milan vs Napoli: Prediction for the Match on September 28, 2025

Prediction for the Serie A match which will be held on September 28. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Milan: form and statistics

The Rossoneri started this season with a surprising home defeat to Cremonese (1–2), but then went on to win three consecutive matches. Milan beat Lecce (2–0), Bologna (1–0), and Udinese (3–0) in succession. Notably, the “Rossoneri” didn’t concede a single goal during this stretch — Max Allegri’s system is starting to click. In the league table, Milan currently sit third, three points behind the leaders.

Last Tuesday, Milan also played a Coppa Italia match — once again against Lecce. The game was one-sided and ended in a 3–0 victory for the “Rossoneri,” with goals from Jiménez, Nkunku, and Pulisic.

Napoli: form and statistics

Last round, the Neapolitans hosted Pisa. Antonio Conte’s team played shortly after a Champions League match, which could have caused some fitness issues, but it didn’t affect the result. Napoli won 3–2 — they allowed their opponent to equalize during the game but confidently regained the lead. The Neapolitans now have 12 points from 12 possible and top the Serie A table alone.

In the Champions League last round, Napoli had an unsuccessful trip to Manchester City, losing 0–2. Next week, in the second round, the Neapolitans will host Portuguese side Sporting.

Milan vs Napoli: head to head statistics

The teams have faced each other 177 times. Milan have 70 wins, Napoli 53, and there have been 54 draws.

In their last ten encounters, both Milan and Napoli have four wins each and two draws.

Milan vs Napoli: Betting Tips & Odds

• In 5 of 6 matches this season, Milan have kept a clean sheet.
• 7 of the last 11 encounters between the teams have been low-scoring.
• Milan are on a four-match winning streak.
• In 7 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings, both teams did not score.

Milan vs Napoli : Bookmakers' odds for the match

Milan are slight favorites for the upcoming match. A bet on the Rossoneri to win is offered at 2.35 on Betway. A draw is priced at 3.30, while a Napoli victory is valued at 3.25.

In terms of goals, the match is expected to be low-scoring. A bet on under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.72, while over 2.5 goals goes for 2.15. The both teams to score – yes bet is priced at 1.90, and both teams to score – no is also available at 1.90.

Milan vs Napoli match prediction 28 September 2025

Over the first four rounds of the league, Milan have allowed only 1.34 expected goals against. Therefore, Napoli is unlikely to score more than one goal. As for the Milan side, they are likely to find the net — Conte’s team currently has only the ninth-best defense in the league. Accordingly, we believe Milan will at least avoid defeat, and that no more than three goals will be scored in the match. As a riskier bet, we suggest a draw, which still seems more likely than a clear victory for the Rossoneri.

Our main prediction: is 1X+TU 3.5 for a coefficient of 2.15 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is X for a coefficient 3.35 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:1 for a coefficient 6 in the bet365 bookmaker.