Round 22.
Stadium: San Siro (Milano).
Referee: Rosario Abisso.
26.01.2025 14:30
Milan won an important game in the Champions League, beating Girona at home. Next up, the Rossoneri will host Parma in the Italian league. But will Sergio Conceição's team be able to keep up their winning streak? We've got a prediction for this one. We'll be looking at the teams' form, the odds and what the bookies are saying, and picking out a few bets.
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Before the start of the Champions League in its new format, it was calculated that 15 points would be enough to reach the play-offs and get into the top 8. Milan got 15 points last Wednesday when they beat Girona. The outcome was decided by one accurate shot, which was sent into the net by Rafael Leão in the 37th minute. This means Milan is currently sixth in the standings of the main stage out of 36 teams. To stay in the top eight, the Rossoneri just need to avoid losing to Dinamo Zagreb in the last round. They lost the Italian championship last round, 0:2 to Juventus in the away derby. The game was decided in the second half when the Reds and Blacks conceded twice in a few minutes. Since Sergio Conceição took charge as head coach, Milan has only picked earned four points from three league games. Before losing to Juventus, Milan had defeated Como away (2:1) and played at home 1:1 with Cagliari. Milan is currently eighth in the Serie A standings after 21 rounds, eight points behind the Champions League zone.
Parma
The Parmesans have had a bit of a shaky season so far. They're currently sitting on the 16th line in Serie A, just one point ahead of the relegation zone. It's all down to their weak defensive play. Fabio Pecchia's team is often pretty solid in attack, but they've conceded 36 goals in 21 rounds. Only Verona has conceded more goals – 47 times in fact.
The last time they met, Parma played against Venezia at home, and they were up against a direct competitor for the relegation. The Parmesans didn't win, so they didn't gain the all-important three points. They conceded a penalty in the first half but got back on track in the second with a penalty from the spot.
H2H Meetings
In the first round, Parma beat AC Milan, who were still led by Paolo Fonseca, 2:1. Dennis Man and Matteo Cancellieri scored for Parma, while Christian Pulisic scored for Milan. In the ten previous head-to-head meetings, AC Milan has won six, Parma has won two and two have been draws.
Stats Betting
- In 12 of the last 13 head-to-head matches, the teams have scored against each other.
- 13 out of 21 Parma matches in this championship ended with the total over.
- Milan hasn't scored more than one goal at home in four matches in a row.
- 3 of Milan's 4 previous matches at home ended in a draw.
Bookmakers' Offers
Even with the Champions League match in the middle of the week, Milan is the clear favorite, according to 1xbet. The W1 bet is priced at odds of 1.308. You can bet on Parma to win for 10.50. And if you think it'll be a draw, you can get 6.41. Plus, the experts are expecting a very productive game. The TO (2.5) bet is available at 1.42. And the bet TU (2.5) comes with solid odds of 2.72.
History of Head-to-Heads
Serie A 2025/2026
AC Milan
Serie A 2024/2025
Parma
Serie A 2024/2025
AC Milan
Serie A 2020/2021
AC Milan
Serie A 2020/2021
Parma
AC Milan Latest Games
AC Milan 
AC Milan
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
AC Milan
Roma
AC Milan
Pisa
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Parma Latest Games
Parma
Parma
Parma
Udinese
Parma
Mantova
AC Milan
Bologna
Parma
Como
Parma
Expert Betting Tips
Milan will be facing Parma between two Champions League games. Milan hasn't quite nailed a top-8 spot yet, but they're sitting pretty at 2 points ahead of ninth place. So, the match in Zagreb is obviously more important than the league game, so Parma has a chance to take points away from the San Siro. We're not going to bet on the outcome, but we'll be taking the goals instead. Milan has conceded in five out of six matches under Sergio Conceição, so we're going for Parma to score here, and we'll also bet on the score. Parma is probably going to concede – they're second from bottom in this league in terms of defensive efficiency.
Predictions:
BTTS & TO (2.5) for 2.00
IT2O (0.5) for 1.62
CS 2:2 for 19.00
Other predictions
