Paraguay vs Ecuador Prediction: the Ourcome Will Be Decided by One Goal

Paraguay
Paraguay
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
05 Sep 2025 02:30
Ecuador
Ecuador
World Championship Qualification
CONMEBOL 1 – Tour 17.
5.09.2025    02:30
Natalia Okina
04 Sep 2025
20:06
All time statistics:
2108
1724
26
54.64%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 2,40
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Paraguay vs Ecuador: Prediction for the Match on September 5, 2025

Paraguay is hosting Ecuador in the 17th round of FIFA World Cup qualifying. The game is on September 5th at 2:30 AM. Bookies have the home team as favorites, thinking Paraguay has a better chance of winning.

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In their last game, Paraguay defeated Uruguay 2-0 at home, but lost to Brazil 0-1 on the road. Overall, they're fifth in the standings with 24 points. They're six points ahead of Venezuela, who's seventh. To qualify for the World Cup, Paraguay just needs a draw. Their home record is second best, only behind Argentina

Ecuador is on an unbeaten run of 9 games and a draw streak of 3. Before the 17th round starts, they're in second place with 25 points, just ahead of Brazil on goal difference, and 10 behind Argentina at the top. They've already secured a spot at the World Cup, and their away record is second best in the league at +2=4-2 with a goal difference of 3:3.

They've met Paraguay 44 times and Paraguay leads 22-8-12 with a 72-52 goal advantage. Paraguay wins 86% of games at home, and only 5% away, with a goal difference of 46-15.

  • In their last three meetings with Ecuador, all ended in draws. You can bet on Paraguay to win on the 1xbet website at 2.40. A draw is also available at 2.90.
  • Ecuador is on a nine-game winning streak. You can back them to win at 1xbet with odds of 1.57.
  • Their last three games have all been against weaker teams. The odds for a goal total over 2.5 at 1xbet are 1.45.

Analysts at 1xbet think Ecuador are the favorites. They say Colombia have a 42% chance of winning at 2.40. You could back Ecuador to win at 3.70, which has a 27% chance. A draw is priced at 2.90 with 34%. 1xbet have Paraguay as the favorite at 2.40, with Ecuador at 3.50. About three goals are expected in the game, according to the odds. If you want to bet on more than two goals, it's 3.00. Less than two is 1.35.

Ecuador just doesn't have any motivation. They've already secured a spot at the World Cup, so they've been playing like they don't care lately. Paraguay needs some points, and a draw would be fine, but we think Guarani might try to impress their fans by winning the final home game of the draw. Also, Ecuador is an easy opponent for Paraguay when they play at home. Overall, we wouldn't be surprised if it comes down to one goal to decide the match.

Our main prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 2.40 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: W1 & TU (3.5) for a coefficient 2.76 in the betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1:0 for a coefficient of 5.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,40
Bet Type W1
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,76
Bet Type W1 & TU (3.5)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 5,00
Bet Type Correct Score 1:0
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