Mathare United vs Gor Mahia FC Prediction: The hosts can’t go toe-to-toe against the guests

Kenya
Kenya
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30 Oct 2025 16:00
Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia
Football: Kenya, Premier League, Round 5
Stadium: Kasarani Stadium 
Time: 30.10.2025, 04:00 PM

Kingston James
29 Oct 2025
19:45
All time statistics:
2509
2426
27
50.56%
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Odds 2,10
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Mathare United vs Gor Mahia FC: Prediction for the Match on October 30, 2025

The former SportPesa champions will lock horns against Mathare United FC at the Kasarani Stadium on Thursday. Following their comfortable victory over Posta Rangers, Gor Mahia will be keen to extend their winning streak to four, while the hosts can’t afford to lose another game in front of their home supporters. 

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Last five matches: LWDLW

The Greatness Within Boys have been inconsistent this campaign, but march here after a slim (0-1) victory over Shabana FC on the road. Mathare United knew they had to avoid defeat against Shabana FC, especially after their loss on their home turf against Kariobangi Sharks. Mathare United started strong, and after thirty-eight minutes of play, Dennis Okoth broke the deadlock to give his side a halftime advantage. They defended very well in the second half, carting away all the points. 

Mathare United have picked up seven points from a combined fifteen since the league began, and they have found the back of the net four times while conceding four.

Mathare United have lost back-to-back games on their own ground, scoring twice and conceding four goals. 

Mathare United Team News

Okoth started their recent game a few days ago, marking the first time this campaign, while Fidel returned from injury. Moreover, Ange, who started from the bench, is in line to start against Gor Mahia. 

Mathare United Potential Lineup (4-4-2)

Kevin Ouru—Fidel Otieno, Junior Nyawir, Francis Kayugi, lan Omondi—Mohamed Kilume, Brian Ouru, Steve Kimari, Elli Asieche—Meshack Ochieno, Dennis Okoth

Head coach: John Kamau

Last four games: LWWW

Since their opening day loss against Bidco United, Gor Mahia have now won three consecutive matches. Got Mahia, who had previously lost against Bidco United at home, began the game in high spirits, although all their efforts didn’t result in goals at the break. Got Mahia increased the tempo in the second half, as Omondi, Odihambo, and Oluoch all found the scoresheet. The game could have produced more than three goals, but Posta Rangers’ goalkeeper denied them several goal-scoring opportunities.

Gor Mahia have picked up nine points from their last four games, scoring six and conceding once. They moved up to the fourth spot in the standings and are now four points behind the league leaders.

Gor Mahia have won their last two games away from home this season, and they’ll be keen to get off to a flyer here tomorrow.

Gor Mahia Team News 

Ebenezer Adukwaw sustained a tissue injury, while goalkeeper Gad will be missing as he continues to recover from illness. 

Gor Mahia Potential Lineup (4-4-2)

Kevin—Joshua, Fidel, Levin, Captain—Lawrence, Wendo, Sheriff, George—Shaban, Chris

Head coach: Charles Akonner

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Gor Mahia have won six, while Mathare United have recorded two wins and two games ending in a tie across their previous ten meetings. The hosts are undefeated in three games against the guests, with more than two goals surfacing in four of their last five meetings. 

  • Five of the last seven Mathare United’s games have produced fewer than two goals. A total of under 2.5 goals might surface here, and the odds are available on the Betway bookmaker for 1.61.
  • Gor Mahia FC have kept a clean sheet in their last three games in the SportPesa League. You can try out BTTS No, and this particular option is available for 1.45 on the 1xbet bookmaker website.
  • Posta Rangers FC are winless in three consecutive games at home in the SportPesa League. You can try your luck with an away win, available on the Bet365 bookmaker website for 2.20.

This campaign, Mathare United have been one of the best sides on the road, considering they have played three times and won twice. However, they are yet to taste a victory in front of their home supporters across the last three games. Meanwhile, Gor Mahia are back on their feet as they have won three consecutive matches without conceding a goal. Gor Mahia, who won’t feature in any continental competition this season, have the squad capable of winning the SportPesa League. Gor Mahia are on a run of seven games without a loss on the road, while the hosts have lost back-to-back games at home already this season. Considering the quality and style of play between the two sides, Gor Mahia is far better than Mathare United, and I expect them to exert dominance over their opponents. 

My match prediction is for Gor Mahia to win and score more than once, with a coefficient of 2.10 on the 1xbet bookmaker. 

My betting tip for this match is for Gor Mahia to win at the break with a coefficient of 2.55 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

My final betting tip is a correct score of (0-2) for 7.40 on the Betway bookmaker. 

Good luck!

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Odds 2,10
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Odds 2,55
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