Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam Prediction: Francesco Farioli Has It All Figured Out Now!

Groningen
Groningen
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14 May 2025 21:00
FC Ajax
FC Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 
Round 33
Groningen vs. Ajax Amsterdam 
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen, Netherlands.
14.05.25 at 21:00
Thobelani Moyo
13 May 2025
15:06
All time statistics:
836
822
22
49.76%
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type W2
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Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam: Prediction for the Match on May 14, 2025

Groningen will welcome league leaders Ajax Amsterdam to the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium in the 33rd round of the Eredivisie. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news and betting odds to place your bets!

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Form: LWWLL

Groningen has already confirmed their safety in the Eredivisie, but that doesn't mean they don't have anything meaningful to play for with two games remaining. Their goal this season is to secure a European football spot, and they are two points behind that desired spot, which is currently occupied by Heerenveen in eighth place.

On Sunday, Dick Lukkien's men made the trip to North Holland to lock horns with AZ Alkmaar. The final result was unpleasant as they were on the receiving end of a disheartening 3-0 defeat.

The Pride of the North was a force to be reckoned with before this unwanted result. They were on a two-match winning streak, defeating Heracles Almelo (4-1) and RKC Waalwijk (6-1). Both wins came at home, and this should be enough to see them motivated to get back to the win column. 

Groningen have no fresh injury news at the moment other than the regular two absentees Fofin Turay (achilles tendon injury) and Maxim Mariani (knock).

Stije Resink and Jorg Schreuders are both tied at five goals and are Groningen's leading goalscorers. They are expected to play an important role this Wednesday and guide the team to a positive outcome.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Vaessen; Rente, Ekdal, Peersman, Prins; Seuntjens, Resink; Schreuders, Valente, Kwakman; van Bergen.

⛔️ Out: Fofin Turay (achilles tendon injury), Maxim Mariani (knock).

👤 Head coach: Dick Lukkien.

History of Head-to-Heads

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Eredivisie 2025/2026
02.12.25
Ajax Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen Groningen
Eredivisie 2024/2025 Eredivisie 2024/2025
14.05.25
Groningen Groningen
2 - 2
Ajax Ajax
Eredivisie 2024/2025 Eredivisie 2024/2025
06.10.24
Ajax Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen Groningen
Eredivisie 2022/2023 Eredivisie 2022/2023
16.05.23
Groningen Groningen
2 - 3
Ajax Ajax
Eredivisie 2022/2023 Eredivisie 2022/2023
14.08.22
Ajax Ajax
6 - 1
Groningen Groningen

Form: LDLWW

Ajax Amsterdam are starting to crumble under pressure with two games remaining in the Eredivisie. The record champions have dropped unnecessary points in recent weeks, and that has had a negative effect on their league standing. 

The good news is that they still occupy the top spot. However, they now find themselves in a heated title race as they have maintained a one-point lead over defending champions PSV Eindhoven in second place.

The Sons of the Gods are winless in three league games, recording two losses and one draw. Over the weekend, they suffered a shocking 3-0 home defeat at the hands of NEC Nijmegen. For them, it was a critical blow to their title hopes, but in the case of NEC, it served as a historic win.

Ajax was without Brian Brobbey in the 3-0 defeat against NEC Nijmegen because of a twisted ankle. The 23-year-old is now fit and will be given a nod over Wout Weghorst. Bertrand Traore and Steven Berghuis are expected to provide support from the wings.

Head coach Francesco Farioli has three players in the injury room, including Oliver Edvardsen, who is ruled out indefinitely because of a knee injury. Joining him in the injury room are regular absentess Youri Baas (groin injury) and Branco van den Boomen (back injury).

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-3-3): Pasveer; Gaaei, Sutalo, Rugani, Hato; Klaassen, Henderson, Taylor; Traore, Brobbey, Berghuis.

⛔️ Out: Oliver Edvardsen (knee injury), Youri Baas (groin injury), Branco van den Boomen (back injury).

👤 Head coach: Francesco Farioli.

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Show more predictions

In the last 61 meetings, Groningen has won 8 times, Ajax Amsterdam has won 46 times, and there have been 7 draws. The goal difference is 145-63 in favour of Ajax Amsterdam. 

Groningen Latest Games

Groningen Groningen
21.12.25
Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 1
Groningen Groningen
13.12.25
Groningen Groningen
3 - 0
Volendam Volendam
05.12.25
Excelsior Excelsior
0 - 2
Groningen Groningen
02.12.25
Ajax Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen Groningen
23.11.25
Groningen Groningen
2 - 2
Zwolle Zwolle
09.11.25
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
Groningen Groningen
02.11.25
Groningen Groningen
1 - 1
FC Twente FC Twente
25.10.25
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
1 - 2
Groningen Groningen
19.10.25
Groningen Groningen
0 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
03.10.25
NAC Breda NAC Breda
1 - 2
Groningen Groningen

Ajax Latest Games

Ajax Ajax
20.12.25
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2 - 2
Ajax Ajax
14.12.25
Ajax Ajax
2 - 0
Feyenoord Feyenoord
10.12.25
Qarabag Qarabag
2 - 4
Ajax Ajax
06.12.25
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
1 - 3
Ajax Ajax
02.12.25
Ajax Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen Groningen
25.11.25
Ajax Ajax
0 - 2
Benfica Benfica
22.11.25
Ajax Ajax
1 - 2
Excelsior Excelsior
09.11.25
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
2 - 1
Ajax Ajax
05.11.25
Ajax Ajax
0 - 3
Galatasaray Galatasaray
01.11.25
Ajax Ajax
1 - 1
Heerenveen Heerenveen
  • Groningen has scored a goal in ten of their last 11 matches in the Eredivisie. You can bet on 'both teams to score - yes' for 1.68 at Betway.
  • Ajax Amsterdam has scored in both halves in each of their last six encounters against Groningen. You can bet on Ajax to score in both halves for 2.25 at Bet365.
  • Groningen scores a lot of goals in the second half. In their last six home league games, seven goals have been scored in the second half. You can bet on Groningen to score in the second half for 2.10 at Bet365.
  • Ajax Amsterdam rarely dominates the first half than they do in the second. When playing in the second half, they have emerged victors in six of their last eight away league games. You can bet on Ajax to win the second half for 1.92 at 1xbet.

Groningen faces a mammoth task in their bid to return to winning ways, and hopefully, a chance to keep their European football hopes alive. They are up against an Ajax side they've failed to defeat in their last six encounters. In fact, they are currently on a six-match losing streak, and realistically speaking, I don't see them causing an upset.

Ajax Amsterdam need the three points more than their opponents if they are to finish the season at the top of the Eredivisie summit. They have been dominant in this fixture, winning six consecutive matches and scoring three or more goals in all of them. In their last away match, they won 3-2, and Brian Brobbey was on the scoresheet. I'm expecting a similar outcome filled with plenty of goals.

Our match prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 1.64 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Ajax Amsterdam Total - Over 2.5 for a coefficient of 2.80 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Anytime Goalscorer - Brian Brobbey for a coefficient of 2.05 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type W2
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Odds 2,80
Bet Type Ajax Amsterdam Total - Over 2.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,06
Bet Type Anytime Goalscorer - Brian Brobbey
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