Ourense vs Girona Prediction: What will happen when an ambitious underdog side meets a top-flight team

Ourense vs Girona Match Prediction 03 December 2025

At Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Ourense step into the spotlight as they host La Liga side Girona in the second round of the Copa del Rey. For Ourense, this match is more than a cup game; it is an opportunity to showcase their fighting spirit, especially after a strong domestic run. Their form in November has been impressive, with a string of wins that has revived confidence among players and fans. 

Girona will arrive with quality and expectation. On paper, they have the firepower to dominate, but their defensive frailties and significant injury issues cast a shadow. Key absences across the squad raise doubts about cohesion and depth. 

Ourense: Form and Statistics

Over the last 6 matches, Ourense scored 8 goals total. Their recent 6-game sequence includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, but 4 of those 6 games ended with over 2.5 goals, and 5 saw BTTS. 

At home, they tend to play open games, and many matches have ended with more than one goal for each side. Across competitions recently, they have shown glimpses of form and fighting spirit. According to recent reporting, Ourense enter this tie after a series of solid competitive results.

Ourense lineup

🔖 Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1) 

Raton; Prado, Carmona, Jelbat, Sanz; Ramos, Moreno; Guerrero, Castillo, Ouhdadi; Bouzai

👤 Head Coach: Dani Llácer

Girona: Form and Statistics

In their last 6 matches, Girona scored 10 goals total. Out of those 6 games, 5 ended with over 2.5 goals, and 5 featured BTTS. Despite their scoring, Girona’s defence has been shaky, and this is evident in the fact that clean sheets have been rare. 

Their away matches this season have often seen multiple goals, a sign that when they move forward, matches open up.

Girona lineup

🔖 Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Livakovic; Jordana, Frances, Reis, Moreno; Martin, Kourouma; Ba, Asprilla, Roca; Ruiz👤 Head Coach: Míchel Sánchez

⛔ Injury: Carlos, Artero, Van de Beek, Stuani, Portu, Krapyvtsov, Lopez, Blind, Solis, Lemar 

Ourense vs Girona Match Prediction 03 December 2025

This will be the first official match between Ourense and Girona. With no H2H information, past form and current momentum will be a vital source of information.

Ourense vs Girona Match Prediction 03 December 2025

Both Ourense and Girona tend to be involved in games that end with over 2.5 and BTTS. Ourense at home often plays openly, giving up chances but also creating opportunities. Girona away have been vulnerable defensively recently, as their attacking quality could pay off if they avoid defensive mistakes. 

Cup ties involving a top-tier and a lower-tier team can produce surprises, especially if the underdog plays with confidence and defensive discipline. Recent coverage suggests Girona may not treat this as a routine win. With no head-to-head history, past form and current momentum may be more telling than historical data.

Hence, we expect Girona to win with a scoreline of 1-3, given their offensive ability, experience, and Ourense's tendency for open play. 

Below are my best predictions:

🔥 Our initial prediction is over 2.5 goals at 2.05 odds from Bet365

🔥 Our prediction is W2 to win at 1.72 odds from the Betway

🔥 Our final prediction will be BTTS for at 1.97 odds from 1xbet